Free NFL Pick: Buccaneers vs. Falcons Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Buccaneers taking on the Falcons on 9/7 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, in Atlanta. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NFL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NFL predictions like this Buccaneers Falcons free pick.
2025 NFL Handicapping – Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons
Date: Sep 07, 2025
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA
NFL Moneyline Odds: Buccaneers -134 | Falcons +114 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Buccaneers -2.5 | Falcons +2.5
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 47.5
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Buccaneers vs. Falcons Gameday
As the 2025 NFL season kicks off, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel to the Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons. Set under a retractable roof, the game is scheduled for Sunday, September 7, at 1:00 PM and will be broadcast on FOX. Weather is expected to be mild with scattered clouds, and the indoor conditions should negate any potential wind impact.
Tampa Bay, led by head coach Todd Bowles, aims to build on their preseason performances. Despite a recent loss to the Buffalo Bills, the Buccaneers displayed offensive promise with Josh Gizzard at the helm as offensive coordinator. Their defensive strategy, managed by Kacy Rodgers and Larry Foote, will be put to the test against a divisional rival.
The Falcons, under head coach Raheem Morris, look to rebound after a challenging preseason. Having suffered losses against the Cowboys, Titans, and Lions, the team seeks to find their stride with Zac Robinson orchestrating the offense. Jeff Ulbrich’s defense will play a crucial role in countering the Buccaneers’ attack, especially with their recent head-to-head history.
Both teams share a competitive rivalry in the NFC South, with their last encounter seeing the Falcons edge out a win against the Buccaneers. Fans can anticipate a dynamic game as both teams look to start the season on a positive note.
Week 1, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons, we’re all hoping a great game is in store.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons Odds & Last 5
Interestingly, the odds slightly favor the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with a moneyline of -134, while the Atlanta Falcons hold a moneyline of +114. The spread is set at -2.5 for the Buccaneers and +2.5 for the Falcons, with the total points over/under pegged at 47.5. This suggests a potentially close matchup, reflecting the competitive nature of their previous encounters.
Historically, the Falcons have had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning their last encounter 31-26 at Raymond James Stadium. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers managed a close win the last time they visited the Mercedes-Benz Stadium, finishing 29-25. These results contribute to the intense rivalry and add another layer of anticipation for this upcoming game.
In the preseason, Tampa Bay showed promise by winning two of their three games, notably defeating the Titans 29-7. In contrast, the Falcons faced challenges, dropping all three of their preseason games, including a 31-13 loss against the Cowboys. These performances may influence the strategies both teams employ as they aim to start the season with a win.
Falcons Stats
To begin, the Atlanta Falcons are set to kick off their 2025 season at home in the Mercedes-Benz Stadium against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Falcons wrapped up the 2024 season with a solid offensive performance, ranking 5th in passing yards with 4,068 and 10th in rushing yards with 2,219. However, their defense allowed 5,868 yards, placing them 23rd in the league.
In terms of individual performances, running back Bijan Robinson was a standout player last season, finishing with 1,456 rushing yards, which ranked 3rd in the league. Wide receiver Drake London also made an impact with 1,271 receiving yards, ranking 4th overall. These players will be crucial for the Falcons as they look to start the season strong.
Despite the offensive talent, the Falcons struggled in the preseason, losing all three of their games. Their most recent preseason game against the Dallas Cowboys ended in a 31-13 defeat, raising concerns about their defense. The Falcons will need to tighten up defensively to improve their chances in the regular season.
On the injury front, the Falcons have several players on the injured reserve list, including key offensive linemen Storm Norton and Kaleb McGary. Additionally, wide receivers Jamal Agnew and Darnell Mooney are listed as questionable, which could impact their passing game. These injuries may pose challenges as they face the Buccaneers.
Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. is projected to lead the Falcons’ offense against Tampa Bay, with an expected 222.1 passing yards and 1.4 touchdowns. With Kirk Cousins as a backup option, the Falcons have depth at the quarterback position. Penix’s performance will be pivotal in determining the outcome of the game.
Finally, the Falcons’ kicking game remains strong with Younghoe Koo, who is projected to score 7.0 fantasy points in this matchup. His accuracy and reliability could be decisive in tight situations. The Falcons will look to capitalize on their offensive strengths while addressing defensive weaknesses as they aim for a successful start to the season.
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Buccaneers Stats
To begin with, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are entering the 2025 season with a strong offensive track record from last year. They ranked 4th in the league with 502 points scored and an impressive 3rd in passing yards with 4,257. Additionally, their ability to secure first downs was noteworthy, ranking 2nd in the NFL with 395.
Furthermore, Baker Mayfield, the Buccaneers’ quarterback, had an outstanding 2024 season. He threw for 4,500 yards, placing him 3rd in the league, and led the NFL with 41 passing touchdowns. However, his 16 interceptions were a concern, ranking 57th in the league, which the team will aim to address this season.
On the ground, Bucky Irving emerged as a key player in the Buccaneers’ rushing attack. He accumulated 1,122 rushing yards, ranking 10th in the league, and scored 8 rushing touchdowns. His dual-threat capability was evident with 47 receptions for 392 receiving yards, making him a versatile asset for Tampa Bay.
Transitioning to their preseason performance, the Buccaneers showed mixed results. They secured a 29-7 victory against the Tennessee Titans, but fell short against the Buffalo Bills with a 23-19 loss. Despite the loss, wide receiver Tez Johnson stood out with 8 receptions for 58 yards and a touchdown.
In terms of injuries, the Buccaneers face some challenges heading into Week 1. Key players like Chris Godwin and Tristan Wirfs are ruled out, while Rachaad White and Cade Otton are questionable. These absences could impact their offensive output against the Falcons.
Finally, the Buccaneers’ defense will play a crucial role in their success. Last season, they ranked 5th in the league with 46 sacks and 4th in fumbles recovered with 12. Their ability to pressure the quarterback and force turnovers will be vital against an Atlanta Falcons team looking to start the season strong.
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Buccaneers vs. Falcons QB Matchup
Baker Mayfield enters the 2025 season as the starting quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. In the previous season, Mayfield demonstrated his capabilities by throwing for 4,500 yards, ranking third in the league, and leading the team with 41 passing touchdowns. As the Buccaneers prepare to face the Falcons, Mayfield is projected to throw for 253.6 yards and score two passing touchdowns, making him a key player to watch in this matchup.
On the other side, Michael Penix Jr. will be under center for the Atlanta Falcons. Though he only played five games last season, Penix Jr. managed to throw for 775 yards and three touchdowns. Looking ahead to the game against the Buccaneers, Penix Jr. is expected to throw for 222.1 yards and contribute 1.4 passing touchdowns, indicating his potential to impact the game significantly.
Mayfield’s consistency and high performance last season make him a formidable opponent for any defense. His ability to avoid interceptions, with none projected for this game, adds to his reliability as a quarterback. The Buccaneers will rely on his leadership and precision to navigate through the Falcons’ defense.
Penix Jr., while less experienced than Mayfield, has shown promise and will aim to establish himself as a starting quarterback in the league. His projected stats suggest he could play a crucial role in the Falcons’ offensive strategy. The matchup against the Buccaneers will be an opportunity for Penix Jr. to showcase his skills and potential as a leading quarterback for Atlanta.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons Football Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers have a 2-1 record in their recent preseason games, with wins against the Titans and Steelers, and a loss to the Bills.
- Also, the Buccaneers’ preseason games have seen varied scoring, with totals of 48, 31, and 36 points in their last three matchups.
- The Falcons have struggled in the preseason, losing all three of their recent games against the Cowboys, Titans, and Lions.
- The Falcons’ games have been lower-scoring, with totals of 41, 43, and 27 points in their last three contests.
- Additionally, the Buccaneers’ defense has been effective at forcing turnovers, recording multiple interceptions in their games against the Steelers and Titans.
- The Falcons’ offense has faced challenges, particularly in their rushing attack, which was held to just 22 yards against the Lions.
Buccaneers vs Falcons Prediction: Buccaneers +2.5
The Buccaneers step into this matchup with momentum, and their offensive firepower from last season can’t be overlooked. Ranking 4th in scoring and 3rd in passing yards, they showcased an ability to consistently pressure defenses with big plays and sustained drives.
Moreover, Tampa Bay excelled on third downs, converting at a league-best 50.9%. That efficiency not only extends drives but also keeps their defense fresh and capable of capitalizing on mistakes when it matters most.
The Buccaneers’ defense forced turnovers at a high rate last year, which could spell trouble for an inconsistent Falcons attack.
Meanwhile, the Falcons enter this contest with question marks surrounding their rushing game, as their lack of balance puts too much pressure on their aerial attack. Although Atlanta did rank 5th in passing yards a season ago, their inability to establish the ground game could leave them one-dimensional against a tough defense.
In addition, the Falcons’ defense struggled to contain opponents, finishing 22nd in points allowed. That vulnerability lines up poorly against a Buccaneers offense that thrives on exploiting mismatches and pushing the tempo early and often.
Given the Buccaneers’ ability to dominate possession, force turnovers, and consistently find the end zone, the edge clearly leans toward Tampa Bay. Their balanced roster and proven efficiency make them the right side to back in this divisional matchup. Take the Bucs +2.5.
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NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Play for the glory
Play for The 🅰️ pic.twitter.com/JW8zQUxocG
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) September 4, 2025
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