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NCAAB Odds – Trends – Articles & Free Picks For Weekly College Basketball Betting

Looking for FREE weekly College basketball picks online? Look no farther. Every week we’ll choose between 4-8 games and preview them, give you the College and NCAAB betting trends, make a free prediction and free pick, and review the odds for the game, and who you should be putting your money on. Whether or not you should bet the moneyline or make a bet with or against the spread. Cappers Picks is the only site you’ll need for all the best NCAA basketball gambling info you could possibly be looking for. Trust us Ok?!

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NFL  |  Dec 21, 2014
Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
+12½-110
  at  BOVADA
in 16h

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +12.5

This line is clearly inflated right now because the Packers have something to play for while the Buccaneers do not. Well, I would argue that Green Bay could be looking ahead to next week’s game against Detroit and overlooking the Buccaneers. Either way, I believe the value is with the double-digit home underdogs in this one. The betting public always backs the Packers, and that’s what has driven this line up higher than it should be.

All you have to do is check out how the Packers have fared on the road this season and you’ll be in love with the Buccaneers as well. Indeed, Green Bay is just 3-4 on the road this season. It is getting outscored by an average of 4.9 points per game on the road, and outgained by 47.3 yards per game. It averages just 21.1 points and 341.6 yards per game, while giving up 26.0 points and 378.9 points per game away from home.

Even the three road wins for the Packers have been close as they won by 3 points at Miami and by 3 at Minnesota.  They did beat the Bears by 21 on the road, but that game was much closer than the final score would indicate as the Bears actually outgained the Packers by 138 yards.  All five of Aaron Rodgers’ interceptions this season have come on the road, where he’s been held to under 210 yards passing four times in seven starts.  He’s been limited to just 12 touchdown passes on the road as well.

While the Buccaneers have a poor 2-12 record, I have no doubt that they are better than their record indicates. They have simply been a victim of several close losses this season. Indeed, nine of the Bucs’ 12 losses this season have come by 10 points or less, including eight by 8 points or fewer, and seven by 6 points per less. They have gone 1-9 in games decided by 10 points or fewer.

Tampa Bay clearly has not quit on Lovie Smith. It continues to fight as it has only been beaten by more than 10 points once in its last eight games overall. It has a 6-point overtime loss to Minnesota, a 5-point road loss at Cleveland, a 27-7 win over Washington, a 1-point home loss to Cincinnati and a 2-point road loss to Carolina during this stretch, just to name a few. The Buccaneers have actually outgained four of their last seven opponents despite going 1-6 over that span. They will continue to be competitive Sunday.

The Packers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine vs. a team with a losing record. They have a tendency of playing down to their competition, and that has been evident by this trend. Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in its seven road games this season. Tampa Bay is 9-4-2 ATS in its last 15 games after gaining more than 150 rushing yards in its last game. The Bucs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings with the Packers, including 4-1 ATS in their last five home meetings.  Bet the Buccaneers Sunday.

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NFL  |  Dec 21, 2014
Indianapolis Colts vs. Dallas Cowboys
Total
55 ov-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 19h

Play OVER 55

For entertainment value the Cowboys vs. the Colts should be fantastic. Both of these teams can score and have lots of weapons. Better still both need the game for some sort of playoff seeding advantage so there will be no reason to take the foot of the gas.

Andrew Luck vs. Tony Romo will be a shootout that goes over the total with ease should make for some bit time excitement. You might want to load up on Dez Bryant and T.Y. Hilton in your fantasy pools too. Final 38 – 35

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NFL  |  Dec 21, 2014
Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
+6½-110
  at  BMAKER
in 16h

Free Pick on Atlanta Falcons +

I think the value here is with the Falcons, as New Orleans has not been the same dominant team at home that we have seen in previous seasons. The Saints have lost each of their last 4 games at the Superdome, including an ugly 10-41 loss to Carolina in Week 14. I also think we are seeing a bit of an inflated line here after New Orleans cruised to a convincing win over Chicago in the national spotlight of Monday Night Football and Atlanta losing at home to Pittsburgh.

Couple of key things to note about both of those games. The Saints benefited from getting to face Chicago in their first game after they were officially eliminated from the playoffs. Anyone who watched that game, could see the Bears were lacking motivation. Atlanta on the other hand was in a big lookahead spot, where a win really didn’t help them a whole lot. They were also without their top offensive weapon in wide out Julio Jones, who is expected to be back on the field against the Saints.

You could argue that the Falcons were fortunate to get a win at home against the Saints earlier this season, as Atlanta needed a last second 51-yard field goal from Matt Bryant to send the game to overtime. However, the Falcons outgained the Saints 568 to 472. This time around New Orleans will be without rookie wide out Bradin Cooks, who had 7 catches for 77 yards and a touchdown and star tight Jimmy Graham has not been the same of late. Graham did catch 5 passes for 87 yards against Chicago, but has been held without a touchdown in each of his last 3 games.

Getting Jones back is huge for the Falcons. Jones had caught 21 passes for 448 yards and 2 touchdowns in his previous two games before sitting out last week. He also torched the Saints secondary earlier this season with 7 catches for 116 yards. I know the Saints defense played well against Chicago, but I again think that had to do with Chicago’s state of mind. I just don’t believe the New Orleans defense miraculously got that much better in one week, as this is the same unit that allowed 497 yards of total offense to a below average Carolina offense in Week 14. Look for Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense to keep this one close enough to cover and potentially win outright.

Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against the NFC South and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 6 or more yards/play in each of their last 2 games. New Orleans is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win and 5-12 ATS in their last 17 after passing for more than 250 yards in their previous game.

Adding to all of this is a strong system favoring a fade of the Saints. Home favorites in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 ppg) at least 9 games into the season are just 23-53  ATS since 1983 after allowing 3 points or less in the first half of their last game. That’s a 70% system in favor of the Falcons. Take Atlanta!

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NFL  |  Dec 21, 2014
Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Green Bay Packers
-10-115
  at  BMAKER
in 16h

1* Free Play Packers.

Last week I gave you a free play on the Jacksonville Jaguars, an easy winner that almost took the game outright. This week I’m looking at a larger favorite, but one which I think has a number of different situational, motivational and strong trend based reasons working in its favor; I definitely feel that the Green Bay Packers are worth a second look in this spot. 

The Packers five game win streak would get snapped in last week’s listless 21-13 setback at Buffalo, however take note that it was the second straight week that Green Bay failed to cover the spread. A date vs. the inconsistent Buccaneers is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked though in my opinion, Tampa is coming off its fourth straight SU loss in last week’s 19-17 setback at Carolina. The Packers are in a dog fight with Detroit for the NFC North’s top seed, added incentive today to take full advantage of their weaker opponent. Note that Green Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off an upset loss as a favorite, while Tampa Bay is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after scoring 20 points or less in three straight games. At this time of year, “situations” become very a important tool for handicappers, consider a play on GREEN BAY this weekend.

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NFL  |  Dec 21, 2014
Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
+7-130
  at  5DIMES
in 16h

Play – Atlanta Falcons (Game 113).  

Edges – Falcons: 9-1 ATS last road game of the season; and 18-7 ATS off a SU loss of 7 or more points under Mike Smith, including 8-2 ATS in division games.  Saints: 0-5 ATS in last home games off a non-division game when facing a division opponent.  With New Orleans having not won a home game in almost two months (0-4 SUATS last four), and the Falcons in control of their playoff destiny, we recommend a 1-unit play on Atlanta.  Thank you and good luck as always. 

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