Free Pick: Canadiens vs. Stars Odds
Looking for Montreal Canadiens vs. Dallas Stars free NHL predictions? NHL betting sees the Canadiens taking on the Stars on 10/29 at American Airlines Center, in Dallas. This free NHL pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Canadiens Stars matchup.
2026 NHL Handicapping – Montreal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars
Canadiens +138 | Stars -163Here’s why I’m backing an UNDER bet below in my Canadiens Stars free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Canadiens vs. Stars Gameday
The Montreal Canadiens visit the Dallas Stars on Thursday, October 29, 2026, at American Airlines Center. Puck drop is set for 8:00 p.m. ET, with Prime Video carrying the game in Canada. Montreal enters at 7-3-2, while Dallas stands at 7-4-1.
Martin St. Louis has the Canadiens sitting second in the Atlantic Division. Montreal has won three straight and is looking to finish its four-game road trip with a perfect record.
That’s a strong response to some early-season adversity.
Montreal keeps winning, while Dallas has some explaining to do after getting embarrassed on home ice.
Glen Gulutzan’s Stars sit third in the Central Division. Dallas had won five straight before New Jersey brought that streak to an abrupt end.
The Stars are looking for an immediate response.
Montreal has been effective away from home, posting a 4-1-1 road record. The Canadiens have shown they can handle different opponents without relying on one particular style.
Dallas is 4-3-0 at American Airlines Center. The Stars have been competitive, although their home results haven’t always matched expectations.
These clubs split their two meetings last season. Thursday gives both teams another chance to establish themselves against a quality opponent.
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Montreal Canadiens vs. Dallas Stars Odds & Previous Games
Dallas opened as a -163 moneyline favorite, with Montreal at +138. The Canadiens are +1.5 on the puck line at -189, while the total is six goals.
The Stars are getting respect despite Tuesday’s ugly result.
Montreal shut out St. Louis 2-0 after beating Winnipeg 2-1 and Chicago 4-1. The Canadiens previously lost 4-3 in overtime to San Jose and defeated Buffalo 4-3.
Their recent success hasn’t required huge scoring totals.
Dallas lost 5-1 to New Jersey after defeating the Islanders 6-3. The Stars also beat Winnipeg 3-2, Boston 3-2 and Chicago 4-0.
That latest defeat was a sharp departure from their previous form.
Montreal defeated Dallas 4-3 in overtime on January 4, 2026. The Stars won the earlier meeting 7-0 in Montreal.
The Canadiens also earned a 3-1 road win in January 2025. Recent meetings have featured both close finishes and one particularly ugly night for Montreal.
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Stars Stats
Dallas has scored 32 goals through 12 games, averaging 2.67 per outing. The Stars have recorded 53 assists, but their offense hasn’t consistently produced at the level expected from this roster.
They’ve depended heavily on their leading forwards.
Mikko Rantanen has 14 points, including six goals and eight assists. Jason Robertson follows with 13 points, while Roope Hintz has contributed 10.
Dallas has plenty of expensive scoring talent, but its defense has been doing the heavy lifting.
The Stars have allowed 24 goals through 12 games, an average of 2.00 per outing. That’s still an excellent defensive record despite their latest setback.
Dallas has recorded three shutouts. Keeping opponents off the scoreboard has helped compensate for inconsistent scoring.
The penalty kill has also been outstanding. Dallas has killed 22 consecutive penalties over its past six games.
The Stars need more production from their supporting forwards. Their top scorers shouldn’t have to carry every offensive possession.
Jake Oettinger has six wins and three shutouts in nine appearances. His strong early-season work has been a major part of Dallas’ success.
Casey DeSmith has appeared three times, recording one win. He allowed five goals against New Jersey in his latest outing.
Dallas is also dealing with injuries to Matt Duchene and Esa Lindell. Their absences have affected the team’s depth at forward and on defense.
Canadiens Stats
Montreal has scored 36 goals through 12 games, averaging 3.00 per outing. The Canadiens have also collected 58 assists and 337 shots on goal.
They’ve generated enough offense to stay competitive.
Cole Caufield has six goals and four assists. His finishing ability remains an important part of Montreal’s attack.
Lane Hutson has contributed 10 points from the blue line. He’s also recorded 15 blocked shots, providing value beyond his offensive production.
Captain Nick Suzuki leads Montreal with 12 points, including five goals and seven assists. However, he’s sidelined with an upper-body injury and is expected to miss two to four weeks.
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The Canadiens have continued collecting wins without their captain. Their supporting forwards have stepped up during his absence.
Jacob Fowler has recorded six wins and two shutouts in seven appearances. He made a franchise rookie-record 46 saves in the win over St. Louis.
Jakub Dobes is confirmed to start Thursday against Dallas. He enters at 1-2-2 with a 4.47 GAA, making this a considerably different goaltending assignment for Montreal.
Dobes has struggled in his recent appearances. Montreal needs better defensive support in front of him, particularly against Dallas’ dangerous top forwards.
Montreal Canadiens vs. Dallas Stars bottom line: Dallas has been excellent at limiting opponents, but Montreal’s goaltending change gives the Stars an opportunity to test a less dependable option in net.
Montreal Canadiens vs. Dallas Stars Hockey Betting Trends
- Dallas has won 4 of their last 5 games.
- Also, the Stars have seen the total go over in 3 of their last 5 games.
- Montreal has won their last 4 games.
- Additionally, the Canadiens have kept their opponents to 2 or fewer goals in 3 of their last 4 games.
- The Stars have scored at least 3 goals in 4 of their last 5 games.
- The Canadiens have allowed 1 or fewer goals in 3 of their last 4 games.
Canadiens Stars Free Pick: Under 6
Here is my Canadiens Stars free pick: Under 6. Montreal has allowed one goal or fewer in three of its L4 games, and Dallas has been excellent at keeping opponents off the scoreboard. That’s the kind of matchup I want when betting an Under.
The Stars got embarrassed by New Jersey, but I’m not tossing out their defensive body of work over one bad night. Montreal has also shown it can win without getting dragged into a track meet.
One ugly Dallas loss doesn’t mean the Stars suddenly forgot how to defend.
The key is avoiding early penalties and keeping this game at five-on-five. Neither club needs to chase offense if the score stays close, and that should keep the pace under control.
I see a tight game where scoring chances have to be earned.
At six, we also have some protection with a push if the teams combine for exactly six goals. I’m backing the defensive matchup and taking Under 6
Today’s NHL Free Pick
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Dallas Stars on X
We have loaned Dylan Hryckowian to the @TexasStars. https://t.co/Y7zw04uDOS
— Dallas Stars (@DallasStars) October 28, 2026
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