Free NFL Wild Card round Pick: Vikings vs. Rams Odds
Looking for Minnesota Vikings vs. Los Angeles Rams free Wild Card round picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Vikings taking on the Rams on Monday, January 13th at the SoFi Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Playoff games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Minnesota Los Angeles wild card matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Wildcard Playoffs
2025 NFL Wild Card Weekend
(14-3) Minnesota Vikings vs. Los Angeles Rams (10-7)
Date: Monday, January 13th
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Minnesota -2.5 | Los Angeles +2.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Minnesota -134 | Los Angeles +113
NFL Betting Total: O/U 47
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It’s Wild Card Weekend, and we’ve got a high-stakes matchup between the red-hot Vikings (14-3) and the resilient Rams (10-7).
The NFL has moved this playoff game to Arizona amid L.A. wildfires. The game will be played at State Farm Stadium, the home of the Cardinals, in Glendale, AZ.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Rams have the leg up at 3-0. The Rams also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-0-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 56 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-0.
The Rams lead the all-time series 29-17-2, including seven postseason meetings, but history might not be enough to hold off this Vikings squad.
Minnesota has been a machine this season, going 9-1 straight up in their last 10 games and 4-1 against the spread over the last five.
Their road record? A stellar 6-2.
Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings finished the regular season 14-3, placing them 5th in the NFC and 2nd in the North. After a week 7 loss to the Lions, Minnesota closed the season with 6 straight wins, including a 28-6 victory over the Giants in week 1. They were favored by 1 point and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 11-5-1.
Heading into the playoffs, the Vikings have an average scoring margin of +5.9 points per game. Their O/U record is 7-10, with their games averaging 44.9 points compared to a 45.4-point line.
Minnesota Vikings Stats
Heading into the Wild Card round, the Vikings rank 11th in our offensive power rankings. They are 9th in the NFL in points per game (25.4) and 12th in yards per game (346.9). They rank 6th in passing yards per game (237.8) and 19th in rushing (109.1).
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Despite giving up 178 rushing yards to the Lions, the Vikings’ run defense was a bit better than it may have seemed, as Detroit ran the ball 31 times for 5.7 yards per attempt. Minnesota’s defense struggled in their most recent game, giving up 394 total yards in a 31-9 loss to the Lions.
The Vikings’ pass defense allowed 216 yards through the air, with Detroit completing 27 passes. Minnesota did come away with two interceptions in the game.
Overall, the Vikings allowed the Lions to convert on 41.7% of their third down attempts. The Vikings also recorded two sacks and won the tackles for loss battle. However, the Lions were able to take advantage of their opportunities, scoring 31 points despite two turnovers.
Los Angeles Rams
With a 10-7 record, the Rams finished 1st in the NFC West and 4th in the conference. After a 3-game losing streak, they secured a crucial win over the 49ers in week 3, narrowly winning 27-24.
The Rams were 6-point underdogs in that game, but they managed to pull off the upset. In week 2, they suffered a 41-10 loss to the Cardinals, and in week 1, they lost 26-20 to the Lions.
Heading into the season, the Rams were 13th in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of -1.1 points per game and are 9-8 against the spread. Their O/U record is 8-9, with their games averaging 44.3 points compared to an average line of 46.8.
Los Angeles Rams Stats
Heading into the Wild Card round, the Rams are 15th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 21.6 points per game (19th) and 331.4 yards per game (15th). They rank 10th in passing yards per game with 227.5, on 32.9 attempts per game (12th).
On the ground, they are 23rd in rushing yards per game, with 103.8, on 26.5 attempts per game. They’ve struggled on 3rd down, converting just 36.8% of the time (20th), and are also 20th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 8th in attempts.
In their 30-25 loss to the Seahawks, the Rams’ defense allowed four passing touchdowns and gave up 210 yards through the air. Seattle’s success in the passing game was aided by a 74.1% completion rate. The Rams struggled to defend the big play, as the Seahawks averaged 7.8 yards per passing attempt.
Despite this, the Rams’ defense did manage to sack the quarterback twice and had a positive tackles for loss differential. However, the Seahawks were able to run for 126 yards on just 24 attempts, averaging 5.2 yards per carry.
Additionally, the Rams allowed Seattle to convert on 54.5% of their third down attempts.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Vikings are 3-1-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Vikings are 4-4-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Rams have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Vikings’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Rams’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Vikings vs. Rams Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | -145 | -131 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Rams | +125 | +110 | +2.5 | +2.5 |
4* Free Wild Card NFL Betting Prediction: Los Angeles +2.5
Sam Darnold has been in sync with his offensive weapons, and with a versatile attack, the Vikings are primed to exploit the Rams’ defense, even if it’s been functional at best.
The Rams, however, aren’t rolling over. While they’ve struggled against NFC North opponents (1-6 SU in their last seven), their defense can cause problems for Darnold if they bring their A-game. This one’s bound to be tight, as reflected in the Vikings’ narrow -2.5 spread and the total set at 47.
For this Wild Card playoff matchup between the Vikings and Rams, we have the Vikings coming out on top by a score of 24-23. IF this game were to be played in LA I might flip to a Rams win, but this is a neutral site game now.
With the Vikings being 2.5-point favorites, we like them to win but the RAMS will cover the spread.
As for the best way to bet the over/under, we are leaning towards taking the under, but with a projected combined score of 47 points and the line sitting at 47, I’d recommend avoiding the total in this one or betting very small, or throwing it into a parlay.
Minnesota has the edge on paper, but playoff football is all about the unexpected. Expect sparks to fly as these two clash in what promises to be one of the most entertaining games of Wild Card Weekend!
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Minnesota Vikings vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Keep counting us out… pic.twitter.com/sZ2ypr3HBO
— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) January 7, 2025
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