Free NFL Wild Card round Pick: Steelers vs. Ravens Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens free Wild Card round picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Steelers taking on the Ravens on Saturday, January 11th at the M&T Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Playoff games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Pittsburgh Baltimore wild card matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Wildcard Playoffs
2025 NFL Wild Card Weekend
(10-7) Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens (12-5)
Date: Saturday, January 11th
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore MD
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Pittsburgh +9.5 | Baltimore -9.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Pittsburgh +399 | Baltimore -530
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45.5
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Get ready for one of the most electrifying matchups of Wild Card Weekend as the Steelers and Ravens renew their fierce rivalry under the primetime lights.
With 62 meetings (including four playoff battles) between them, these two AFC North powerhouses have delivered some of the most physical, hard-hitting games in NFL history.
Pittsburgh leads the all-time series 36-26, but the Ravens have the recent edge, including a dominant 34-17 win last month where Lamar Jackson shredded the Steelers’ defense.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Steelers have a record of 2-1. The Steelers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 37 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
This time, Baltimore enters as heavy favorites, laying 9.5 points at home. The Ravens boast a 6-1 record straight up (SU) in their last seven home games and are 5-1 against the spread (ATS) over their last six overall.
Pittsburgh Steelers
After ending the regular season on a four-game losing streak, the Steelers bounced back with a 18-10 win over the Falcons in week 1. Pittsburgh was a 4-point underdog in this matchup, but the victory gave them a 10-7 record and 6th place in our power rankings. They finished the season 2nd in the AFC North and went 3-3 in division games.
Against the spread, the Steelers were 11-6, with a +1.9 scoring margin. They were 5-3 as favorites and 6-3 as underdogs. Their O/U record was 8-9, with an average of 42.8 points per game in their matchups. The O/U line for their games was 42 points.
Pittsburgh Steelers Stats
Heading into the Wild Card round, the Steelers rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 15th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 22.4, and 23rd in yards per game, with 319.4. Pittsburgh has leaned heavily on the run game, ranking 4th in rushing attempts and 11th in rushing yards per game. On the other hand, they are 27th in passing yards per game, with 192, on 29.4 attempts per game.
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In their 19-17 loss to the Bengals, the Steelers’ defense gave up 314 yards, with Cincinnati finding success through the air. Pittsburgh allowed 80.4% of the Bengals’ passes to be completed for 246 yards and one touchdown. The Steelers did come up with four sacks and one interception.
On the ground, the Steelers limited the Bengals to 68 rushing yards on 21 attempts. Despite this, the Bengals were able to move the ball effectively through the air, with Pittsburgh struggling to get off the field, allowing the Bengals to convert on 38.5% of their third down attempts.
Baltimore Ravens
After a week 2 loss to the Raiders, the Ravens bounced back with four straight wins to finish the season 12-5, securing the top spot in the AFC North. This run included a 25-point win over the Browns in week 18, a 29-point win over the Texans in week 17, and a 17-point win over the Steelers in week 16. Baltimore was favored in all three games and covered the spread each time, including a 16.5-point spread against the Giants in week 15.
Heading into the playoffs, the Ravens rank 2nd in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +9.2 and are 10-6-1 against the spread this season. Their O/U record is 13-4, with their games averaging 51.7 points compared to a 47.3-point line.
Baltimore Ravens Stats
Our offensive power rankings have the Ravens sitting at the top heading into the Wild Card round. Baltimore leads the NFL in yards per game (424.9) and ranks 3rd in points per game, averaging 30.5. They have leaned heavily on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and leading the league with 187.6 rushing yards per game. On 3rd down, the Ravens have converted 48.2% of their attempts, which ranks 3rd in the NFL.
In their 35-10 win over the Browns, the Ravens’ defense allowed just 56 rushing yards on 19 attempts, giving up only 2.9 yards per attempt. They also limited Cleveland to 174 passing yards and a 52.9% completion rate. Baltimore’s defense intercepted two passes and held the Browns to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down.
The Ravens’ defense also recorded two sacks in the game.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Steelers are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Steelers are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Ravens have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Steelers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Ravens’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Steelers vs. Ravens Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | +352 | +398 | +8.5 | +9.5 |
| Ravens | -468 | -525 | -8.5 | -9.5 |
4* Free Wild Card NFL Betting Prediction: Baltimore -9.5
Pittsburgh has stumbled into the playoffs, winning just once in their last five games, and will need a near-flawless effort to keep this one close.
The stakes couldn’t be higher, and the clash of these bruising defenses adds an extra layer of intrigue. Baltimore’s offensive firepower, led by Jackson, sets them apart, but I guess we can’t count out the Steelers’ scrappy mentality.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Ravens to cover as 9.5-point favorites in this week one playoff matchup between them and the Steelers. With the point spread being at 9.5 in favor of the Ravens, they’re simply too good for Russell Wilson’s Steelers. This should be a cakewalk, 26-14.
For this week’s over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the UNDER, with a projected combined score of 40, and the O/U line sitting at 45.5 points.
. With the largest spread of the weekend, this game has the potential to deliver drama, intensity, and plenty of betting action. Buckle up!
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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Primetime loading @Invisalign | @Lj_era8 pic.twitter.com/cSiKptiVHK
— Baltimore Ravens (@Ravens) January 8, 2025
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