MLB Baseball Prop Bets
The MLB Home Run Leader Prop Odds deliver a thrilling chase that combines raw strength, lineup context, and the grind of a 162-game season. Swinging for the fences isn’t just for players — it’s for bettors with a nose for power markets. Meanwhile, the gap between the chalk and the challengers is shrinking fast, with names like Cal Raleigh and James Wood proving this race is far from locked up.
Tracking the MLB Home Run Crown
The home run title has long been a prestigious marker of dominance in Major League Baseball. Over the years, we’ve seen legends like Barry Bonds, Alex Rodriguez, and Albert Pujols stake their claim as the game’s elite sluggers. More recently, Judge and Schwarber have kept the fireworks alive, each mashing 40+ dingers in separate seasons.
Interestingly, Judge set the AL record in 2022 with 62 bombs, while Pete Alonso and Matt Olson have previously paced the NL.
However, this year’s field includes several newcomers — and with shifts in lineup roles and ballpark metrics, we could see a surprise name rise to the top.
Past 10 MLB Home Run Leaders
- 2024 – Aaron Judge (NYY) – 58 HR
- 2023 – Matt Olson (ATL) – 54 HR
- 2022 – Aaron Judge (NYY) – 62 HR
- 2021 – Vladimir Guerrero Jr. & Salvador Pérez – 48 HR
- 2020 – Luke Voit (NYY) – 22 HR
- 2019 – Pete Alonso (NYM) – 53 HR
- 2018 – Khris Davis (OAK) – 48 HR
- 2017 – Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) – 59 HR
- 2016 – Mark Trumbo (BAL) – 47 HR
- 2015 – Chris Davis (BAL) – 47 HR
MLB Home Run Leader Prop Odds 2025 | Betting Futures
Below are the current MLB Home Run Leader Prop Odds for 2025—highlighting the sluggers most likely to mash their way to the top of the leaderboard.
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- Aaron Judge -140
- Cal Raleigh +110
- Shohei Ohtani +650
- Kyle Schwarber +2500
- Eugenio Suarez +5500
- James Wood +10000
- Rafael Devers +15000
- Junior Caminero +15000
- Taylor Ward +15000
- Pete Crow-Armstrong +15000
- Seiya Suzuki +20000
- Juan Soto +20000
- *** Odds provided by MyBookie
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Aaron Judge MLB Home Run Leader Prop Odds 2025
Aaron Judge leads the MLB Home Run Leader Prop Odds, but is there still value at that short price after back-to-back dominant seasons?
Judge is just three bombs behind MLB leader Cal Raleigh, yet he’s sitting as the clear-cut favorite in the MLB Home Run Leader Prop Odds market — and for good reason. The Yankees slugger has paced the league in dingers two of the past three years, including a monster 62-homer campaign in 2022 and 58 more in 2024.
Crucially, he has a built-in edge thanks to the short porch at Yankee Stadium, which continues to reward his pull-heavy power stroke. While others are chasing, Judge feels inevitable.
As long as he stays healthy, there’s little doubt he’ll remain in the thick of the home run race all the way through the final stretch of the season.
Cal Raleigh MLB Home Run Leader Prop Odds for 2025
Cal Raleigh is climbing fast in the MLB Home Run Leader Prop Odds in 2025, and his power surge from the left side can’t be ignored.
The Big Dumper — has been one of the breakout stars of the 2025 season. Not only did he earn the starting catcher nod in the All-Star Game, but he also crushed his way to a Home Run Derby title the night before.
Even more impressive, he leads the majors with 38 home runs, putting him three ahead of Judge and six clear of Shohei Ohtani.
Although Raleigh has shown power before — hitting 34 homers in 2024 and 30 in 2023 — this pace is uncharted territory. However, it’s worth noting the grind that comes with catching every day.
Fatigue is a real factor in the second half. So, while he’s got the early lead in the home run race, it wouldn’t be shocking if he slows down down the stretch.
Shohei Ohtani MLB Home Run Leader Prop Odds 2025
Shohei Ohtani currently ranks third on the home run leaderboard, and he’s once again reminding everyone why he’s a generational talent. While he’s ramping back up on the mound — which could shift some focus away from the batter’s box — he’s simply too gifted for it to make much of a difference.
Last season, Ohtani finished with 54 homers, going toe-to-toe with Judge for the crown until the very end.
Even now, hitting out of the leadoff spot, he’s getting more plate appearances than both Judge and Raleigh — a sneaky edge that shouldn’t be overlooked as the Dodgers’ offense keeps humming.
Kyle Schwarber MLB Home Run Leader Prop Odds for 2025
Kyle Schwarber sits further down the board in the MLB Home Run Leader Prop Odds, yet his all-or-nothing swing still makes him a huge threat if he stays hot.
Schwarber is the definition of a streaky power hitter — capable of going nuclear for an entire month. Case in point: he launched 10 homers with a 1.047 OPS in May this year. That kind of surge can shake up the home run leaderboard in a hurry.
However, timing matters. Last season, Schwarber closed strong with another 10-homer outburst in October. Yet, outside of that, he didn’t hit more than seven in any other month.
It raises the question — did he burn his big run too early in 2025?
Eugenio Suarez MLB Home Run Leader Prop Odds 2025
It’s been a few years, but Eugenio Suárez is flashing that 2019 form when he mashed 49 home runs. He’s already surpassed last season’s total — hitting 31 before the break, compared to 30 across 158 games in 2024.
Even more impressive, Suárez caught fire heading into the All-Star break, belting 16 homers since June 1. That surge has him on pace for a career-best 52 bombs. Still, as hot as he’s been, it’s tough to see him hanging with the big boys atop the home run leaderboard by season’s end.
James Wood
Kyle Schwarber ranks fifth on the home run leaderboard with 30, trailing Cal Raleigh by eight and Aaron Judge by five. After that, there’s a steep drop — no other player has cracked 25.
James Wood, meanwhile, has emerged as one of the breakout stars of 2025 and looks every bit like a future slugging superstar. Still, as good as he’s been, he’s not in the running for the home run crown this season — at least not yet.
Raphael Devers
Rafael Devers feels like more of a name recognition play here than a serious contender. With just 17 home runs, he’s already 21 behind the league leader — and playing in San Francisco doesn’t help. Oracle Park is notoriously tough on left-handed power, making a second-half surge highly unlikely.
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero’s 23 home runs rank top 10 in the majors — an incredible feat for the 22-year-old rising star. He’s clearly on the path to becoming a future contender in this race, but for now, he’s still a year or two away from truly challenging the league’s elite sluggers.
Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward is having a breakout year at 31, proving he still has plenty of pop in the bat. However, despite the strong first half, he’s not a serious threat to take home the home run crown.
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong is turning heads in what’s shaping up to be a true breakout season. The 25 homers he blasted before the break are impressive — especially for a young outfielder still finding his groove.
That said, in a race loaded with elite power bats, it likely won’t be enough to keep him in the conversation down the stretch.
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki has quietly kept pace with teammate Pete Crow-Armstrong, matching him with 25 home runs in the first half. That alone says plenty about how locked in he’s been at the plate.
While he’s not getting the same buzz, Suzuki’s power surge has put him firmly on the radar — even if he’s still a longshot to lead the league when it’s all said and done. With a red-hot second half brewing, don’t overlook Seiya Suzuki’s surge when scanning the latest MLB Home Run Leader Prop Odds.
Juan Soto
Juan Soto started slow in his first season with the Mets, but he’s found his rhythm over the past month and a half, launching 14 home runs since June 1. His career high came just last year when he hit 41 while enjoying the homer-friendly confines of Yankee Stadium.
Although his star power keeps his name high on the odds board, Soto doesn’t profile as a true threat in the home run race this season. He’s swinging it better, but it’s a long shot he catches the leaders. Are you intrigued by MLB Home Run Leader Prop Odds for Juan Soto, who’s flashing elite plate discipline and raw power?
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MLB Tweet Of The Day
Swing-Off: Kinda electric
(MLB x @GoogleCloud) pic.twitter.com/zbTmND0q33
— MLB (@MLB) July 16, 2025
Final Thoughts on MLB Home Run Leader Prop Odds & Futures
Aaron Judge may be the chalk, but if Cal Raleigh keeps mashing lefties, he could cash as a mild underdog. Additionally, longshots like Suarez (+5500) or James Wood (+10000) offer serious upside if they catch fire in the second half.
Don’t count them out — one hot month can shake up the leaderboard.
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MLB Futures Betting
MLB futures markets offer a chance to bet big-picture stats like home run leaders, MVPs, or Cy Young winners. These future bets and MLB props reward anticipation and timing — especially in long seasons with streaky results.
For example, a $200 wager on James Wood at +10000 returns $20,200 — that’s $20,000 in winnings and your original $200 bet back in your pocket.
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