Free NFL Pick: Seahawks vs. Raiders Odds
Looking for Seattle Seahawks vs. Las Vegas Raiders Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Seahawks taking on the Raiders on 11/15 at Allegiant Stadium, in Las Vegas. This free NFL football pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Seahawks Raiders matchup.
2026 NFL Handicapping – Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders
Seahawks -6.5 | Raiders +6.5Here’s why I’m backing a Seattle ATS bet below in my Seahawks Raiders free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Seahawks vs. Raiders Gameday
The Seattle Seahawks visit the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, November 15, 2026. This Week 10 matchup kicks off at 4:05 PM ET on CBS, with streaming available through Paramount+. Seattle enters at 5-4, while Las Vegas stands at 4-5. Mike Macdonald’s Seahawks are 1-2 on the road and have struggled to find offensive consistency.
Their defense, however, remains one of the NFL’s toughest units.
Seattle has the better defense, while Las Vegas is making a quarterback change at a difficult time.
Klint Kubiak’s Raiders are 1-3 at Allegiant Stadium. Kubiak served as Seattle’s offensive coordinator during its Super Bowl-winning 2025 season before taking over in Las Vegas.
That coaching reunion adds some intrigue.
Seattle is looking to build on a divisional victory, while Las Vegas hopes to recover from a difficult loss in San Francisco. Both clubs have shown they can compete, but their results have been uneven.
Allegiant Stadium is enclosed, keeping outdoor weather from becoming a factor.
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Seattle Seahawks vs. Las Vegas Raiders Odds & Previous Games
Seattle opens at -291 on the moneyline, while Las Vegas is listed at +238. The Seahawks are favored by 6.5 points, with the Raiders getting 6.5. The total is 40.5.
Seattle has lost three of its last five games, falling to Chicago 34-17, Denver 17-14 and San Francisco 32-29. Its victories came against Arizona 17-3 and Kansas City 20-3.
Las Vegas has dropped four of its last five games, losing to San Francisco 38-17, the Rams 35-21, Buffalo 33-30 and New England 45-17.
Its victory came against the Jets, 38-33.
The Raiders won the most recent regular-season meeting in November 2022.
Las Vegas defeated Seattle 40-34 in overtime at Lumen Field. The Seahawks won the previous regular-season meeting 27-3 in London in October 2018.
Las Vegas leads the all-time series 29-25, including postseason games.
These teams have not met in the regular season since that overtime contest. Sunday’s matchup brings different coaching staffs and offensive personnel, making those older results less important than their current form.
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Raiders Stats
Las Vegas averages 26.4 points and 331 offensive yards per game. Its passing attack ranks fifth in the NFL, but the ground game sits 31st at 71.3 rushing yards per contest.
Ashton Jeanty leads the backfield with 362 rushing yards and one TD. He’s also caught 42 passes for 371 yards and three scores.
Brock Bowers leads the receiving corps with 48 catches for 658 yards and six TDs.
Tre Tucker has added 529 receiving yards and four TDs, while Michael Mayer has contributed 388 yards. The Raiders have enough receiving talent to create problems when their quarterback has time.
Defensively, Las Vegas allows 385.4 yards and 29.8 points per game, ranking last in both categories. Opponents average 151.2 rushing yards, another league-worst figure.
The Raiders can put points on the board, but their defense keeps handing opponents the same opportunity.
Against San Francisco, Las Vegas lost 38-17. The Raiders struggled to contain the 49ers’ offense and couldn’t produce enough stops to stay competitive.
Nakobe Dean leads the defense with 99 tackles, while Maxx Crosby has recorded four sacks. Both will need to make their presence felt against Seattle.
Thomas Booker was limited Wednesday and Thursday with an ankle injury. Trey Zuhn III also practiced on a limited basis while working through concussion protocol.
Folorunso Fatukasi returned to full participation Thursday after being limited Wednesday. His practice improvement was encouraging for a defensive front facing a difficult assignment.
Seahawks Stats
Seattle leads the NFL in total defense, allowing 244.2 offensive yards per game. The Seahawks also rank first against the pass, surrendering 155.1 yards per contest.
Opponents average just 18 points against Seattle, ranking fifth in the league. Macdonald’s defense has been the team’s most consistent strength.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the receiving corps with 71 catches for 1,036 yards and nine TDs.
Cooper Kupp has contributed 238 receiving yards and two scores, while AJ Barner has added 210 yards. Seattle has continued getting production from its receiving group despite offensive changes.
Emanuel Wilson leads the rushing attack with 403 yards and three TDs. Jadarian Price has added 172 yards, providing another backfield option.
The Seahawks have recorded 13 defensive takeaways. Their ability to disrupt opposing offenses has helped compensate for inconsistent scoring.
Against Arizona, Seattle earned a 17-3 victory. The Seahawks kept the Cardinals out of the end zone and controlled the game defensively.
Ernest Jones leads Seattle with 88 tackles and has contributed three sacks. His production gives the Seahawks an important presence in the middle of their defense.
Sam Darnold and guard Quenton Nelson have been ruled out by Macdonald. Charles Cross was limited Thursday with an ankle injury, while Leonard Williams missed both Wednesday and Thursday with a stinger.
Rashid Shaheed practiced fully on both days after missing time with a knee injury. Seattle will continue monitoring its offensive line and defensive front heading into Sunday.
Seahawks vs. Raiders QB Matchup
Drew Lock is expected to start for Seattle while Sam Darnold recovers from quadriceps and rib injuries. Lock has completed 54 of 76 passes for 597 yards, five TDs and no interceptions through three appearances.
Lock owns a 71% completion rate and a 116 passer rating. His efficiency has been encouraging during Seattle’s recent quarterback changes.
The veteran threw for 175 yards and a TD against Arizona.
Lock has been limited in practice with right-elbow and oblique injuries. Macdonald expects him to start, although the Seahawks have continued managing his throwing workload.
Fernando Mendoza has been named Las Vegas’ starting quarterback following Kirk Cousins’ trade to Minnesota. The rookie has appeared in one game, completing six of eight passes for 48 yards.
Mendoza was the first overall selection in the 2026 NFL Draft. He will make his first regular-season start against a defense that has consistently limited opposing quarterbacks.
The Raiders have been preparing Mendoza throughout the season, and Kubiak believes he’s ready for the opportunity. His first challenge will be managing Seattle’s defensive pressure and changing coverages.
Mendoza has yet to throw a regular-season TD or interception.
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Lock brings considerably more NFL experience, while Mendoza is beginning his career as a starter. Both quarterbacks face pressure to execute without creating unnecessary mistakes.
Seattle will look to protect Lock and keep its offense functioning efficiently, while Las Vegas needs to provide manageable situations for Mendoza. Neither team wants its quarterback carrying the entire offensive burden.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Las Vegas Raiders bottom line: Seattle has the stronger defense and a more experienced quarterback, while Las Vegas needs its rookie passer to handle pressure and avoid costly mistakes.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Las Vegas Raiders Football Betting Trends
- The Seahawks have gone 11-4 straight-up in their last 15 regular season games when playing as favorites.
- Plus, Seattle has a 3-0 over/under record in their last three regular season games after a win.
- The Raiders have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 home games during the regular season.
- Las Vegas has hit the over in all 7 of their regular season games this year, including when playing as underdogs.
- The Seahawks have a 4-2 straight-up record in their last 6 away games during the regular season.
- Additionally, the Raiders have a 7-0 over/under record in their last 7 games with totals set at 42 or less.
Seahawks Raiders Free Pick: Seahawks -6.5
Here is my Seahawks Raiders free pick: I’m backing Seahawks -6.5. Seattle hasn’t been a reliable offensive machine, but the Raiders are allowing opponents to run all over them. That’s a weakness I expect Mike Macdonald’s club to attack.
Las Vegas has the firepower to make this uncomfortable, so I’m not treating the home team like a pushover. But when a defense gives up that much ground, the opposing offense doesn’t need to be spectacular to keep moving the chains.
I’m betting Seattle controls the line of scrimmage and makes those 6.5 points look reasonable.
The concern is Seattle’s battered offensive line. A couple of protection breakdowns or giveaways could keep the Raiders hanging around longer than they deserve.
That’s why I want the Seahawks leaning on the ground game instead of turning this into a passing contest. Keep the chains moving, make Las Vegas tackle, and force its defense to spend another long afternoon on the field.
The Raiders can score, but stopping somebody would be a nice change of pace.
I’m laying it with the Seahawks.
Today’s NFL Free Pick
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