
Free NFL Week 15 Pick: Buccaneers vs. Packers Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers free NFL Week 15 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Buccaneers taking on the Packers on Sunday, December 17th at the Lambeau Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 15 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tampa Bay Green Bay matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 15
(6-7) Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers (6-7)
Date: Sunday, December 17th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay WI
NFL Week 15 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tampa Bay +3.5 | Green Bay -3.5
Week 15 NFL Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay +145 | Green Bay -181
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42.5
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The Bucs and Packers are matching up for a crucial game at Lambeau Field in Week 15 as they push for playoff spots. It’ll be Baker Mayfield vs. Jordan Love. The Bucs are returning to Lambeau for the first time since their victory over the Packers in the 2020 NFC Championship, it’s evident that both teams have undergone significant transformations over the past three years.
The Packers picked up a 14-12 win over the Buccaneers in their only head-to-head matchup last season. The combined 26 points fell below the over/under line of 42.
The Packers covered the spread in last year’s matchup. Offensively, the Packers finished with 248 passing yards and 67 rushing yards in their win.
As for Tampa Bay, they ended the game with 285 yards of total offense.
In NFL history, when playing as the home team, the Packers have a commanding lead in the all-time series at 20–8. On the other hand, when the Buccaneers have home-field advantage, they hold a slight edge with a 15–14–1 record.
Overall, in the 58 times the Buccaneers and Packers have faced off, the Packers maintain the upper hand with a 34–23–1 lead all-time.
Week 15 Offensive NFL Stats
Almost the same QB numbers for these two!
- Baker Mayfield: 274 completions, 438 attempts, 62.6 %, 2934 Yds, 6.7 Yds Per ATT, 20 TD’s, 8 INT’s, Sacked 28x
- Jordan Love: 275 completions, 447 attempts, 61.5 %, 3084 Yds, 6.9 Yds Per ATT, 23 TD’s, 11 INT’s, Sacked 26x
| Stat | TB | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 20.2 (19th) | 21.5 (16th) |
| Yards Per Game | 304.4 (23rd) | 329.3 (18th) |
| Rushing Yards Per Game | 90 (29th) | 106.3 (19th) |
| Passing Yards Per Game | 214.4 (20th) | 223 (18th) |
| Third Down Conversion Percentage | 40.1% (13th) | 43.4% (6th) |
| Red Zone Conversion Percentage | 36.1% (8th) | 14.9% (20th) |
Week 15 Season Defensive NFL Stats
| Stat | TB | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game Allowed | 20.8 (13th) | 20.5 (11th) |
| Yards Per Game Allowed | 362.8 (27th) | 342.1 (19th) |
| Rushing Yards Per Game Allowed | 98.8 (10th) | 141.8 (30th) |
| Passing Yards Per Game Allowed | 264.1 (30th) | 200.2 (8th) |
| Turnovers Forced | 19 (6th) | 15 (9th) |
| Sacks | 38 (6th) | 29 (14th) |
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Baker Mayfield looked good last week. No turnovers last week for the Bucs, and Mayfield is protecting the ball. That helps any shortcoming this Bucs team has right now. Heading into their matchup vs. the Packers, the Buccaneers are 6-7 overall and have picked up two straight matchups. In the NFC-South, Tampa Bay is in 1st place.
In terms of the spread, the Buccaneers hold a record of 8-5.
In their 29-25 win over the Falcons, the Buccaneers actually trailed at halftime by a score 12-12 before making a second-half comeback. For the game, the Buccaneers’ offense averaged 4 yards per play compared to the Falcons at 6.
The Falcons went 6/13 on third down. Tampa Bay went into the game as the underdog (+1.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Quarterback Baker Mayfield threw for two touchdowns and ran for 1 score.
Mayfield completed 48% of his passes for 144 yards.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
Tampa Bay’s offense generated 290 total yards against the Falcons. On third downs, the Buccaneers managed a conversion rate of 37.5%. Rachaad White led the team in rushing with 102 yards, while Mayfield passed for 144 yards.
Tampa Bay’s offense is 19th in the league, with an average of 20.2 points per contest.
Defensively, the Buccaneers are currently ranked 6th in tackles for loss and 6th in sacks.
Their opponents have been putting up an average of 20.8 points per game against them and accumulating 362.8 yards per contest.
Green Bay Packers
Disappointing Week 14 loss, but all is not over for this Packers team yet. This season, the Packers are 3rd in the NFC-North on an overall record of 6-7. In non-conference games, their record is 2-3 while going 4-4 in NFC action.
The Packers’ have a ATS record of 7-6.
Despite slightly cutting into their three-point halftime deficit, the Packers still lost to the Giants. On offense, the Packers finished with 326 on 4 yards per play.
On the other end, the Giants ran the ball 34 times for 209 yards. The Giants finished with 367 yards of total offense. Green Bay also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 5.5 point favorites.
Jordan Love threw for 218 yards while completing 64% of his passes and throwing for 218. Love threw for one touchdown.
Green Bay Packers Stats
Offensively, Love finished with 218 passing yards while completing 64% of his passes. On the ground, the Packers rushed the ball 25 times for 123 yards. The team converted 5 of 14 third-down opportunities.
At 21.5 points per contest, the Green Bay offense is 16th in the league.
On defense, the Packers come into the game ranked 15th in tackles for loss and 14th in sacks.
Opponents are scoring 20.5 points per game vs. them along with an average of 342.1 yards per contest.
Packers are tied for 21st in takeaways, and you know the Defense is rattled this after last week, but I think they get things fixed, and bounce back at home vs. Baker and the Bucs.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Packers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Buccaneers are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Packers have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Buccaneers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Packers’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Buccaneers vs. Packers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | +130 | +145 | +3 | +3.5 |
| Packers | -155 | -181 | -3 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 15 NFL Betting Prediction: Green Bay -3.5
If you’re into Week 15 game stats for the Buccaneers vs. Packers showdown, you’re in luck. Tampa Bay hasn’t been doing great lately, winning only 3 out of their last 9 games and just 2 out of 6 against Green Bay. When they play on the road against Green Bay, it’s been even tougher with only 2 wins out of their last 17 games.
Green Bay, on the other hand, is in good shape with 16 wins out of their last 17 December games. They’ve also been performing well in terms of ATS, with a 4-2 record in their last 6 games and an 8-4 record against NFC opponents.
Look for the Packers to jump out to an early lead over a Buccaneers defense that struggled last week. With the proper gameplan I think the Pack can expose a lot of weakness’ in the Bucs armour.
I like the Packers to not only win straight-up over the Buccaneers but also cover the spread as 3.5-point home favorites.
The analysis we’ve been running for this game has Tampa Bay and Green Bay finishing with a combined 35 points.
Now, if you’re considering Over/Under trends, here’s what you need to know. Green Bay’s home games have gone UNDER in 5 out of their last 7.
When Tampa Bay faces NFC North opponents, the total has gone UNDER in 8 out of 10 games. And when Green Bay plays against NFC South opponents, it’s gone UNDER in 6 out of 8 matchups.
With the over/under line sitting at 42.5, I’m getting a bet down on the under.
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Bucs Packer NFL Handicapping
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Another important NFC clash coming in Week 15.
Packers Daily ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/nCrJakQfqw
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) December 13, 2023
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