
Free NFL Pick: Saints vs. Bears Odds
Looking for New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Saints taking on the Bears on 10/19 at Soldier Field, in Chicago. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NFL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NFL predictions like this Saints Bears free pick.
2025 NFL Handicapping – New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears
(1-5) New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears (3-2)
Date: Oct 19, 2025
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL
NFL Moneyline Odds: Saints +205 | Bears -248 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Saints +5.5 | Bears -5.5
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 47
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Saints vs. Bears Gameday
The New Orleans Saints enter Week 7 desperate for a turnaround, sitting at 1-5 under head coach Kellen Moore. They’ve shown flashes of life behind rookie quarterback Spencer Rattler and wideout Chris Olave, but consistency has been hard to find.
Now they head into a rainy Soldier Field hoping to pull off a much-needed upset.
Meanwhile, the Chicago Bears sit at 3-2 and are starting to find their rhythm under new head coach Ben Johnson.
Led by rookie star Caleb Williams and dual-threat back D’Andre Swift, the Bears have been more dangerous on the road than at home, but a recent win over Washington gives them some confidence heading into this matchup.
Historically, the Saints have had the Bears’ number — six straight wins against Chicago, to be exact. That streak gives New Orleans a psychological boost, even with their season trending in the wrong direction. The question is whether that streak holds up in wet and windy conditions this afternoon.
With light rain in the forecast, both teams will need to lean on their running games and avoid turnovers.
Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM ET on FOX, and all eyes will be on how each young quarterback handles the weather and pressure.
Week 7, New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears — we’re hoping this one delivers some fireworks at Soldier Field.
New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears Odds & Last 5
Oddsmakers give the edge to the Bears, who are -245 on the moneyline, while the Saints sit as underdogs at +202. The spread favors Chicago by 5.5 points, and the total is listed at 47.5.
Recently, New Orleans has struggled to put together complete games, losing four of its last five. Chicago, on the other hand, has won three of its last four, including a close 25-24 win over the Commanders. Those results explain why bettors are leaning toward the home team here.
Even so, it’s worth noting that the Saints have completely owned this series. Six straight wins against Chicago show they know how to game plan for the Bears’ tendencies.
That history could make this one tighter than the odds suggest.
Bears Stats
Chicago comes in riding some positive momentum after three straight wins. Caleb Williams continues to impress, making plays both in and out of the pocket. His poise and decision-making have been impressive for a rookie.
D’Andre Swift and Rome Odunze headline the Bears’ skill group, combining for explosive balance on offense. Swift’s 295 rushing yards and 152 receiving yards showcase his versatility, while Odunze’s 328 yards and five touchdowns prove he’s already become Williams’ favorite target.
Defensively, the Bears still have holes but remain opportunistic. They ranked third in fumble recoveries last year, and players like Tremaine Edmunds and Nahshon Wright are stepping up again this season.
However, surrendering over 6,000 yards in 2024 shows that tackling and secondary coverage remain weak spots.
The injury list could play a factor, too. DJ Moore and kicker Cairo Santos are both questionable, which could slow down Chicago’s scoring potential.
Still, expect them to lean on Williams’ arm and Swift’s legs to keep momentum rolling at home.
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Saints Stats
New Orleans continues to search for an identity under Kellen Moore. The Saints sit at 2-4, having dropped a tough 25-19 decision to the Patriots in Week 6 despite 227 passing yards from Spencer Rattler.
The young QB has shown flashes of promise, but mistakes and lack of protection have cost them late in games.
Last season’s offensive rankings tell the story: 23rd in both scoring and passing yards, though they ranked a respectable 14th in rushing. Their ground attack remains their most reliable weapon, giving them some flexibility in rainy conditions at Soldier Field.
Defensively, the Saints have strengths — 10th in sacks (39) and 6th in interceptions (14) last year — but they also ranked 30th in total yards allowed. The inconsistency has been frustrating for a unit capable of making splash plays yet prone to giving up big ones.
Injuries continue to bite, too. Safety Julian Blackmon and lineman Will Clapp are out for the season, while corner Isaac Yiadom is questionable.
Depth will be tested against Chicago’s speed and short passing game.
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Saints vs. Bears QB Matchup
Caleb Williams has quickly adapted to the NFL, averaging 235.8 passing yards and 21.6 rushing yards per game. He’s tossed nine touchdowns with only two picks across five games, proving he’s as efficient as he is electric.
His ability to extend plays will challenge a Saints defense that’s struggled to contain mobile quarterbacks.
Spencer Rattler’s season has been more uneven, but there’s clear upside. He’s averaging 202.8 passing yards and just over a touchdown per game, with one interception through six contests. His dual-threat ability gives the Saints flexibility, but he’ll need more help from his offensive line to stay upright.
Projected stats show Williams around 245 yards and 1.9 touchdowns this week, while Rattler is pegged for roughly 210 yards and one score. If Rattler can protect the ball and avoid sacks, the Saints could surprise.
New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears bottom line: The Bears have the momentum, the home crowd, and the better quarterback right now.
New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears Football Betting Trends
- The Saints have gone 3-1 in their last four games as underdogs in terms of totals.
- In away games, the Saints have hit the over in their last three regular-season games.
- As underdogs, the Saints have struggled against the spread, going 1-2 in their last three games.
- Also, the Bears have been perfect against the spread in their last three games overall.
- In their last three games as favorites, the Bears have not been as successful, going 1-2 against the spread.
- Additionally, the Bears have gone over the total in four of their last six games overall.
Saints vs Bears Prediction: Bears -5.5
Here is my Saints Bears free pick. The New Orleans Saints have endured a rough start to the season, holding a 1-5 record and continuing to struggle away from home.
In fact, New Orleans is just 1-8 straight up in its last nine road games and a miserable 1-9 overall in its last ten contests, which raises major red flags for bettors.
Meanwhile, the Chicago Bears have shown encouraging consistency against the spread, going 5-2 ATS in their last seven outings. Even more, they’ve covered in four of their last six games played in October, a sign that this team tends to tighten up as the season progresses.
That trend bodes well here, especially at Soldier Field where their defense has played with energy and discipline.
Statistically, the Bears have the defensive edge — ranking near the top of the league in sacks and takeaways. Conversely, the Saints’ offensive inefficiency has often led to stalled drives and costly turnovers. Their inability to sustain momentum makes them difficult to back as underdogs.
Given the form, trends, and home-field advantage, the Bears -5.5 is the smart play.
Overall, Chicago’s combination of recent ATS success and defensive pressure should overwhelm a struggling New Orleans team.
Today’s NFL Free Pick
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NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
.@CALEBcsw is live at the podium https://t.co/ETVZfSIpUj
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) October 15, 2025
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