Free NFL Pick: Raiders vs. Patriots Odds
Looking for Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Raiders taking on the Patriots on 9/7 at Gillette Stadium, in New England. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NFL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NFL predictions like this Raiders Patriots free pick.
2025 NFL Handicapping – Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots
Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots
Date: Sep 07, 2025
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA
NFL Moneyline Odds: Raiders +123 | Patriots -146 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Raiders +2.5 | Patriots -2.5
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 43.5
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Raiders vs. Patriots Gameday
As the 2025 NFL season kicks off, the Las Vegas Raiders travel to Foxborough to take on the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. Both teams are eager to start the season on a positive note, especially after mixed preseason performances. The game will be broadcast on CBS, with a mild day and light rain expected, which could impact play on the outdoor field.
The Raiders, led by head coach Pete Carroll, are looking to build momentum in the competitive AFC West. Despite a challenging preseason, where they faced losses against the Cardinals and 49ers, the Raiders have shown promise in both their passing and rushing games. With Chip Kelly as their offensive coordinator, the team hopes to exploit any weaknesses in the Patriots’ defense.
Meanwhile, the Patriots, under the leadership of head coach Mike Vrabel, aim to defend their home turf in the AFC East. The preseason was a mix of highs and lows for New England, highlighted by a strong win against the Commanders and a tough loss to the Giants. Josh McDaniels, returning as offensive coordinator, will be crucial in orchestrating the Patriots’ attack against the Raiders’ defense.
Historically, the Raiders have had the upper hand in recent encounters with the Patriots, winning the last three matchups. However, playing at Gillette Stadium presents its own set of challenges. Both teams are prepared for a competitive matchup, and fans are eagerly anticipating how these two teams will perform in this season opener.
Week 1, Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots, we’re all hoping a great game is in store.
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Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots Odds & Last 5
Interestingly, the game odds reflect a tight contest, with the Raiders positioned at +125 on the moneyline while the Patriots are at -148. The spread offers a slight edge to New England at -2.5, suggesting a closely matched encounter. With the total set at 43.5, bettors can anticipate a moderate scoring game, factoring in the anticipated weather conditions.
The Raiders, despite their preseason setbacks, demonstrated potential in various aspects of their game. Their preseason journey included a narrow loss to the 49ers and a tough outing against the Cardinals. Now, with a fresh slate, they aim to leverage their offensive strategies crafted by Chip Kelly.
In contrast, the Patriots enter the regular season with mixed preseason results, including a significant loss to the Giants but a commanding victory against the Commanders. As they prepare to host the Raiders, Mike Vrabel’s squad will rely on Josh McDaniels to navigate the offensive playbook effectively at Gillette Stadium. Historically, the Patriots have enjoyed success against the Raiders on their home turf, adding another layer of intrigue to this matchup.
Patriots Stats
To begin with, the New England Patriots are entering the 2025 season with a need to improve their offensive performance. Last season, they ranked 32nd in passing yards with a total of 2,994, indicating a significant area for improvement. Furthermore, their scoring was ranked 28th, with only 289 points, highlighting the need for an offensive overhaul.
In contrast, the Patriots’ defense showed some promising aspects last season. They ranked 12th in opponent passing interceptions, with seven interceptions recorded. Additionally, their ability to recover fumbles was a bright spot, ranking 10th with five recoveries.
Looking at the preseason, the Patriots have shown mixed results. They secured a win against the Minnesota Vikings with a score of 20-12, demonstrating their potential when things click. However, a heavy defeat against the New York Giants, losing 42-10, exposed vulnerabilities that need addressing before the regular season kicks off.
Quarterback Drake Maye will be pivotal for the Patriots’ offensive aspirations. In the 2024 season, he threw for 2,276 yards and 15 touchdowns, ranking first in team passing touchdowns. His performance will be crucial in lifting the Patriots’ offensive rankings this season.
On the ground, Rhamondre Stevenson continues to be a key player for the Patriots. He rushed for 801 yards last season, ranking first on the team and 26th in the league. His consistency and ability to break through defenses will be vital in establishing a balanced offensive attack.
In terms of injuries, the Patriots face challenges with several key players out or questionable for Week 1. Notably, Stefon Diggs is questionable with a knee issue, and Christian Gonzalez is dealing with a hamstring problem. These injuries could impact the Patriots’ ability to field their strongest lineup against the Raiders.
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Raiders Stats
Firstly, the Las Vegas Raiders enter the 2025 season with a focus on improving their offensive production. Last year, they ranked 27th in scoring with 309 points and struggled particularly in the rushing department, ranking 31st with just 1,357 yards. This offseason, they have worked on enhancing their ground game, which will be crucial for their success this season.
Transitioning to their passing game, the Raiders showed promise, ranking 13th in the league with 3,797 passing yards last season. Geno Smith is expected to lead the charge at quarterback, projected to throw for 252.2 yards and 1.4 touchdowns in this upcoming matchup. His connection with top receiver Jakobi Meyers, who is projected for 56.4 receiving yards, will be pivotal against the Patriots.
Defensively, the Raiders have room for improvement, as they allowed 434 points last season, ranking 24th. However, they were effective in creating turnovers, ranking 10th in interceptions with 10 and 11th in fumbles recovered with 3. The defense will need to capitalize on these strengths to put pressure on the Patriots’ offense.
Despite a challenging preseason, with losses to the Cardinals, 49ers, and Seahawks, the Raiders showed glimpses of potential. Rookie Dont’e Thornton Jr. was a standout, scoring a touchdown against Arizona, while linebacker Cody Lindenberg showcased his ability with six solo tackles and a sack. These performances indicate depth and potential for the upcoming season.
In terms of injuries, the Raiders will miss quarterback Aidan O’Connell, who is out with a wrist injury, and safety Lonnie Johnson Jr., sidelined with a broken fibula. These absences could impact their depth, but the team remains hopeful about their replacements stepping up. Kyu Blu Kelly’s status is also uncertain due to a hamstring issue, which could affect their secondary.
Finally, the Raiders’ kicking game remains a strong point, with Daniel Carlson leading the charge. Last season, he made 34 field goals, ranking 6th in the league, and is projected to contribute significantly in this game. His reliability will be essential, especially in a game expected to be played under light rain conditions at Gillette Stadium.
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Raiders vs. Patriots QB Matchup
Drake Maye, the starting quarterback for the New England Patriots, enters the 2025 season with high expectations. During the 2024 season, Maye played in 13 games and threw for 2,276 yards, ranking 24th in the league. He also recorded 15 passing touchdowns and 10 interceptions, contributing to his fantasy point total of 177.1, which ranked 49th overall. Looking ahead to the matchup against the Raiders, Maye is projected to accumulate 221.3 passing yards and 1.4 touchdowns.
Geno Smith leads the Las Vegas Raiders as their starting quarterback. In the 2024 season, Smith did not feature prominently in the team’s quarterback statistics, as Gardner Minshew and Aidan O’Connell took the majority of snaps. However, Smith is projected to make a significant impact in the upcoming game against the Patriots, with expectations of 252.2 passing yards and 1.4 touchdowns. His projected fantasy points for this game stand at 15.3, indicating a potentially solid performance.
Both quarterbacks will face challenges in the season opener, with Maye playing at home in Gillette Stadium under light rain conditions. The Patriots’ offense will rely on Maye’s ability to manage the game efficiently and connect with key targets like Stefon Diggs. Meanwhile, Smith will need to navigate the Patriots’ defense and establish a rhythm with his receivers, including Jakobi Meyers, to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
The performance of both quarterbacks will be pivotal in determining the outcome of this matchup. Maye’s familiarity with the Patriots’ system and home-field advantage could provide an edge, while Smith’s experience and potential for explosive plays make him a threat. As the game unfolds, the spotlight will be on these quarterbacks to lead their respective teams to a successful start to the 2025 NFL season.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots Football Betting Trends
- The Raiders have not secured a win in their last three preseason games, with a record of 0-2-1 straight-up.
- Additionally, the Raiders have managed to cover the spread only once in their last three preseason matchups.
- The total has gone under in two of the Raiders’ last three preseason games.
- The Patriots have a 2-1 straight-up record in their recent preseason outings.
- Also, the Patriots have covered the spread in two of their last three preseason games.
- The total has gone over in two of the Patriots’ last three preseason encounters.
Raiders vs Patriots Prediction: Under 43.5
The Raiders limp into this matchup after dropping three straight preseason games, and their offense has yet to show any real rhythm. That trend could easily spill over into the regular season, creating concerns about their ability to finish drives.
Meanwhile, the Patriots have looked steadier with a 2-1 preseason record, but their offensive ceiling remains limited. Last year, they ranked 28th in scoring and dead last in passing yards, hardly numbers that point to a shootout.
Adding to that, weather at Gillette Stadium calls for light rain, which usually slows the game down and forces teams into more conservative, run-heavy play.
Both squads already lean toward low-scoring tendencies, and the forecast only strengthens the case for the under.
History also lines up with this outlook, as the last meeting between these teams finished under 41.5 points. Past head-to-head results suggest defensive intensity tends to win out when these franchises collide.
Given the Raiders’ ongoing offensive issues, the Patriots’ lack of explosiveness, and weather that could tighten things even further, the under 43.5 looks like the sharp side. Expect a grind-it-out affair where both defenses dictate the pace.
My play? Under 43.5.
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NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Coach Vrabel breaks down @TreVeyonH4‘s kick return TD against Washington 🎥 pic.twitter.com/r0becfJYVT
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) September 4, 2025
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