2/12/20 Free Sports Picks & Betting Plays
Hi there and welcome to CappersPicks.com and our daily free sports picks for Friday February 14th 2020.
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The Free Sports Picks For Friday February 14th 2020 on this page are the lowest rated selections from each capper for today.
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Below are our Free Sports Picks For Friday February 14th 2020.
Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Texas State +17.5
The Key: Coastal Carolina is in a big letdown spot after improving to 8-0 after beating the defending Sun Belt champion Appalachian State Mountaineers last week. And they have a huge game on deck next week against Liberty. They will be flat this week against Texas State. The Bobcats are just 2-9 this season but they are fighting hard. They have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. They covered in losses to Louisiana, Appalachian State and Georgia Southern which are 3 of the better teams in the Sun Belt and were competitive in all 3 games. Then they upset Arkansas State 47-45 last week and were finally rewarded for their hard play. That win will give them the confidence they need this week to compete with Coastal Carolina. They only lost 21-24 as 7-point dogs to Coastal Carolina last year. And this is their final game of the season so they should be all in against the unbeaten Chanticleers here. The Bobcats are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games after yielding 575 or more total yards last game. The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as home underdogs. Take Texas State.
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #192 Over in Maryland Terrapins @ Indiana Hoosiers (12p.m., Saturday, November 28 ESPN2) Indiana’s dream season came down to earth last week with a 7-point loss to Ohio State. They now cannot make the Big 10 Championship Game but still have an explosive offensive that will score close to 40 points in this game. Maryland is back on the field after two weeks off for COVID-19 issues. They have scored 40 points per game over their last two and if they hit the high twenties int his game it should easily go over the posted total. These two teams have played over the posted total in 5 straight games. Indiana has gone over the posted total in 20 of their last 28 Big 10 games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card highlighted by a top play winner on Saturday.
PICK - Iowa -26
We played the Hawkeyes on Wednesday as our free pick and cashed in a winner at Iowa -24 in a 30-point (97-67) win. The thing with that final score, is it could have been even more lopsided if NC Central didn't run out 3/4 the shot clock every time they touched the ball (they were just standing at half court with the ball). Even with them doing that Iowa still managed to score 97 points.
I got not problem laying almost the same number with Iowa against Southern. Note that the Jaguars played NC Central yesterday and that game went to OT, as they fell 78-85 to NC Central. Southern had 3 guys play 30 plus minutes, with both guards going for 38+ minutes.
I just don't see the Jaguars putting up much of a fight in this one. One thing I will say about Iowa's opening win over NC Central is I came away really impressed with freshmen Keegan Murray and Patrick McCaffrey. Both guys are very active and can score both inside and out. It makes an already deep team that much deeper. Give me the Hawkeyes -26!
**RED-HOT 56% (136-105) ALL-SPORTS RUN** Brandon Lee, the 2017 SportsCapping Champion, continues his onslaught on the books.
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1 Unit FREE PLAY on UCF/USF OVER 67
UCF games have averaged over 72 points per game this season. They have an explosive offense that puts up 42.6 points and 586.6 yards per game. And they run at one of the fastest tempos in all of college football. South Florida will oblige with a defense that gives up 37.6 points per game. But their offense should have some success against a UCF defense that gives up 452.1 yards per game. The OVER is 4-0-1 in South Florida’s last five games overall with combined scores of 67 or more points in four of them. The OVER is 4-1 in Knights last five road games. Give me the OVER.
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Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Wyoming -16
The Wyoming Cowboys are better than their 1-2 record would indicate. They have road losses to Nevada and Colorado State. But they are outgaining their opponents by nearly 50 yards per game this season. And they are ready to get back on the field after being off since November 5th.
They should make easy work of the rebuilding UNLV Rebels, who are 0-4 SU & 0-3-1 ATS this season. All four losses have come by 13 points or more and by an average of 19.0 points per game. The Rebels are getting outgained by an average of nearly 160 yards per game on the season with a terrible defense that gives up 36.3 points and 466.3 yards per game.
Wyoming beat UNLV 53-17 at home last year. They racked up 374 rushing yards on the Rebels and it should be more of the same this season. I think Wyoming is better than it was last year, and UNLV is clearly worse off with a new head coach and only 12 returning starters.
The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a loss and 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Rebels are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as home underdogs.
Plays on road favorites of 14.5 or more points (Wyoming) - after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse are 52-21 (71.2%) ATS since 1992. Bet Wyoming Friday.
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The comp play is an advance totals play for Saturday on the Under in the Troy St vs Appalachian St game in college football. This game fits a powerful totals system. The last 2 years these 2 have gone under. App St has a powerful defense and has gone under in 4 of the last 5 games. Troy has stayed under in 10 straight games. Look for this game to be lower scoring. Play Troy and Appalachian ST Under the total. Rob V- GC Sports.
Penn State vs Michigan
3:30 PM EST, Saturday, November 27, 2020
The better bet to post just might be which coach gets a pink slip first. Harbaugh must be down to his final days in Ann Arbor, but I do think James Franklin will be given a pass in light of his monster recruiting efforts and success. Nevertheless, it has been an extraordinarily difficult year for both teams and no one saw Penn State going 0-5 SU and ATS. My free pick last week, though, was on Iowa, who has risen to the upper tier of the Big-12 power ratings.
The betting flows so far show that 65% of the tickets are on Michigan, BUT 63% of the money bet is on Penn State. The current line in the market is offered with Michigan as a 2-point favorite. This betting trend can push the line to pick-em by game time.
No one saw Penn State, who was preseason Top-10 team and a dark horse in the futures market to win the Big Ten, getting off to an imperfect 0-5 SU and ATS start. However, road dogs, who have lost four or more consecutive games SU and ATS have earned a money-making 16-10 ATS record good for 62% winning bets since 2006. The ‘UNDER’ is also appealing I this matchup noting that road dogs that are winless in their first five conference games and have lost five or more consecutive games to the spread have seen the ‘UNDER’ produce a 15-6 record good for 71% winning bets.
By the way, Michigan is 1-12 ATS for 8% winning bets that failed to cover the spread by an average of 11 points in games played since 2006.
One more thing. The following betting system has earned a profitable ATS record over the last 15 seasons and underscores how cheap Penn State has become in the market. The requirements are to be on road teams that have failed to cover the spread by a total of 35 or more points over their last three games and is facing a team that has seen the total go ‘OVER’ by 28 or more points in their last three games.
I have 5 BIG NCAAB WINNERS on the board today: 31-9 ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE, 34-12 CONSENSUS, VEGAS INSIDER (5-1 LY), 18-3-1 BOOKIE BUSTER, 73% SLAM DUNK. I will go 5-0 today. So, jump on board, follow a multi-time NCAAB handicapping, and start your season off right.
Friday’s FREE NCAAB WINNER: Colorado.
5:00 pm pst.
Kansas State lost to Drake, in their season-opener, 80-70. The Wildcats are in real trouble this season as they lack experience and leadership. They only have four scholarship players from last year's squad, and only one from the Big 12 Conference co-champions of 2018-2019. Things aren’t going to improve here as they face a very dangerous Colorado team. The Buffaloes were impressive against South Dakota in an 84-61 win to start the campaign. McKinley Wright IV led Colorado with 20 points and was joined in double-figures by three players off the bench: Barthelemy, Horne and Walker, who are all solid athletes. As a matter of fact, this team has a bench as good as just about any in the conference. This team rattled off seven straight victories to start last year’s season off. Then lost a pair of outings to powerhouse Kansas and a very game, Northern Iowa before running another five-win hot streak over such notables as Dayton and yes, even Oregon. Look for Wright to star in his own highlight reel here as K State has no one to contend with him. Take the Buffaloes to win big here. Thank you.
My free play is on UCLA at 3:00 ET.
UCLA received a No. 22 ranking in the AP's preseason poll, due to winning SEVEN of its last eight to close the 2019-20 season, plus the Bruins and returning a veteran corps of players. UCLA head coach Mick Cronin called his team's season-opening performance at San Diego St vs the Aztecs a "total regression," as the Bruins lost 73-58! "We are not a collection of lottery picks," Cronin said in his postgame press conference. "We have to be physical. We have to be tough. We got taught a lesson tonight. My message to (the team) is that obviously I didn't get the job done," he added. Meanwhile, Pepperdine opened its 2020-21 season in the same arena where UCLA lost, beating UC Irvine 86-72 in a matinee at Viejas Arena in San Diego.
Pepperdine is coached by Lorenzo Romar. He spent 15 years as Washington's head coach taking the Huskies to six NCAA tourneys, including three Sweet 16s. However, he was fired after a 9-22 season and was announced as the new head men's basketball coach at Pepperdine on March 12, 2018, returning for his second stint with the school (spent three years in Malibu in the late-90s). His first team went 16-18 and last year's team was just 16-16, although the Waves showed flashes of brilliance, including near-misses against Pac-12 foes USC and Arizona plus they also took WCC juggernaut Gonzaga to the wire in Spokane. Preseason All-West Coast Conference selection Kessler Edwards (a 6-8 forward) had 22 points and seven rebounds on Wednesday and PG Colbey Ross added 13-6=8. Ross averaged 20.5-4.7-7.2 last season..
UCLA opened the season led by senior SG Chris Smith, who was named the Pac-12 Conference's Most Improved Player of the Year last season after averaging a team-high 13.1 points and 5.4 rebounds. The 6-10 Hill (9.0 & 6.9) and 6-9 Riley (8.8 & 4.5) are the team's two-best frontcourt players, while big guards Jaquez (8.9 & 4.8) and Campbell (8.3) join Smith on the perimeter. However, the Bruins sputtered with the ball, shooting just 39.5 percent (17 of 43) from the floor in losing by 15 points to SS State. Chris Smith and Cody Riley each shot just 3 of 7 from the floor, although Riley did have 12 rebounds. Jaquez was UCLA's best performer, scoring 17 points and grabbing six rebounds.
I lost with UCLA on Wednesday but will come back with them here, hoping my preseason expectations are NOT wrong!
FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR FRIDAY, 11/27:
My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play on my cut list for Friday afternoon college football action is with Over the Total in the game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the North Carolina Tar Heels. Notre Dame (8-0) remained unbeaten on November 14th with their 45-31 win at Boston College as a 13-point favorite. The Irish gained 557 yards in that game — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Notre Dame has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. North Carolina (6-2) comes off a 59-53 win against Wake Forest as a 13-point favorite on November 14th. The Tar Heels have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against team with a winning record. The Over is also 7-3-1 in North Carolina’s last 11 games as an underdog. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank.
Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports DELIVERED their 25* NFC East Game of the Month yesterday on underdog Washington who PULLED THE UPSET again Dallas to improve their 27 of 42 (64%) Football Game of the Month/Year sides mark! Frank ALSO CA$HED his 25* CFB American Athletic Conference Underdog of the Year last Saturday on UCF to further his RED HOT 10 of 14 (71%) CFB Game of the Year/Month mark — and now he UNLEASHES his 25* CFB ACC Game of the Year for the Notre Dame-North Carolina ATS winner on ABC-TV at 3:30 PM ET! DO NOT DARE MISS OUT!
140 Oregon at Oregon State
There is a lot of love out there for the Oregon Ducks, but we still aren't convinced. There has to be some sort of regression at QB after seeing what's going on with the Chargers rookie signal caller. Oregon returned just four starters on the offense, so not sure we trust them to win big on the road in a rivalry game.
Oregon State improved by three wins last year under Jonathan Smith. The Beavers returned nine starters, and the unit looks much improved. This team gave the Ducks a game last year in Eugene losing 24-10. We look for another lower scoring affair with the host getting the cover.
PLAY OREGON STATE
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