Washington Commanders vs. Los Angeles Rams 12/17/2023 Free Pick & NFL Betting Prediction

Free NFL Week 15 Pick: Commanders vs. Rams Odds

Looking for Washington Commanders vs. Los Angeles Rams free NFL Week 15 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Commanders taking on the Rams on Sunday, December 17th at the SoFi Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 15 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Washington Los Angeles matchup.

NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 15

(4-9) Washington Commanders vs. Los Angeles Rams (6-7)
Date: Sunday, December 17th
Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood CA
NFL Week 15 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Washington +6.5 | Los Angeles -6.5
Week 15 NFL Moneyline Odds: Washington +242 | Los Angeles -308
NFL Betting Total: O/U 49

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The Commanders and Rams did not have any head-to-head matchups last season, but the Rams took the last meeting 3-years ago, 30-10.

Commanders had last week off so they should be well rested and have a nice game plan in place for this one.

Last week the Rams got themselves 29 points IN BALTIMORE. That’s not a bad thing. They should feel good about that performance, as no QB had done that well against the Ravens all season.

The Commanders will have their hands full with Stafford, Nacua, Kupp and Kyren Williams. No team has given up a higher rating to QB’s this season than the Commanders. They also allow the most YPG and PPG. Ouch.

But over the last three times playing each other, the Commanders have a record of 2-1. The Commanders also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.

These games averaged a combined total of 40 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.

When it comes to their series history, the Commanders hold a 26-14-1 advantage.

Offensive Stats

Defensive Stats

Washington Commanders

Last week, the Commanders had a bye and suffered a 45-15 loss to the Dolphins on December 3, while the Rams faced a 37-31 overtime defeat against the Ravens.

Leading up to their matchup with the Rams, the Commanders are 4-9.

They currently sit 4th in the NFC-East and are in 14th place in the NFC. Against the spread, the Commanders have a record of 5-7-1.

Washington struggled with a slow start in their defeat against the Dolphins, failing to register any points in the first quarter.

In total, the Commanders managed 245 yards on offense while allowing 406 yards on defense. Washington’s 30 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 9 point underdogs.

Even though Sam Howell did not throw for a touchdown, he ran for two scores and threw for 127 yards on 23 attempts.

Washington Commanders Stats

Against the Dolphins, the Commanders ran the ball 28 times, with Brian Robinson Jr. as the top rusher, gaining 53 yards. Howell attempted 23 passes, amassing 127 yards and a passer rating of 50.

In terms of offense, the Commanders are at 20.1 points per game, ranking them 20th in the NFL.

Going up against the Rams’ offense, the Commanders defense has allowed an average of 30.4 points per game. So far this season, they are 16th in quarterback hits and have yielded an average of 379.8 yards per contest.

Los Angeles Rams

Their most recent encounter was on October 11, 2020, in Landover, Maryland, where the Rams defeated the Commanders with a score of 30-10.

In the NFC-West standings, the Rams are placed 2nd with a record of 6-7. Within the NFC, Los Angeles holds the 8th spot as they approach week 15. Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Rams are above .500 at 7-5-1.

Despite slightly cutting into their three-point halftime deficit, the Rams still lost to the Ravens. On offense, the Rams finished with 410 on 5 yards per play. On the other end, the Ravens ran the ball 26 times for 139 yards.

The Ravens finished with 449 yards of total offense. Even though Los Angeles lost the game straight-up, they did cover the spread as 7.5-point underdogs.

Matthew Stafford threw for 294 yards while completing 56% of his passes and throwing for 294. Stafford threw for three touchdowns.

Los Angeles Rams Stats

On offense, the Rams finished with 410 yards against the Ravens. On third-down situations, the Rams had a 37.5% conversion rate.

Notably, Kyren Williams led the rushing attack with 114 yards, while Stafford passed for 294 yards.

Offensively, the Rams have an average of 23 points per game, which positions them 10th in the NFL.

Los Angeles is 18th in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 22.3 points per game, accumulating 339.9 yards per contest.

The Rams’ offense is playing at an elite level, scoring 104 points in the last 3.

Washington Commanders vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Football Betting Trends

• The Commanders are 2-2-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
• Conversely, the Rams are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
• Also, the Commanders are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
• On the other side, the Rams have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
• Over the Commanders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
• The Rams’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.

Commanders vs. Rams Line Movement

4* Free Week 15 NFL Betting Prediction: Washington +6.5

No teams throws the ball more than Washington, and they’re going to have to air it out to keep pace with the Rams in this one.

The Commanders boast a strong offensive lineup featuring Howell, Robinson, McClurin, and Dotson. However, it might not be enough. I think the X-Factor is the fact the Commanders are rested, and this will help them keep this game in the “safe zone”.

Searching the interwebs for some Week 15 betting info on the Commanders vs. Rams game? The LA Rams haven’t been great, they’re 4-10 SU in their last 14 when playing against Washington, and the Rams are 4-11 SU in their last 15 against NFC teams.

On the other hand, Washington has performed well on the road, with a 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 away games.

At the end of the day I believe the Rams will rebound with a home victory.

But, I’m picking Washington to cover the spread at +6.5. Heading into this matchup, Los Angeles’ games have averaged 45.3 points per game. Given that the over/under line for this matchup is at 49, I’m taking the under. My model calls for 43. 

Now, if you’re curious about the over/under trends, here’s what you need to know to make a confident pick.

The total score has gone UNDER in 9 of the Rams’ last 13 games against Washington, as well as in 4 of their last 5 home games. Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington’s last 12 games against NFC West opponents.

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Commanders Rams NFL Handicapping

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Washington Commanders vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day

Time to take command. pic.twitter.com/jY0uuAFH4g

— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) December 14, 2023

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About Kyle Knecht

New to Cappers Picks but not new to the world of online sports gambling. Kyle Knecht is a lifelong sports fan from Jacksonville, Florida that has a passion for sports and sports betting. He has coached and played college sports for 10 years so he has seen sports from the inside and knows how it operates. After he got out of coaching he picked up sports betting and has found a true niche with watching games and analyzing their outcomes. He is looking to share his expertise and knowledge with others to help turn a profit in the sports betting world.

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