Free Week 1 Prediction: Steelers vs. Bills NFL Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills free NFL Week 1 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Steelers taking on the Bills on Sunday September 12th at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Pittsburgh Buffalo matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 12th, 2021
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
NFL Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Bills -6.5
NFL Week 1 Moneyline Odds: Steelers +250 | Bills -303
NFL Week 1 NFL Betting Total: 48.5
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Pittsburgh stormed out of the gate last season winning 11 in a row but the wheels came off after that. They have a tough start to this season for sure
Buffalo had about the best season they could have hoped for last year. Now Josh Allen got paid and they are looking for more. Love the team but they still have some things to prove.
Pittsburgh is a pretty complete team, the question is whether they are an elite one. 12 regular seasons wins did not lead to playoff success and the Steelers are not used to seeing their relevance falling below that of Cleveland.
Ben Roethlisberger can still be a quality quarterback for the Steelers. They did improve their depth at that position and more importantly, used a first-round draft pick on a running back as they look to be more balanced than they have been recently. I like RB Najee Harris a lot. They have to commit to running the ball to make it work though.
Pittsburgh has a very strong defense featuring TJ Watt, last year’s sack leader. The Steelers did not have enough money to hold onto Buf DuPree, an effective pass rusher on the other side of the defense. You can’t sign everyone and that may reduce the effectiveness of the defense a little.
Pittsburgh is a very good team with no real glaring weaknesses. This first game of the season is going to be a true test of how they measure up next to the other strong teams in the AFC.
Buffalo might not have gotten better over the offseason and might again find themselves in a spot where Kansas City knocks them out of the playoffs. That does not mean they are not very very good though.
Josh Allen was amazing last season. It was a breakthrough year in the true meaning of the word. The question is whether it was a one-off or whether he has set a new benchmark of him being one of the best quarterbacks in the league. I think it is the latter.
Buffalo has kept last year’s team mostly intact. One change will be at receiver where Emmanuel Sanders replaces Cole Beasley and they have elevated Gabriel Davis to full time starter. I expect no dropoff with the group they have, in fact I think there is a slight upgrade.
Buffalo head coach Sean McDermott want this to be a better team on defense. Injuries held that side of the ball back and so did a lack of a pass rush. Better health is hard to predict but they doubled down in the draft on pass rushers so they should be better in that regard. All signs point to Buffalo not letting up this season.
NFL Betting Trends:
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games when playing Buffalo
- Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
- Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
- Buffalo is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Bills -6.5
These teams met last season with the Bills winning by 11 at home in December. Both of these teams have a ton of continuity coming into this one so we should get a good game. I like Allen to feel some pressure but use his legs to make some big plays on the ground and especially through the air. Buffalo wins with relative ease thanks to a strong opening performance. Get it now before it gets to a full 7 points.
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