Free NFL Divisional Round Pick: Commanders vs. Lions Odds
Looking for Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions free Divisional round picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Commanders taking on the Lions on Saturday, January 18th at the Ford Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Playoff games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Washington Detroit Divisional playoff matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Divisional Weekend
2025 NFL Playoffs – Divisional Round
(12-5) Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions (15-2)
Date: Saturday, January 18th
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit MI
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Washington +9.5 | Detroit -9.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Washington +407 | Detroit -543
NFL Betting Total: O/U 55
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Get ready for a blockbuster Divisional Round showdown as the red-hot Washington Commanders (12-5) take on the dominant Detroit Lions (15-2) under the bright lights of Ford Field.
These two teams have a storied history, meeting 47 times, including three playoff clashes, with Washington holding the all-time edge at 31-16.
Their last meeting saw the Lions claim a thrilling 36-27 victory in 2022, but both squads have undergone significant transformations since then.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Lions have the leg up at 2-1. The Lions also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 51 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Detroit, riding high as NFC North champs, boasts a high-powered offense led by Jared Goff and a stingy defense that’s been a nightmare for opponents all season.
The Lions are heavy favorites, laying 9.5 points, with a moneyline that reflects their dominance at -543.
Washington Commanders
Washington finished the regular season with a 12-5 record, which included a five-game winning streak before their week 1 playoff win over the Buccaneers. The Commanders were 4-2 in the NFC East and 10-3 in conference play, putting them 2nd in the division and 6th in the NFC.
They went 7-2 at home and 6-3 on the road.
Heading into the divisional round, Washington is 11-6-1 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +5.4 points per game. Their O/U record is 11-7, with their games averaging 51.1 points compared to a 46.2-point line.
Washington Commanders Stats
Jayden Daniels returned under center for the Commanders in the Wild Card round, throwing for 268 yards and 2 touchdowns on 24/35 passing, with a passer rating of 110. He connected with Dyami Brown 5 times for 89 yards and a touchdown. Daniels was sacked just once and avoided turnovers after throwing an interception in week 17.
Washington’s run game struggled against the Buccaneers, with Daniels leading the team with 36 yards on 13 carries.
Washington ranks 5th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 28.2 points per game. They rank 6th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion rate (45.6%) and are 2nd in 1st-quarter scoring.
Despite ranking 2nd in red zone attempts, they are 28th in conversion percentage.
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In their 23-20 win over the Buccaneers, the Washington Commanders’ defense gave up 183 passing yards on just 15 completions. Tampa Bay finished with a completion percentage of 83.3% and averaged 10.2 yards per attempt through the air.
Washington’s defense struggled on third downs, allowing the Buccaneers to convert 55.6% of their third down attempts. They did manage one sack in the game.
On the ground, the Commanders allowed 101 rushing yards on 25 attempts, with Tampa Bay averaging 4.0 yards per attempt. Washington’s defense will look to improve in their next game after giving up two passing touchdowns to the Buccaneers.
Detroit Lions
The Lions finished the regular season with a 15-2 record, putting them at the top of the NFC. They went 6-0 in divisional games and 11-1 against conference opponents. Detroit also ranks 1st in our power rankings.
Detroit is 12-4-1 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +13.1 points per game. They are 11-4-1 as favorites and 1-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 9-7-1, with their games averaging 53.3 points compared to an average line of 50.5.
Detroit Lions Stats
Last game out for the Lions, QB Jared Goff threw for 231 yards on 27/33 passing in week 18, with one touchdown and two interceptions. He posted a passer rating of 132 in week 17 (303 yards, 3 TDs) and 136 in week 16 (336 yards, 3 TDs).
Jahmyr Gibbs rushed for 139 yards and 3 touchdowns on 23 carries in week 18, following a 117-yard performance in week 17. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the team with 6 catches for 77 yards in week 18.
Detroit leads the NFL in scoring, averaging 33.2 points per game, and ranks 2nd in passing yards (263.2) and total yards per game (409.5). They are 4th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 47.6% success rate, and lead the league in red zone attempts, though they rank last in conversion percentage.
In their 31-9 win over the Vikings, the Lions’ defense was outstanding, holding Minnesota to just 142 passing yards and a completion percentage of 43.9%. The Lions’ secondary didn’t allow any passing touchdowns and limited the Vikings to a passer rating of only 51.1.
Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Commanders are 3-1-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Lions are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Commanders are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Lions have gone 9-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Commanders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Lions’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Commanders vs. Lions Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +397 | +408 | +8.5 | +9.5 |
| Lions | -540 | -541 | -8.5 | -9.5 |
4* Free NFL Playoff Betting Prediction: Washington +9.5
Don’t count out the Commanders, who have surged to six straight wins behind the electric play of Jayden Daniels and the veteran leadership of Bobby Wagner. Washington has been stellar against NFC foes, going 5-0 SU in their last five such matchups.
The point spread sits at 9.5 in favor of the Lions. For this matchup however we’re going to take the Commanders to cover the spread, but have the Lions winning straight-up in this Divisional Round postseason matchup.
Our final score prediction is 31-23.
With a total set at a lofty 55 points, expect fireworks in this clash of styles—Detroit’s precision offense versus Washington’s scrappy resilience.
Small play on the UNDER for a total pick. (Just a lean)
Playoff football doesn’t get better than this, and if recent trends are any indication, we’re in for a nail-biter!
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Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
JG does it all 👏 pic.twitter.com/XYdVNJcp8w
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) January 14, 2025
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