Free NFL Pick: Giants vs. Bears Odds
Looking for New York Giants vs. Chicago Bears Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Giants taking on the Bears on 11/9 at Soldier Field, in Chicago. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NFL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NFL predictions like this Giants Bears free pick.
2025 NFL Handicapping – New York Giants vs Chicago Bears
(2-7) New York Giants vs. Chicago Bears (5-3)
Date: Nov 09, 2025
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL
NFL Moneyline Odds: Giants +163 | Bears -196 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Giants +3.5 | Bears -3.5
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 48
Here’s why I’m backing a Chicago ATS bet below in my Giants Bears free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Giants vs. Bears Gameday
To start, the New York Giants head to Soldier Field to face the Chicago Bears in what promises to be a frosty Week 10 matchup. Light snow, cold winds, and a hostile Chicago crowd — yep, it’s football weather.
The Giants, led by Brian Daboll, are just 2-7 and still searching for their first road win of the year.
Meanwhile, the Bears have been much sharper at 5-3, thriving at home with a 2-1 record under rookie head coach Ben Johnson. Their latest outing was a fireworks show, outlasting Cincinnati 47-42 — a game that reminded everyone this team can score in bunches.
Historically, the Giants have held the upper hand in this matchup, but the Bears are eager to flip that script.
Given Chicago’s recent surge and home-field advantage, they enter as the favorites — though the weather could keep things interesting.
Week 10. New York Giants vs. Chicago Bears. Bundle up, because this one could get wild in the Windy City.
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New York Giants vs. Chicago Bears Odds & Last 5
The latest line has Chicago -192 on the moneyline, with New York +160 as the underdog. The spread sits at Bears -3.5, while the total is 47.5, hinting at another high-scoring affair if conditions allow.
The Giants are reeling, losing three straight — including a 34-24 defeat to San Francisco. Still, they did knock off Philadelphia earlier this year, showing they can surprise teams when they execute. Consistency just hasn’t been their friend.
On the flip side, Chicago’s been rolling. The Bears have taken four of their last five, including that 47-42 shootout win over Cincinnati.
Even with a stumble versus Baltimore, their offense has been explosive, and Caleb Williams looks more comfortable every week.
Bears Stats
The Chicago Bears sit at 5-3 entering Week 10 and are coming off one of the more entertaining wins of the year — a 47-42 thriller over the Bengals.
That result helped erase the sting from their Week 8 loss to Baltimore and reinforced their offensive identity.
Rookie quarterback Caleb Williams has been the real deal, throwing for 1,916 yards and 12 touchdowns through eight games. Against Cincinnati, he completed 20 passes for 280 yards and three scores. D’Andre Swift adds balance, racking up 464 rushing yards and four touchdowns in seven games.
Defensively, the Bears have been aggressive up front, piling up 40 sacks — good for ninth in the league. Tremaine Edmunds anchors the middle, but the group has still allowed 370 points, ranking 12th in opponent scoring. It’s bend-but-don’t-break football, Chicago-style.
Injuries could complicate things. Swift and Cole Kmet are day-to-day, while Jaylon Johnson and Dayo Odeyingbo are sidelined longer-term.
Depth will be tested, especially in freezing conditions at Soldier Field.
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Giants Stats
The New York Giants haven’t found their rhythm in 2025. They’ve dropped four of their last five, including tough losses to the 49ers, Eagles, and Broncos. Their lone bright spot was a Week 6 win over Philly — and that already feels like a lifetime ago.
Quarterback Jaxson Dart has shown flashes, throwing for 1,175 yards and 10 touchdowns over eight games. However, their offense still ranks near the bottom in passing. Losing Cam Skattebo, who rushed for 410 yards and five scores before going down, hurts their balance.
Now Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Devin Singletary shoulder the ground duties.
Defensively, the Giants still know how to force turnovers, ranking 5th in fumble recoveries last season. Safety Dane Belton continues to be a tackling machine, though the defense sits middle of the pack in points allowed.
They’ll need a near-perfect game to contain Williams and Swift.
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Giants vs. Bears QB Matchup
Caleb Williams is settling in as the Bears’ franchise cornerstone. Through eight games, he’s posted 1,916 passing yards, 12 touchdowns, and only four interceptions, ranking 11th in the league.
His 224.4 yards per game and 1.8 touchdowns average make him a steadying force for a Chicago offense that can score in any weather.
Across the field, Jaxson Dart has been efficient but inconsistent. He’s thrown for 1,175 yards, 10 touchdowns, and just three picks, ranking 28th in the league. Expect around 226 yards and 1.5 touchdowns from him if he can stay upright against a fierce Bears pass rush.
With the temperature dropping and snow likely swirling, this could come down to who handles the cold better — the rookie phenom or the scrappy underdog trying to make a statement.
New York Giants vs. Chicago Bears bottom line: Chicago’s balance and home-field edge make them the safer side, but if the weather turns ugly, New York could keep this one closer than expected.
New York Giants vs. Chicago Bears Football Betting Trends
- The Giants have hit the over in their last 4 games as underdogs, going 4-0.
- The Giants are 3-1 on the over in their last 4 away games.
- Additionally, the Giants have struggled straight up in their last 3 away games, going 0-3.
- The Bears are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games.
- Also, the Bears have been successful straight up in their last 6 games, with a record of 5-1.
- The Bears have a 2-1 record against the spread in their last 3 home games.
Giants Bears Free Pick: Bears -3 (Small parlay with ML OK)
Here is my Bears Giants free pick. I’m leaning toward backing the Chicago Bears ATS over the Giants because this feels like a clear mismatch given recent trends and situational factors.
The Giants have been a nightmare on the road, going 0-10 straight up in their last ten away games and just 6-14 against the spread in their last twenty overall. Their inability to travel well continues to be a major liability.
In contrast, Chicago has been rock solid, posting a 5-1 ATS mark over its last six and going 4-1 ATS in its last five matchups versus NFC East opponents.
Those trends, coupled with their current 5-1 straight-up stretch, reinforce how well this team is playing.
Given Chicago’s uptick in form and New York’s continued road woes, the Bears on the spread is the safer play.
Cold and snowy Soldier Field conditions should further tilt things in the Bears’ favor. With Chicago thriving both straight up and against the spread, and the Giants’ ongoing road struggles, the Bears look like the right side to back.
Today’s NFL Free Pick
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NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
NVP! NVP! NVP! pic.twitter.com/gPntT0VPpH
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) November 6, 2025
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