Free NFL Week 18 Pick: Chargers vs. Raiders Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Chargers taking on the Raiders on Sunday, January 5th at the Allegiant Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 18 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Los Angeles Las Vegas matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 18
(10-6) Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders (4-12)
Date: Sunday, January 5th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas NV
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Los Angeles -5 | Las Vegas +5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Los Angeles -232 | Las Vegas +193
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41
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Week 18 brings us a high-stakes AFC West clash between the surging Los Angeles Chargers (10-6) and the struggling Las Vegas Raiders (4-12) at Allegiant Stadium.
With the Chargers eyeing playoff momentum and the Raiders playing for pride, this matchup has all the ingredients for a fiery finish to the regular season.
Historically, these two rivals have met 130 times, with the Raiders holding a slim edge in the all-time series, 69-59-2. But the most recent tilt back in Week 1 told a different story, with Los Angeles dominating in a 22-10 victory.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Chargers have a record of 2-1. The Chargers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 52 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
Los Angeles Chargers
With a 10-6 record, the Chargers are 6th in the AFC and have a 100% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 10th in our NFL power rankings. After a 23-point loss to the Buccaneers in week 15, the Chargers bounced back with wins over the Broncos (34-27) and Patriots (40-7) in weeks 16 and 17.
Los Angeles is 11-4-1 against the spread this season, with a +5.4 scoring margin. They have covered in two straight games, including a 33-point win over the Patriots as 6-point favorites. The over has hit in three straight Chargers games, including weeks 16 and 17, which saw 61 and 47 points, respectively.
Los Angeles Chargers Stats
Heading into week 18, the Chargers sit 11th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 12th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23, and 23rd in yards per game, with 314.9. Los Angeles ranks 26th in passing attempts, 21st in passing yards per game (205.8), and 15th in rushing attempts, with 109.1 rushing yards per game. They are 13th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 10th in red zone conversion percentage.
Justin Herbert is coming off a strong week 17 performance, throwing for 281 yards and 3 touchdowns, with a passer rating of 116. Ladd McConkey led the team with 8 catches for 94 yards and 2 touchdowns, while J.K. Dobbins rushed for 76 yards on 19 carries. Los Angeles scored 40 points in their week 17 win over the Patriots, with 10 points in each of the final three quarters.
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The Chargers’ defense was dominant in their most recent game, allowing just 85 passing yards to the Patriots. They also held New England to 20% on third down and came away with four sacks. Overall, the Chargers gave up just 181 total yards in their 40-7 win over the Patriots.
New England managed only 96 rushing yards, averaging 4.8 yards per attempt. Despite this, the Chargers were able to limit their overall yardage due to a few big plays. The Chargers’ defense also allowed just a 54.2% completion percentage and forced the Patriots into just one touchdown.
Las Vegas Raiders
With two straight wins, the Raiders improved to 4-12 on the season. After a week 15 loss to the Falcons, Las Vegas bounced back with victories over the Jaguars (19-14) and Saints (25-10) in weeks 16 and 17, respectively. Despite the win streak, the Raiders are 4th in the AFC West and have been eliminated from playoff contention. They are 0-5 in division games and 3-8 in conference play.
Heading into week 18, the Raiders rank 22nd in our power rankings. They have a scoring margin of -6.9 points per game and are 7-8-1 against the spread. They have covered in two straight games, including a 15-point win over the Saints as 1.5-point favorites. The under has hit in five consecutive Raiders games.
Las Vegas Raiders Stats
Heading into week 18, the Raiders rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in both points per game (18.1) and yards per game (305.6). Despite ranking 4th in passing attempts, they are 13th in passing yards per game, with 223.2. On the ground, they are 24th in rushing attempts and last in the league in rushing yards per game, averaging 82.4.
In week 17, Aidan O’Connell threw for 242 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 20 of 35 passes. Ameer Abdullah rushed for 115 yards on 20 carries, and Brock Bowers had 7 receptions for 77 yards. The Raiders converted 10 of 18 third downs and scored on 2 of 4 red zone trips in their 25-10 win over the Saints.
In their 25-10 win over the Saints, the Raiders’ defense was impressive, holding New Orleans to just 10% on third down. They allowed only 188 passing yards and picked off two passes. The Raiders also had four sacks and limited the Saints to 81 rushing yards on just 13 attempts.
The Raiders’ secondary defended the pass well, allowing a completion percentage of only 55.6%. Although they did give up one passing touchdown, their overall performance was key to the win.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Chargers are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Raiders are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Chargers are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Raiders have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Chargers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Raiders’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Chargers vs. Raiders Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | -122 | -232 | -1 | -5 |
| Raiders | +102 | +192 | +1 | +5 |
4* Free Week 18 NFL Betting Prediction: LAC -5
The Chargers have been a bettor’s dream down the stretch, covering the spread in nine of their last 12 games and excelling on the road at 5-1 ATS in their last six away contests.
Their consistency shines even brighter against AFC opponents, where they’re 7-1 ATS in their last eight.
In contrast, the Raiders have stumbled through the season, posting just two wins in their last 12 games and looking particularly vulnerable at home, with a 1-4 SU record in their last five games in Vegas.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chargers to cover as road favorites in this week 18 matchup. The point spread line is currently at -5 in favor of the Chargers, and we have them winning 28-21.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 41 points, we have a projected combined score of 49 points, making the over a great pick in this one.
The Chargers’ well-rounded roster and recent form make them a formidable challenge for the Raiders, whose wins over weaker teams haven’t inspired much confidence.
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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
History watch and rivalry week. Six storylines to watch in the Raiders season finale. #LACvsLVhttps://t.co/fbeBJIb4Ev
— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) January 4, 2025
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