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This line is still very favorable for Detroit when you consider the pitching matchup. Justin Verlander has posted a 3.17 ERA on the season and he has 60 strikeouts in just 54 innings pitched. The Tigers have a .280 team batting average and they are scoring 5.3 runs per game. Cleveland is 20-42 the last two seasons after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span.

Cleveland will have Ubaldo Jimenez on the mound today. Jimenez has posted a 9.72 ERA in his 4 home starts. He has been rocked to the tune of 18 earned runs and 13 walks while averaging a mere 4.2 innings per start. Jimenez has not had much luck against Detroit throughout his career. He has a 5-7 record and a 5.12 ERA and 1.464 WHIP when facing the Tigers.

10* graded play on the Miami Marlins as they take on the Philadelphia Phillies in NL East action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. The simulator shows a significant probability that Miami will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 67-45 record for just 60% winners, BUT has made 40 units/unit wagered since 2007. Play on all NL underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season and is a solid fielding team turning 1.1 or more DP’s/game on the season. The average play ahs been a +130 dog adn represents and under scores the need to identify DOGS that win on a consistent basis if you intend on making profits in the money line sport of MLB. You may remember I had the Marlins at +160 in their decisive 5-1 win over the Phillies and their ace Cole Hamels. This was the first 15* DOG play and was combined with 15* Padres, who also won, and paid off 5:1 on the 5* parlay bet. In similar fashion to Hamels, Lee is just 4-10 (-9.2 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team’s Record). Moreover, he is just 5-11 (-11.4 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. Take Miami.

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The Pirates remain hot as they have won nine of their last 11 games after winning the series opener last night. The victory improved them to 16-9 at home but I feels this is an excellent spot to go against them. The offense has been lukewarm as Pittsburgh is hitting just .243 over its last 10 games including .228 against right-handed pitching. Francisco Liriano will be making his third start of the season and so far, he has been pretty solid. He has allowed just one run in each of his first two starts but he has yet to make it through six innings and despite a 1.64 ERA, he has a 1.55 WHIP so he has been fortunate that he has not allowed more runs with the amount of baserunners he has put on. He has faced the Cubs once and wax lit up last season, allowing four runs in 5.2 innings. Chicago has dropped two straight following a solid run where it went 5-2 over a seven-game stretch. The offense is showing signs of life with a .271 average over its last 10 games and while hitting lefties has been an issue, facing an inconsistent Liriano could make that come around. Jeff Samardzija is having a solid season with a 3.49 ERA through nine starts but he has certainly been a tough luck pitcher with just 3.1 rpg of support behind him. He has already faced the Pirates once this season and shut them out for eight innings and in his three career starts against Pittsburgh, he has a 0.72 ERA and all of those starts took place at PNC Park. Play (959) Chicago Cubs

After losing the first two games of this series to the Chicago White Sox, the Boston Red Sox will be highly motivated for a victory in Game 3 to avoid the sweep. I like their chances of getting revenge tonight considering the huge edge they have on the mound.

Clay Buchholz has been nothing short of brilliant this season. The right-hander has gone 6-0 with a 1.78 ERA and 1.035 WHIP in nine starts in 2013, including 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.952 WHIP in three road starts.

Sure, Hector Santiago has pitched well this season for Chicago, but he is in a very tough spot tonight. Santiago will only be working on three days’ rest so his innings will be limited. He is taking Chris Sale’s turn in the rotation due to a shoulder injury suffered by Chicago’s ace.

This play falls into a system that is 41-15 (73.2%) since 1997. It tells us to bet on all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) – starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent starting a pitcher who is working on 3 or less days rest. Bet the Red Sox Wednesday.

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Cliff Lee (4-2, 2.83 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Lee was unfortunate to get saddled with a no-decision vs. the Reds last Friday, giving up two runs off six hits over seven frames, striking out seven and walking two. Lee is finally hitting his stride, quietly putting together a dominant stretch by not allowing more than two runs in each of his last three outings (note that Lee is 1-1 with a respectable 3.38 ERA in his last three vs. the Fish). Lee will be opposed by Kevin Slowey (1-4, 3.44 ERA) who is coming off an outing to forget in which he gave up six runs off seven hits over three frames vs. the Diamondbacks on Friday. Slowey has stumbled a bit over his last two starts, seeing his ERA rise from 1.81 to 3.44; a date vs. the Phillies is just what the doctor ordered though as the right-hander is 1-0 with a minuscule 0.73 ERA over his last two starts vs. Philadelphia already this season. I believe the table is set for these veterans to battle each other into the latter frames as they take advantage of these inconsistent line-ups. How about you? What do you think? Duel or slugfest?

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