Free Week 11 Prediction: Giants vs. Buccaneers NFL Odds
Looking for New York Giants vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers free NFL Week 11 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Giants taking on the Buccaneers on Monday, November 22 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay, Florida. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New York Tampa Bay matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(3-6) New York Giants vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3)
Date: Monday, November 22, 2021
Time: 8:15 PM ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL.
NFL Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: Tampa Bay -11.0 (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 11 Moneyline Odds: New York +420 | Tampa Bay -550
NFL Week 11 NFL Betting Total: O/U 49.5
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Tampa Bay hasn’t won in a while. The Buccaneers will try to get their first win in almost a month on Monday Night Football against the Giants.
New York Giants
New York has been horrible on the whole this season but it has shown some improvement of late.
The Giants had their bye in Week 10 and before that earned just their third win of the season with a touchdown victory over the Raiders.
They got a pick-6 early in the second half against Derek Carr and held the lead from there.
Daniel Jones had a quite afternoon passing the ball but Devontae Booker handled 21 carried out of the backfield and damn near finished with 100 yards.
In the game before that, New York blew a golden opportunity to get a win against Kansas City.
And now after a bye week, the offense in particular is on the mend.
Saquon Barkley returned to practice for the first time in over a month this week. He’s questionable to return to play his first game in six weeks.
Wide receiver Kadrious Toney, who was making strides before picking up a couple of different injuries, should be as healthy as he has been in several weeks.
Kenny Golladay will likely be able to say the same. Both receivers played in the Giants’ last game against the Raiders but were banged up. That was two weeks ago now.
Starting left tackle Andrew Thomas also has a chance to return to action for the first time in a month.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs are the NFC favorites and just behind the Bills as Super Bowl favorites in futures markets, despite not having won a game since October 24.
Tampa lost going into its bye in New Orleans and lost coming out of it in Washington. Monday night will be a return home, where the Bucs have been terrific as favorites.
Tom Brady threw two early interceptions in Tampa Bay’s Week 10 loss to a Washington team that really has no business beating the Bucs.
Those turnovers gave Washington a short field more than once, which allowed it to score when it would have otherwise not. A little momentum on its home field was enough to sustain Washington, even after it lost its terrific young pass-rusher Chase Young.
The Bucs didn’t go completely quietly. Brady threw two touchdowns in the second half and got his team to within four points before Washington put the finishing touches on its victory.
Brady has always been good in bounce-back spots and this year has been no exception (see: third trend below).
Then again, last week was a bounce-back spot with an added week of rest and TB12 came out flat.
Rob Gronkowski and Antonio Brown, who were both enjoying terrific starts to this season, have been down with lingering injuries for multiple weeks now.
It has seemed as if Tampa Bay has taken the path of extreme caution with both of the veteran pass-catchers. Both are listed as questionable mid-week leading up to this one.
A little extra fire power on offense may be all the Bucs need to turn things around.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Giants are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 road games.
- Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Buccaneers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 6-1 in Giants last 7 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games following a straight up loss.
- Head to Head: Road team is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Head to Head: Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
4* Free Week 11 NFL Betting Prediction:
The Giants may be big underdogs but the expectation here is that they are going to be as healthy on offense as they have been just about all season.
Don’t assume that will mean fireworks right away, or ever, especially against a defense like Tampa Bay’s.
The Bucs defense was winning it games as much as the offense was early on. It has slipped a bit during the two-game losing streak. It hasn’t played horribly but it hasn’t made the big plays it was making earlier this season either.
The offense didn’t do it any favors against Washington, however.
Look for the Bucs’ defense to come up big and make some plays in this game and for the Giants to fall behind early.
But New York will shake off the rust in the second half and put enough points up on the board to push this total over.
Play: Over 49.5
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