Free Week 5 Prediction: Dolphins vs. Buccaneers NFL Odds
Looking for Miami Dolphins vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers free NFL Week 5 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Dolphins taking on the Buccaneers on Sunday, October 10th at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Miami- Tampa Bay matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(1-3) Miami Dolphins vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1)
Date: Sunday, October 10th, 2021
Time: 1:00 PM
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: Miami +10.5 | Tampa Bay -10.5
NFL Week 5 Moneyline Odds: Miami +360 | Tampa Bay -500
NFL Week 5 NFL Betting Total: O/U 47.5
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The Miami Dolphins will stay in Florida to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium.
The Dolphins went to 1-3 on the year, while the Buccaneers improved to 3-1 on the season.
When I first checked, the Bucs were 9.5 point favorites and that number quickly went up to 10.5. The total has stayed right at 47.5 for the moment.
The Way Miami has started off the season is not the way coach Brian Flores would have drawn it up. After getting an impressive victory over the Patriots in week 1, the Dolphins have looked very bad, frankly.
Miami was a 2.5 point favorite against the Colts on Sunday, and not only did they fail to cover, but they also lost 27-17. Things will only get harder as they take on the defending champions.
One key stat that stood out to me was the time of possession. Indianapolis had the ball for 37 minutes, while Miami had it for 23. When the difference is that glaring, one should not be surprised that the Dolphins came out on the losing end.
Quarterback Jacoby Brissett was 20/30 for 199 yards and 2 touchdown passes. The running game was not effective at all. Malcolm Brown ran the ball 8 times for only 23 yards. The offense looked was very one-dimensional and predictable.
The defense really did not have any answers for the offense of the Colts. Carson Wentz was 24/32 for 228 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jonathan Taylor also averaged over 6 yards per rush. If this unit had trouble with the Colts, I do not like their chances at all against that explosive Tampa Bay offense.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The defending champions definitely got a reality check last Sunday in their loss to the Rams. But, as good teams seem to do, they bounced back and got themselves a victory on Sunday Night Football.
Emotions were running high when Tom Brady made his much-anticipated return to Foxborough. Although it was not pretty, the Bucs Walked out of Gillette Stadium with a 19-17 win over the Patriots.
Based on his standards, Tom Brady was not very special on Sunday. He was 22/43 for 269 yards and 0 touchdowns. The defense of New England did a good job of mixing up their looks which seemed to confuse him at times. I look for Brady to bounce back in a big way against the Dolphins on Sunday.
The running game was productive in their victory. Leonard Fournette ran the ball 20 times for 91 yards. This is a good sign for this squad because they had not been running it that well in previous weeks.
The defense, which had not been great for the first 3 weeks, looked much better on Sunday. They were able to generate a good pass rush on Mac Jones and they totally neutralized the running game for New England. They will look to keep this up when going against Miami.
NFL Betting Trends:
- The total has gone over in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games.
- The Dolphins are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
- The Dolphins are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against the Buccaneers.
- The Dolphins are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road against Tampa Bay.
- The Buccaneers are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games.
- The total has gone over in 6 of Tampa Bay’s last 7 games against Miami.
- The Buccaneers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.
- The Buccaneers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home against Miami.
4* Free Week 5 NFL Betting Prediction: Tampa Bay SU
I do not have that much confidence in either of these teams covering here. I could see Miami keeping it close, but that seems unlikely. On the other hand, the Bucs have not been great at covering this year. I feel very good about the Bucs winning this and I like them straight up. I do not mind having to risk more because is the safer play and I am a little concerned about a back door cover. I look for the Buccaneers to look much smoother on offense in this one. I have a hard time seeing the Miami defense slow them down. This game could be close for a bit, but I just feel that as time goes on, Tampa will take over the game and get a win. Give me the Bucs here.
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