Free NFL Pick: Dolphins vs. Colts Odds
Looking for Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Dolphins taking on the Colts on 9/7 at Lucas Oil Stadium, in Indianapolis. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NFL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NFL predictions like this Dolphins Colts free pick.
2025 NFL Handicapping – Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts
Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts
Date: Sep 07, 2025
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN
NFL Moneyline Odds: Dolphins -110 | Colts -108 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Dolphins PK | Colts PK
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 46.5
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Dolphins vs. Colts Gameday
As the NFL season kicks off, the Miami Dolphins are set to play against the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium. This opening game for both teams takes place on Sunday, September 7, 2025, and will be broadcast on CBS at 1:00 PM. With a cool day and few clouds expected, the weather conditions should be ideal, especially with the retractable roof of the stadium minimizing any potential wind impact.
The Dolphins, under the guidance of head coach Mike McDaniel, are coming off a strong preseason with victories against the Jacksonville Jaguars and Detroit Lions. Offensive Coordinator Frank Smith and Defensive Coordinator Anthony Weaver will be crucial in executing the game plan against the Colts. In their recent preseason games, the Dolphins showcased a balanced attack, with Tua Tagovailoa and Zach Wilson contributing significantly in the passing game.
Meanwhile, the Colts, led by head coach Shane Steichen, are looking to build on their preseason success, including a notable win against the Cincinnati Bengals. The Colts have displayed depth in their roster, with strong performances from quarterbacks Riley Leonard and Jason Bean. Additionally, Offensive Coordinator Jim Bob Cooter and Defensive Coordinator Lou Anarumo will play key roles in strategizing against the Dolphins’ offense.
The historical matchups between these two teams have often been competitive, with the Colts having the edge in recent encounters. Last year’s Week 18 game saw the Colts securing a 16-10 victory over the Dolphins at Lucas Oil Stadium. Week 1, Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts, we’re all hoping a great game is in store.
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Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts Odds & Last 5
As we analyze the betting odds for this Week 1 matchup, the Dolphins enter with a moneyline of -109, while the Colts stand at -110. The spread slightly favors Indianapolis, giving them a -1.5 advantage at -103, with Miami at +1.5 at -118. The over/under is set at 46.5, indicating expectations for a moderate-scoring affair.
In recent head-to-head matchups, the Colts have had the upper hand, winning the last encounter 16-10 in the 2024 season finale. Historically, many of these games have been closely contested, often resulting in low-scoring outcomes. Notably, the total points have frequently fallen under the set threshold, as seen in the past four meetings.
Transitioning to preseason performances, the Dolphins concluded their exhibition games with strong showings against the Jaguars and Lions, with significant contributions from quarterbacks Tua Tagovailoa and Zach Wilson. On the other hand, the Colts displayed impressive depth by defeating the Bengals 41-14, highlighting the potential for their quarterbacks Riley Leonard and Jason Bean. Both teams aim to carry forward their preseason momentum into this regular-season opener.
Colts Stats
Heading into the 2025 season, the Indianapolis Colts are looking to build on their 2024 performance. The Colts ranked 16th in scoring with 377 points, and they will aim to improve their passing game, which was ranked 25th with 3361 yards. Their rushing attack, however, was a strength, finishing 8th with 2331 yards.
Defensively, the Colts had mixed results last season. They allowed 427 points, ranking 23rd, but their ability to create turnovers was impressive, as they ranked 4th in opponent passing interceptions with 16 and 5th in fumbles recovered with 10. However, they struggled to limit opponent yardage, ranking 29th in opponent offensive yards with 6140.
In the preseason, the Colts showed potential with a notable victory over the Cincinnati Bengals, winning 41-14. Wide receiver Laquon Treadwell shined with 116 receiving yards and a touchdown, while quarterback Riley Leonard contributed 189 passing yards and a touchdown. Their preseason performance suggests the team is ready to make a statement in the regular season.
Key injuries could impact the Colts’ performance in Week 1. Several players, including DeForest Buckner, Samson Ebukam, and Braden Smith, are listed as questionable, which could affect both sides of the ball. Additionally, the team will miss the services of D.J. Montgomery, Salvon Ahmed, and Jacob Phillips, who are all on the injured reserve list.
On the offensive side, quarterback Daniel Jones is projected to lead the Colts in Week 1 with 195.7 passing yards and 1 touchdown. Running back Jonathan Taylor is expected to be a key contributor, projected for 90.5 rushing yards and 0.8 touchdowns. The Colts will rely on Michael Pittman Jr. in the receiving game, with projections of 51 receiving yards and 0.3 touchdowns.
Finally, the Colts will benefit from playing at Lucas Oil Stadium, where the retractable roof ensures weather conditions won’t be a factor. This home-field advantage, combined with their recent momentum, gives them a promising outlook as they kick off the 2025 season against the Miami Dolphins.
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Dolphins Stats
Firstly, the Miami Dolphins enter the 2025 season opener with a mix of optimism and caution. They finished the 2024 regular season with a 21st-ranked scoring offense, tallying 345 points. Despite some offensive struggles, their defense was a bright spot, ranking 10th in opponent scoring and 4th in opponent offensive yards allowed.
Secondly, Miami’s preseason performance has shown promise, with the Dolphins securing wins against the Jacksonville Jaguars and Detroit Lions. Notably, their passing game was effective against the Lions, with 259 passing yards compared to the Lions’ 170. However, the Dolphins did face challenges in their preseason opener against the Chicago Bears, resulting in a 24-24 tie.
Additionally, Tua Tagovailoa remains a key figure for the Dolphins’ offense, having thrown for 2867 yards and 19 touchdowns in the 2024 season. In the upcoming game, he is projected to throw for 263.8 yards and 1.7 touchdowns. His performance will be crucial in setting the tone for the Dolphins’ passing attack.
Moreover, the Dolphins’ running game will rely on De’Von Achane, who rushed for 907 yards in 2024. Achane is expected to contribute significantly with a projected 62.1 rushing yards and 0.5 touchdowns. His ability to find gaps in the Colts’ defense could be a determining factor in the Dolphins’ offensive success.
Furthermore, Miami’s receiving corps, led by Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, will aim to exploit the Colts’ secondary. Hill is projected to gain 70 receiving yards and 0.5 touchdowns, while Waddle is expected to add 66 receiving yards. Their speed and agility will be vital in creating opportunities downfield.
Finally, the Dolphins’ defense, which ranked 10th in opponent scoring last season, will face a challenge against the Colts’ offense. Miami’s defense will look to maintain its strong performance, as evidenced by their 14th rank in sacks and 10th in interceptions. Their ability to disrupt the Colts’ offensive rhythm will be key to securing a victory in this season opener.
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Dolphins vs. Colts QB Matchup
Tua Tagovailoa stands as the Miami Dolphins’ starting quarterback, entering the 2025 season with high expectations. Last season, he played in 11 games, amassing 2,867 passing yards, which ranked him 21st in the league. His 19 passing touchdowns were tied for 19th, and he threw only seven interceptions, showcasing his efficiency. In the upcoming game against the Colts, Tagovailoa is projected to throw for 263.8 yards and 1.7 touchdowns, further solidifying his role as a key offensive leader for Miami.
Daniel Jones, the Indianapolis Colts’ starting quarterback, looks to make an impact in the 2025 season opener. Although he did not play last season, his previous performances have set a foundation for his potential success. In the upcoming matchup against the Dolphins, Jones is expected to throw for 195.7 yards and one touchdown, indicating his capability to manage the offense effectively. As the Colts aim to start the season strong, Jones’ performance will be crucial in determining their offensive success.
Tagovailoa’s consistency and ability to minimize turnovers have been significant assets for the Dolphins. His leadership on the field is evident, as he led the league in passing yards for the team last season. With a strong supporting cast, including top receivers like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, Tagovailoa’s potential for a high-scoring game against the Colts remains promising.
On the other hand, Jones’ return to the field brings a sense of anticipation for Colts fans. His projected stats for the upcoming game suggest a balanced offensive approach, complemented by the presence of standout running back Jonathan Taylor. As Jones settles into his role, his ability to connect with receivers like Michael Pittman Jr. and Alec Pierce will be vital for the Colts’ offensive rhythm.
Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts Football Betting Trends
- The Dolphins have a preseason record of 2-0-1, with a notable win against the Jaguars, where they outperformed in passing yards.
- Also, the Dolphins’ preseason games have seen them maintain a strong passing game, accumulating over 150 yards in multiple matchups.
- The Colts secured a significant victory against the Bengals, where their offense gained over 450 total yards.
- The Colts’ preseason performance against the Packers was close, but they struggled with rushing defense, allowing 159 yards.
- Additionally, the Colts have shown a pattern of strong passing performances, exceeding 240 yards in their preseason contests.
- Both teams have demonstrated effective interception defenses, with the Dolphins and Colts forcing turnovers in their respective games.
Dolphins vs Colts Prediction: Dolphins ML
The Dolphins have leaned heavily on their passing attack this preseason, regularly piling up more than 150 yards through the air. That type of offensive consistency should give them an advantage against an Indianapolis defense that has looked shaky in the trenches.
Moreover, the Colts’ rushing defense was gashed for 159 yards against the Packers, and that’s a glaring weakness the Dolphins can exploit. Their ability to spread the field and keep defenses off balance could open up big plays throughout the game.
While both defenses have forced turnovers, Miami’s unit looks sharper when compared with last year’s rankings.
The Dolphins not only create takeaways but also capitalize on them, giving them a momentum edge in tight games.
In addition, a solid preseason showing that included a convincing win over Jacksonville suggests Miami is entering this matchup in strong form. By contrast, while the Colts flashed offensive potential against the Bengals, their inability to stop the run remains a concern.
Given the Dolphins’ efficiency on offense and the Colts’ defensive vulnerabilities, backing Miami on the moneyline at -109 makes sense. Expect the Dolphins to control the tempo and leave Indianapolis with the win.
Take the FINS to win straight up.
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