Free NFL Week 16 Pick: Saints vs. Rams Odds
Looking for New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Rams free NFL Week 16 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Saints taking on the Rams on Thursday, December 21st at the SoFi Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 16 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New Orleans Los Angeles matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 16
(7-7) New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Rams (7-7)
Thursday Night Football on Amazon Prime
Date: Thursday, December 21st
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood CA
NFL Week 16 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New Orleans +4 | Los Angeles -4
Week 16 NFL Moneyline Odds: New Orleans +170 | Los Angeles -207
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44.5
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Last week the Rams won their fourth game in five, staying in playoff contention by reaching a .500 record for the season with a 28-20 victory against the Commanders.
As the owner of the Saints fantasy defense last weekend, I was thrilled watching the game against the New York Giants. The Saints dominated, sacking quarterback Tommy DeVito seven times. Their celebratory hand gestures were awesome! They won 24-6.
Last year, the Saints and Rams faced off one time, with Saints winning 27-20. With a combined 47 points, the Saints and Rams surpassed the over/under line of 39. The Saints covered the spread in this matchup.
In the win, the Saints racked up 323 yards of total offense compared to the Rams at 336. The Saints rushed for 88 yards and threw for 235 in the game.
The Rams are ahead in the overall regular season games, 42 wins to 34. New Orleans wants to win on the road against the Rams for the first time since 2009 and also secure their first Thursday Night Football road victory since 2019.
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New Orleans Saints
Looking at the NFC-South standings, the Saints are in 2nd place on a record of 7-7. In the NFC, New Orleans is in 9th place heading into week 16. This season, the Saints find themselves above .500 versus the spread with a record of 4-9-1.
The Saints went into the 4th quarter leading by 11 and were able to extend that lead in their win over the Giants. The Giants racked up 193 yards of offense with 60 coming on the ground and 133 in the passing game.
On the other end, the Saints finished with 296 yards of offense.
Going into the game, New Orleans was favored by 6 and went on to cover the spread. Derek Carr threw for 218 yards while completing 82% of his passes and throwing for 218.
Carr threw for three touchdowns. He threw short TD passes to Keith Kirkwood (7 yards), Juwan Johnson (23 yards), and Jimmy Graham (1 yard).
Alvin Kamara had a great game, doing well on the ground and in the air. He led in rushing and receiving (44 yards), reaching over 1,000 total yards this season for a new Saints record.
New Orleans Saints Stats
Against the Giants, the Saints ran the ball 28 times, with Alvin Kamara as the top rusher, gaining 66 yards. Carr attempted 28 passes, amassing 218 yards and a passer rating of 134.
On offense, the Saints are at 22.1 points per game, putting them 11th in the NFL.
Let’s talk defense. Dennis Allen’s crew got back on track, looking like their old selves. They held the Giants to only 60 rushing yards as a team.
In terms of defense, the Saints hold the 19th position in tackles for loss and are ranked 14th in sacks. Opponents are managing to score an average of 19.1 points and gain 311.9 yards per game against them.
Los Angeles Rams
At home, the Rams have a record of 4-3 this season and are 7-7 overall. When looking at the standings, Los Angeles is 7th in the NFC and 2nd in the NFC-West. On the road, Los Angeles has gone 3-4 thus far.
The Rams have a 8-5-1 record against the spread this season.
On offense, the Rams racked up 445 yards in their 28-20 win over the Commanders. For the game, the Rams ran for 196 yards on an average of 5.3 yards per attempt.
Defensively, they allowed 297 yards of total offense with 218 yards coming through the air and 79 on the ground. Going into the game, Los Angeles was favored by 6.5 and went on to cover the spread.
Running back Kyren Williams had a big game for the Rams, running for one touchdown and 152 yards.
Matthew Stafford completed 75% of his passes for 258 yards.
Los Angeles Rams Stats
Facing the Commanders, the Rams rushed the ball 37 times, with Kyren Williams leading the team with 152 yards. Stafford attempted 33 passes, accumulating 258 yards and a passer rating of 117.
Offensively, the Rams have an average of 23.4 points per game, which is 9th in the NFL.
When it comes to defense, the Rams have given up 226.1 passing yards and 110.8 rushing yards per game. In terms of sacks, Los Angeles ranks 14th among other defenses.
Coming into week 16, they have allowed 22.1 points per game and 336.9 yards.
New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Saints are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Rams are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Saints are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Rams have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Saints’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Rams’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Saints vs. Rams Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | +164 | +167 | +4 | +4 |
| Rams | -196 | -212 | -4 | -4 |
4* Free Week 16 NFL Betting Prediction: New Orleans +4
Few games in the NFC carry more playoff weight than this Thursday Night Football showdown. It’s a pivotal clash for the Saints and Rams, both holding 7-7 records and coming off recent victories.
I must confess, I believe Stafford is a tough challenge this week (compared to DeVito and Bryce Young). But I trust the Saints’ defense to handle it. The Rams didn’t play a full game against the Commanders last week, and Kyren Williams seems to struggle with ball control.
The Saints have won two in a row, not giving up any TDs.
I’ve been checking out some NFL betting trends for the Thursday night football game between the Saints and Rams, and I’ve got the scoop for you.
New Orleans has won 6 out of their last 9 games against NFC West opponents and covered the spread in 6 out of 9 December games.
After a strong performance against New York’s passing game, New Orleans’ pass defense should play well once again. Despite being 4-point underdogs at away, I like them to cover against Los Angeles. I do have the Rams on the ML.
I’m taking the under with the current over/under line at 44.5.
Throughout the season, games involving New Orleans have averaged 41.1 points per game, and I anticipate this game will not exceed 44.5.
Now, if you’re interested in over/under trends, here’s what you need to know. The total score has gone UNDER in 8 out of 11 of the Rams’ games against NFC teams, 5 out of 6 games played at their home stadium, and 16 out of 20 of New Orleans’ recent games.
When the Saints are on the road, the UNDER has hit in 10 out of their last 12 games, and they tend to go UNDER in games against NFC opponents.
Plus, the UNDER has been a winning bet in the Saints’ last 8 games after they cover the spread and their last 7 games as underdogs on the road.
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Saints Rams NFL Handicapping
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New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Let's turn up for our last home game in 2023! pic.twitter.com/pnAtS82kzj
— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) December 19, 2023
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