2008 Big 12 Football Future Betting Odds July 24th, 2008
By: NCAA Football Handicapping Staff
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NCAA Football Futures Betting – No Big Surprises in Big 12
Our best Sportsbooks customers who like to bet college football are already gazing at the bigger conferences to see where next January’s BCS participants will come from. Last season the BCS could have easily had three participants from the Big 12, but Missouri got left out while Oklahoma went to the Fiesta Bowl, while Kansas played in the Orange Bowl. What is in store for this season in the Big 12? We examine that today.
First, we take a look at NCAA odds for the Big 12 this season:
BetUS NCAA Futures Betting
To Win Big 12 Conference
Baylor +6000
Kansas +600
Kansas State +4000
Missouri +300
Nebraska +1000
Oklahoma +150
Oklahoma State +2500
Texas +200
Texas A&M +2000
Texas Tech +800
Iowa State +7500
Colorado +1000
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Let’s look at the real contenders here:
KANSAS (+600 in BetUS odds) — The Jayhawks are for real, and have depth in the backfield, but must figure out a way to replace the workhorse-like Brandon McAnderson. Todd Reesing likely won’t show a big drop-off in production, and he brings back two of his starting wide receivers, Dexton Fields and Desmond Briscoe. the defense ranked 12th overall (8th vs. the run) and has nine of its starters coming back (though Aqib Talib’s absence may be felt).
One of the things that made Kansas so overbearing last year was its +21 turnover margin, which was tops in all of Division I. That will be near-impossible to match, and with foes like Texas and Oklahoma on the schedule (KU avoided them last season), things won’t be a cakewalk.
MISSOURI (+300 in BetUS odds) — Missouri’s defense was 96th against the pass last season, but returns three starters from last year’s secondary. Tight end Chase Coffman is also back, and that is a great outlet for Chase Daniel, who threw for 4306 yards and wound up finishing fourth for the Heisman. Daniel should be a Heisman contender this year as well, and add another name to that list of possibles – Jeremy Maclin, the receiver-runner-kick returner who compiled a phenomenal 2776 all-purpose yards as a freshman. He’s the top returning rusher and receiver for the Tigers, and the #1 coast-to-coast threat in the nation. With nine returnees on the defensive side, the Tigers have a shot to be a more well-rounded team.
NEBRASKA (+1000 in BetUS odds) — Bo Pellini, who is coming back to Lincoln after a stint at LSU, has to repair this defense, which was ripped to shreds to the tune of 38 points per game. The whole defensive front line is back, but the rest is a question mark. Marlon Lucky (1019 yards) is a pretty talented player in the backfield, and I love Joe Ganz, who three for 15 touchdowns and 1400 yards in a three-game period at the end. But how swashbuckling Pellini’s offense is going to be remains to be seen. And transitioning this defense is more than a one-year process.
OKLAHOMA (+150 in BetUS odds) — The Sooners obviously caught a huge break last year when freshman quarterback Sam Bradford led the nation is passing efficiency, and threw 36 touchdown passes. He’s got both starting wide receivers back, not to mention DeMarco Murray, who ran for 764 yards in a reserve role and will become one of the best in the conference. Oklahoma may have the best defensive line in the country, though the back seven needs to be reworked a bit. Still, this is a team with depth at those positions and plenty of skill performers, and clearly a favorite in this conference. They are listed as a major contender for the national crown, but what worries me is the way Bob Stoops seems to have gone into his last two bowl games without much of a defensive game plan. Perhaps he lost interest because those were not national championship games.
OKLAHOMA STATE (+2500 in BetUS odds) — Some skill players left, although QB Zac Robinson (23 TD’s, 2824 yards) returns. This team was seventh nationally in offense and 101st in total defense last season, and it looks like more of the same here, which means OSU will have trouble the better teams, perhaps pull the occasional upset, but never play with enough consistency to make a real dent in the conference race.
TEXAS (+200 in BetUS odds) — I’m not sure this price on the Longhorns is too inviting. Colt McCoy, though hampered a bit by injuries, threw 18 interceptions last year to go with his 22 TD’s. The offensive line was shaky. Running back Jamaal Charles, a stud in the latter stages of 2007, is in the NFL and McCoy is the leading returning rusher. The secondary is thin and experienced. That said, there are enough athletes that Texas will probably stick around the Top 20 for the entire year. However, McCoy will have to recapture what he did as a freshman for there to be any chance at a Big 12 title.
TEXAS A&M (+2000 in BetUS odds) — Texas A&M quarterback Stephen McGee may really get to show what he can do, now that Mike Sherman is mentoring him. And the Aggies’ backfield of Jarvorskie Lane and Mike Goodson potentially represent the best 1-2 punch in the conference. Expect improvement in the 58th-ranked offense. But there is a major rebuilding job to be done on the stop unit, where just four starters return from last year.
TEXAS TECH (+800 in BetUS odds) — Graham Harrell had over 5700 passing yards and 48 touchdowns last season.And Michael Crabtree broke all freshman records with 134 catches and 1962 receiving yards. I guess what we’re saying is that Texas Tech will once again not fail to score points. The defense, which was somewhat “soft” against the run, returns the entire front line and can be pretty formidable against the pass. The Red Raiders are a little more hard-nosed, and can make things interesting.
COLORADO (+1000 in BetUS odds) — Cody Hawkins is a clever quarterback, and the Buffaloes run their spread offense with a lot of imagination, but Hawkins (the coach’s son) is smallish and not a game-changer. This defense will be severely challenged by the better air attacks – it brings back seven starters but lost big playmakers Jordon Dixon and Terrence Wheatley.
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