Free NFL Week 16 Pick: Commanders vs. Jets Odds
Looking for Washington Commanders vs. New York Jets free NFL Week 16 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Commanders taking on the Jets on Sunday, December 24th at the MetLife Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 16 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Washington New York matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 16
(4-10) Washington Commanders vs. New York Jets (5-9)
Date: Sunday, December 24th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ
NFL Week 16 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Washington +3 | New York -3
Week 16 NFL Moneyline Odds: Washington +133 | New York -161
NFL Betting Total: O/U 38
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They’re close to each other in proximity, but that’s it. These two hardly ever play each other. The Jets and Washington have faced off 12 times. The New York Jets won 4 games, while the Washington Commanders triumphed in 8 matches.
Last season, the Commanders and Jets did not face off head-to-head.
The Dolphins beat the Jets 30-0 last Sunday, even without their top receiver, Tyreek Hill. That’s all I’ll mention about that game from last week. The Jets didn’t play well. #Understatement
Last week, Washington found themselves down 20-0 in the third quarter against Los Angeles. Initially, the Rams believed their 20-point lead was secure, but they eventually allowed the Commanders to claw their way back, I guess they missed the memo that it’s a 60 minute game.
Ron Rivera explained that he chose to bench Howell to keep him safe. What does that even mean? Protect him? He’s a grown man Ron!
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Washington Commanders
Heading into their 14th game of the season, the Commanders are 4-10 overall and 3-5 on the road.
The Commanders are looking to snap a three game road losing streak. In the NFC-East, they are in NFC-East place. Washington comes into this one having not covered the spread in two straight games on the road.
Their overall ATS record for the season is 5-8-1.
In their defeat against the Rams, Washington had a slow start and failed to score in the first quarter. The Commanders concluded the game with 297 yards on offense, while allowing 445 on defense.
Washington’s 8 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 6.5 point underdogs. Jacoby Brissett threw for 124 yards while completing 80% of his passes and throwing for 124.
Brissett threw for two touchdowns.
Before being pulled, Howell threw 11 out of 26 passes for 102 yards, scoring 1 touchdown and getting 1 interception. The Commanders have now lost 5 in a row! Did I say that yet?
Washington Commanders Stats
Against the Rams, the Commanders ran the ball 21 times, with Chris Rodriguez Jr. leading the team with 35 yards. Brissett threw the ball 10 times for 124 yards and a passer rating of 157.
Overall, the Commanders offense is averaging 20.1 points per game which is 20th in the NFL. In terms of scoring on the road, the Commanders are averaging 21.6 points per contest.
The Commanders’ defense has, on average, allowed 384.5 yards and 30.2 points per contest (30th). Leading up to this game, they’ve permitted a 65.1% completion rate and yielded 32 passing touchdowns.
In terms of run defense, they rank 20th in the NFL.
New York Jets
In their matchup against the Commanders, the Jets aim to build on their 5-9 record. This places them 3rd in the AFC-East and 15th in the AFC. New York comes into this one having not covered the spread in three straight games on the road. Their overall ATS record for the season is 5-8-1.
New York could not get anything going in a 30-0 loss. New York’s 30 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 7 point underdogs. Trevor Siemian did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 14 of 26 passes for 110 yards. Siemian ended the game with a passer rating of 32.
New York Jets Stats
Against the Dolphins, the Jets ran the ball 12 times, with Breece Hall as the primary rusher, accumulating 12 yards. Trevor Siemian attempted 26 passes, amassing 110 yards and a passer rating of 32.
The Jets come in with an average 14.4 points per game on offense, which has them 27th in the NFL.
On defense, the Jets come into the game ranked 3rd in tackles for loss and 9th in sacks. Opponents are scoring 20.5 points per game vs. them along with an average of 298.4 yards per contest.
Washington Commanders vs. New York Jets NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Commanders are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Jets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Commanders are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Jets have gone 2-7-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Commanders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Jets’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Commanders vs. Jets Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Commanders | +108 | +133 | +2 | +3 |
Jets | -126 | -161 | -2 | -3 |
4* Free Week 16 NFL Betting Prediction: Washington +3
Ron Rivera said after the game that Sam Howell will keep starting for the Commanders still. Was I dreaming or did I notice Brissett came in during the fourth quarter when the Commanders were losing 28-7.
I could have sworn I saw Brissett give a boost to the offense, leading a quick drive that ended in a 29-yard touchdown pass to Terry McLaurin.
That happened right? What is going on in Washington?
On the other side, after watching the Jets last week, how does one envision their team winning any football game again this season? They are just about as bad as the Chargers in my eye.
Despite being favored vs. the Commanders, I have to like Riverboat Ron and the Commanders to cover the spread (+3). There’s no other play here.
Not only does our model have a projected total of 40 points in this matchup, but the eye test has me feeling this line of 38 is low. I like Washington and New York to exceed 38 points.
I have a few reasons for liking this play. Washington has won 8 out of their last 12 games against the NY Jets. They’ve also won 4 out of their last 5 games when playing on the road against the NY Jets.
Curious about why this game might have a high score? Well, the Jets and Washington both struggle on defense.
Surprisingly, Washington’s defense is just as weak as the Jets’ offense. Laugh out loud!
In fact, in 4 out of Washington’s last 5 games and 6 out of the NY Jets’ last 7 games against Washington, the total points scored have gone over the expected limit.
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Commanders Jets NFL Handicapping
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Washington Commanders vs. New York Jets NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
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Greg Zuerlein@THenny43 @ashtyn @Gipson22X pic.twitter.com/7Frg8PQxFy— New York Jets (@nyjets) December 19, 2023
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