Free NFL Pick: Buccaneers vs. Lions Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Buccaneers taking on the Lions on 10/20 at Ford Field, in Detroit. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NFL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NFL predictions like this Buccaneers Lions free pick.
2025 NFL Handicapping – Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions
(5-1) Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions (4-2)
Date: Oct 20, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Ford Field in Detroit, MI
NFL Moneyline Odds: Buccaneers +201 | Lions -243 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Buccaneers +5.5 | Lions -5.5
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 52.5
Here’s why I’m backing the Lions to win in my Buccaneers Lions free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Buccaneers vs. Lions Gameday
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers head into Week 7 with a strong record of 5-1-0, showing they can win both at home and on the road. Led by head coach Todd Bowles, they’ve been spotless on the road at 3-0.
In their latest outing, Tampa Bay took down the San Francisco 49ers 30-19, proving they can handle tough opponents.
Meanwhile, the Detroit Lions stand at 4-2-0, flexing their muscle at home with a perfect 2-0 mark.
Under head coach Dan Campbell, the Lions stumbled last week in a 30-17 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, but they’ve looked solid overall with earlier wins against the Bengals and Browns.
Looking back, these two teams have traded blows in recent meetings. Last season, Tampa Bay edged out Detroit 20-16 at Ford Field. With both sides trending upward, this rematch promises fireworks in the Motor City.
Finally, the stage is set under the dome at Ford Field, where weather won’t play spoiler. Fans can catch the primetime showdown on ABC at 7:00 PM.
Week 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions — buckle up, this one should be a good one.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions Odds & Last 5
As kickoff nears, the Buccaneers are listed as underdogs at +201 on the moneyline, while the Lions sit at -245. Detroit is favored by 5.5 points, with a total set at 52.5 — signaling oddsmakers expect a high-scoring affair.
The Buccaneers have been rolling, winning five of their last six games, including that statement win over San Francisco.
Detroit, on the other hand, has been streaky — dominant against the Bengals and Browns, but recently humbled by the Chiefs.
Historically, this matchup stays tight. Last season’s 20-16 Tampa win shows how little separates them. Expect another nail-biter, as both teams enter with something to prove.
Lions Stats
Firstly, Detroit’s offense has been fun to watch despite last week’s setback against Kansas City. Jared Goff continues to light it up, ranking first in passing touchdowns with 14 through six games.
When the Lions roll, it’s usually on Goff’s arm.
Amon-Ra St. Brown leads the aerial assault, tallying 452 receiving yards and six touchdowns — both team highs. The Lions offense should thrive at home, where they’ve averaged over 30 points per game this year.
Defensively, Detroit remains gritty, ranking seventh in scoring defense and fourth in interceptions last season. Still, they’ll have their hands full with Baker Mayfield and company.
Injury-wise, losing Marcus Davenport and D.J. Reed hurts, but Campbell’s crew rarely folds at Ford Field. Expect Detroit’s playmakers to come out swinging as they chase a bounce-back win in front of the home crowd.
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Buccaneers Stats
To begin with, the Buccaneers enter Week 7 riding high after back-to-back wins, including that 30-19 triumph over the 49ers. They’ve found rhythm offensively, and it all starts with Baker Mayfield.
Mayfield’s been sharp — 1,539 passing yards, 12 touchdowns, and just one interception. That’s elite-level efficiency, and his chemistry with Mike Evans has been key to the Bucs’ resurgence.
On the ground, Rachaad White leads the charge with 214 rushing yards and four scores. His dual-threat versatility keeps defenses honest, even with injuries thinning the depth chart.
With Chris Godwin and Bucky Irving sidelined and Evans questionable, Tampa Bay will need depth receivers to step up.
But make no mistake — Mayfield’s leadership and confidence have this team believing they can win anywhere.
Buccaneers vs. Lions QB Matchup
Jared Goff’s been carving up defenses, averaging 261.8 passing yards per game and tossing 14 touchdowns with just two picks. He’s cool, confident, and deadly in rhythm.
When he’s on, Detroit’s offense hums like few others.
Baker Mayfield isn’t far behind. The Bucs’ QB is averaging 256.5 yards per game, with 12 touchdowns and a league-best one interception. His decision-making and pocket poise have been huge factors in Tampa Bay’s 5-1 start.
Both quarterbacks have the stats and swagger to light it up, but this one could come down to who handles pressure better inside the dome. Expect plenty of passing fireworks under the Ford Field lights.
The Lions’ home-field edge is real, but the Bucs’ momentum and Mayfield’s grit make this one far from a sure thing.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions bottom line: This matchup features two of the NFL’s hottest QBs leading offenses that can score in bunches.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions Football Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers have a 7-0 record against the spread in their last 7 away games.
- Also, the Buccaneers have won three of their last 4 games straight up as underdogs.
- The total has gone over in four of the Buccaneers’ last 6 away games.
- The Lions have an 11-1 record against the spread in their last 12 games as favorites.
- Additionally, the Lions have a perfect 3-0 record straight up in their last 3 home games.
- The total has gone over in six of the Lions’ last 8 games as favorites.
Week 7 Buccaneers Lions Free Pick: Lions -5.5
Here is my Buccaneers Lions free pick. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have proven capable on the road this season, going 3-0 straight up away from home while covering consistently against the spread in those games.
Yet, history isn’t on their side in this matchup — Tampa Bay is just 5-12 ATS in its last 17 meetings against Detroit, suggesting the Lions have consistently found ways to exploit their weaknesses.
Detroit, on the other hand, has been a powerhouse at Ford Field.
The Lions are 13-3 straight up in their last 16 home games and 4-1 ATS over their last five overall. Even more telling, they’re 5-1 ATS in their last six contests against NFC South opponents, showing that Dan Campbell’s squad thrives in these interdivisional battles.
Their 11-1 ATS mark as favorites further underscores how reliable they’ve been in protecting home turf.
Tampa Bay’s road play deserves respect, but facing a Detroit team that’s rolling both offensively and defensively makes this an uphill climb. The Lions’ offensive rhythm and defensive physicality have turned Ford Field into one of the toughest environments in football.
Given Detroit’s dominant home record and strong ATS form, the Lions ATS is the smart play.
It won’t be easy, but my forecast calls for the Lions to continue their push toward the NFC title.
Today’s NFL Free Pick
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NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Coach Sheppard 🤝 JG pic.twitter.com/U6Q379RzBg
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) October 17, 2025
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