Free NFL Week 15 Pick: Jets vs. Dolphins Odds
Looking for New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins free NFL Week 15 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Jets taking on the Dolphins on Sunday, December 17th at the Hard Rock Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 15 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New York Miami matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 15
(5-8) New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins (9-4)
Date: Sunday, December 17th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens FL
NFL Week 15 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New York +9.5 | Miami -9.5
Week 15 NFL Moneyline Odds: New York +333 | Miami -436
NFL Betting Total: O/U 40
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Earlier this season the Dolphins came out on top with a 34-13 win in their initial matchup against the Jets. On the point-spread, the Dolphins went in as the favorite (-9.5) and they secured a 21 point win, picking up an ATS win.
The over/under line going into the game was 40 points, which the teams surpassed.
The Dolphins lead the series 59–56–1. In the sole postseason encounter, the Dolphins secured a victory over the Jets in the 1982 AFC Championship.
This past week the Jets pulled off a surprising 30-6 victory against the Texans, putting an end to their five-game losing streak.
Zach Wilson reclaimed his position as the starting quarterback and demonstrated, at least for that week, that he should continue in that role for Gang Green.
On the other hand, the Dolphins experienced an upset on Monday night when they lost to the Titans 28-27, marking their first home defeat of the season.
Tyreke Hill suffered an injury in the first quarter, played sparingly, and his absence had a significant impact as the Fins struggled without him, which might have solidified his MVP candidacy.
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New York Jets
Zach Wilson had his offense put up 30 points last week. So, are the Jets suddenly now surging? Time will tell. At 5-8, the Jets are 14th in the AFC and 3rd in the AFC-East. This will be New York’s 6th road game this season, where they have gone 2-3.
The Jets currently hold a 5-7-1 record against the spread.
On offense, the Jets racked up 347 yards in their 30-6 win over the Texans.
For the game, the Jets ran for 79 yards on an average of 3.0 yards per attempt. Defensively, they allowed 135 yards of total offense with 54 yards coming through the air and 81 on the ground.
New York went into the game as the underdog (+3), giving them a straight-up and ATS win.
Quarterback Zach Wilson had a big game, throwing for 301 yards on a passer rating of 117. Wilson completed 75% of 36 attempts in the game.
New York Jets Stats
Offensively, Zach Wilson finished with 301 passing yards while completing 75% of his passes. On the ground, the Jets ran the ball 26 times for 79 yards. The team went 6/15 on third down.
Garrett Wilson had a nice game too.
In terms of offense, the Jets are at 15.5 points per game, ranking them 26th in the NFL.
Defensively, New York is 8th in the NFL in points allowed.
Their opponents have an average of 19.8 points per game while gaining 299 yards per contest.
Miami Dolphins
Dolphins D vs. Zach Wilson will be a nice matchup. Through 13 games, the Dolphins are 9-4. In the AFC-East standings, they are in 1st place which puts them 2nd in the AFC. The Dolphins’ scoring margin heading into this week’s game is at +9, putting their ATS record at 8-5.
To open the game, the Dolphins put up 7 points and held the early lead, but still couldn’t go on to win.
Offensively, Miami finished with 366 yards of offense, while on the defensive side of the ball they allowed 403 yards.
Miami also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 13.5 point favorites. Tua Tagovailoa did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 23 of 33 passes for 240 yards.
Tagovailoa ended the game with a passer rating of 90.
Miami Dolphins Stats
In terms of offensive production, Tua finished with 240 passing yards with a completion rate of 69%. The Dolphins ran the ball 31 times for 158 yards. The team’s third-down conversion rate was 4/13.
So far this season, the Miami offense has been averaging 31.6 points per game, ranking them 2nd in the league.
On the defensive side of the ball, Miami currently ranks 19th in points allowed. Their opponents have been averaging 22.6 points per game while gaining 308.1 yards per contest.
Tua had UNDER an 80 QBR vs. the Fins in game 1, and HILL had a huge game in the 34-13 matchup. Fins also ran the ball 37x in that one. I’m expecting more of the Fins run game in this one. Mostert and Achane should combine to do just fine this week.
New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Jets are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Dolphins are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Jets are 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Dolphins have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Jets’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Dolphins’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Jets vs. Dolphins Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | +570 | +336 | +13.5 | +9.5 |
| Dolphins | -825 | -450 | -13.5 | -9.5 |
4* Free Week 15 NFL Betting Prediction: Miami -9.5
For this game, I’m favoring Miami to cover the spread at -9.5. Miami showcased a strong rushing game the last time these two met, and even though Miami had a letdown game on Monday night, they’ll bounce back in a big way here.
If you’re curious about Week 15 game betting trends for the Jets vs. Dolphins matchup, I’ve got you covered. The NY Jets haven’t been performing well lately, with a 1-5 ATS record in their last 6 games and a 2-9 ATS record against Miami. When playing on the road, they’ve struggled with a 2-8 SU record and a 0-7 SU record when facing Miami on the road.
On the flip side, Miami has been doing better, with an 11-5 ATS record in their last 16 games and a strong 6-1 SU record in their last 7 home games.
I expect Miami to get back to winning in this week’s matchup.
I’ll be placing my bet on Miami before the game starts.
After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 42 points. This projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 40.
Now, let’s talk about the over/under trends. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games and in 5 of their last 7 games against AFC opponents.
Additionally, in the Dolphins’ recent games, the over has hit 5-0 when they face teams with losing records and 4-0 when they are favorites by 3.5 to 10 points.
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Jets Dolphins NFL Handicapping
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New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/MiamiDolphins/status/1735029715860156764
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