Free Week 4 Prediction: Giants vs. Saints NFL Odds
Looking for New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints free NFL Week 4 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Giants taking on the Saints on Sunday, October 3rd at Caesar’s Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New York New Orleans matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(0-3) New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints (2-1)
Date: Sunday, October 3rd, 2021
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Caesar’s Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
NFL Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: Saints -7.5
NFL Week 4 Moneyline Odds: Giants +285 | Saints -335
NFL Week 4 NFL Betting Total: 42
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It has not been a good season to be a New York based NFL team. The Giants are still looking for their first win of the season after losing the last 2 games by 4 points combined.
For New Orleans, they are looking for more consistency. They have 2 double-digit wins and a loss by 19 points. This game looks like it will be more like those wins than that loss.
New York Giants
In addition to the lack of victories what stands out most from their numbers over the first few weeks is that QB Daniel Jones is the leading rusher. It is good to have a mobile quarterback but that is definitely not by design. RB Saquon Barkley has not had much of an impact on the Giants offense this season.
Jones has been alright throwing the ball and has not thrown an interception. He is not good enough to elevate the talent around him though and there is not much there.
On defense, the Giants have been adequate. That is not going to cut it though when you offense is scoring less than 20 points more often than not.
For the Giants to win they have to be able to create some big plays that are not scampers from the quarterback. They need to be more aggressive and create some turnovers or find some ways to get Barkley going. The New Orleans quarterback has a history of turning the ball over. Maybe that gets them into the game.
New Orleans Saints
Drew Brees was about as consistent as they came at the QB position while new starter Jameis Winston is not. When he has played well the offense has looked pretty smooth and scored more than enough points to win. When he has not the Saints have stunk. They are not alone in following how their starting QB goes.
Thus far the Saints have not been unable to unlock RB Alvin Kamara the way they did when Brees was under center. He leads the team in catches but is averaging only 6.2 yards per reception. Running the ball he has been kept in check too. His longest run of the season is just 14 yards so far.
The Saints defense was sneaky good last season and it is again this year. They are 3rd in points allowed and 6th in yards. They made Aaron Rodgers look like a rookie and I like their chances against Daniel Jones this week.
New Orleans looks different without Brees taking the snaps but they are winning games and there is no reason for that not to continue on Sunday.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Giants are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
- Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
- Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
- Saints are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 4.
4* Free Week 4 NFL Betting Prediction: Saints -7.5
It feels like there are a lot more of these 7.5 this season than normal. In this case the hook isn’t scaring me too much because the Giants just don’t score much.
New Orleans might have some more games like they did against Carolina a couple of weeks ago but the Giants are not going to rough up the Saints at home.
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