Free MLB Pick: Rays vs Blue Jays Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays free picks? MLB betting sees the Rays taking on the Blue Jays on Tuesday, September 13th at Rogers Centre. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions.
(60-83) Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays (79-63)
Date: Tuesday September 13, 2016
Time: 7:07 PM ET
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Canada
Projected Pitchers: Drew Smyly vs. Marcus Stroman
MLB Moneyline Odds: Toronto -187
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Off
MLB Betting Total: 9.0
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In the midst of a four team fight for the AL East, the Rays only role is to play spoiler. However, that hasn’t been their only motivation as they have been a much better team since the All-Star break.
Since the break, the Rays are 26-28 while the Blue Jays are just 27-24. With both teams playing similar baseball recently, this matchup will be tighter than the full season records show.
Tampa Bay Rays
Smyly has played a part in the Rays second half improvements as he has recorded a 4-1 record in 10 starts since the All-Star break.
The Rays have gone 6-4 in those 10 starts by Smyly after going 6-11 in Smyly’s first 17 starts to open the season.
A bigger reason for the better second half success has been the Rays offense. Tampa Bay is 6th in the MLB in runs scored since the All-Star break with the 6th best slugging percentage over that time.
Leading the way for the Rays the last couple of months has been Logan Forsythe. Since the All-Star break, Forsythe has a .357 OBP and has clubbed 11 homers.
Another big contributor has been Brad Miller who has a .866 OPS since the All-Star break with 13 home runs.
Miller was hit with a pitch on Thursday evening which caused him to leave the game but returned to the lineup as the DH for the series’ remaining three games. He has 4 for his last 36 though slumping before the HBP and picking up just one hit in 13 at bats since.
The Rays will need production from Forsythe, Miller, and Longoria to keep up with the big bats of the Toronto lineup.
The group has hit Toronto very well this year with a combined .329 batting average, 4 HRs, 22 RBIs, and 28 runs scored.
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto appeared to be in control of the AL East but now sees themselves fighting for a playoff spot.
After getting to a season high 19 games over .500 on August 31st, the Blue Jays have lost 7 of 9 to start September which has been due to a combination of inconsistent hitting and pitching.
Toronto had the 6th fewest runs in the majors in September entering play on Monday. They also have the 4th worst ERA in the majors over that same time period.
Stroman will head to the mound to try to stop Toronto’s skid after a sharp outing in 2-0 loss to the Yankees.
Stroman’s previous start was against Tampa Bay where he took the loss giving up 4 runs – 3 earned – over 6 innings as the bullpen imploded taking the Blue Jays out of the game on their way to a 8-3 loss.
Stroman has been pretty average this season after coming on strong when he returned last season.
He sports a 4.55 ERA and has been a benefactor of good run support – getting 4.82 runs per start.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- The Blue Jays are 3-7 in their last 10
- Stroman is 2-2 with a 4.55 ERA in 4 starts against TB this season
- Smyly is 2-2 with a 3.80 ERA in 4 starts against TOR this season
- 11 runs scored per game in last 9 games between TB and TOR.
- the Rays are 5-5 in their last 10
Free Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB Prediction:
Tampa Bay’s core hitters have good numbers against Toronto this season and neither pitcher in this matchup has been great against their opponent. Toronto’s lineup is loaded with power hitters and Tampa Bay’s offense has shown resurgence over the last couple of months.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Game Run Total over 9.0
I think the Blue Jays will take this one at home but the inconsistency of Stroman makes me think the over is the safer pick.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays 8-6
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