NASCAR 2016 Sprint Cup Betting
We are just weeks away from the start of another exciting season of NASCAR Sprint Cup racing making it the perfect time to take a closer look at some of Sportsbook’s futures odds to win this season’s title. Kyle Busch comes in as the defending champion, but he is not the favorite and with Jeff Gordon retired all eyes turn to Tony Stewart as another long-time NASCAR veteran making his final run in this series.
After digging deep into the betting odds to win the 2016 Sprint Cup title, the following is my pick for the top valued favorite, top valued contender and top valued longshot to end up at the top of the heap based on NASCAR futures betting odds by Bovada.
The Favorite (odd of less than 10/1)
While Kyle Busch and Jimmie Johnson are tempting picks at +700 betting odds, I am going chalk with a play on Kevin Harvick at +500 as my top valued favorite to win this season’s Sprint Cup title.
After winning the title in 2014, the No. 4 car was easily the best on the track with Harvick behind the wheel from one week to the next in 2015.
He finished second to Busch at Homestead-Miami in the 2015 Sprint Cup Championship race as part of an amazing 13 runner-up finishes that season. When you add in the three checkered flags, Harvick finished first or second 42 percent of the time.
It is this kind of consistency that wins titles, especially with the current format of the10-race Chase to the title.
The Contender (odds from 10/1 to 19/1)
Carl Edwards ended-up fifth in last year’s final Sprint Cup standings and he would make a solid choice as a top-valued contender to win it all at +1200 odds and given how I am a big Dale Earnhardt Jr. fan, his +1500 betting odds to break through with a title run are also attractive.
However, when it comes to finding the best value in the contender category I would have to go with Denny Hamlin at +1200 as my top pick. The No. 11 car finished third in the standings in 2014 with just one victory on the year.
Last season, Hamlin fell to ninth overall, but he still posted two victories and 12 additional Top 5 finishes in 36 point-race events. He is the kind of driver that has a knack for staying in the mix and at these longer odds that only adds value to this pick.
The Longshot (odds 20/1 or greater)
Longshots have the ability to stun the field here and there with a victory in a Sprint Cup series race, but they do not win titles. Since I have to pick someone, Ryan Newman probably offers the best value at +4000 given his second-place finish in 2014, but he dropped back to 11th-place last season in the final standings.
Jamie McMurray is another driver with long odds (+4000) that made it into the 2015 Chase to wind-up 13th overall and a veteran driver such as Clint Bowyer at +4000 is not a bad play.
It has been a rough couple of years for Tony Stewart, but I would be tempted to make a small play on his +3000 betting odds to win a title in his final season in the Sprint Cup series.
He is still the best of the bunch in this group and, if he gets his head right, he still has the driving ability to win races.
Odds to Win 2016 NASCAR Futures