Free NFL Week 16 Pick: Raiders vs. Chiefs Odds
Looking for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs free NFL Week 16 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Raiders taking on the Chiefs on Monday, December 25th at the Arrowhead Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 16 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Las Vegas Kansas City matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 16
(6-8) Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs (9-5)
Date: Monday, December 25th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City MO
NFL Week 16 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Las Vegas +10 | Kansas City -10
Week 16 NFL Moneyline Odds: Las Vegas +365 | Kansas City -496
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42
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The Kansas City Chiefs have won their last six games against the Las Vegas Raiders, but some were closer than their recent dominance might imply.
Historical Stats: Chiefs are ahead with a record of 71 wins, 53 losses, and 2 ties (winning percentage of .429) in their series.
The first matchup between the teams saw, the Chiefs win with a 31-17 score over Raiders. On the point-spread, the Chiefs went in as the favorite (-9) and they secured a 14 point win, picking up an ATS win.
When the game started, the over/under line was 42.5 points, and both teams managed to surpass it.
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Las Vegas Raiders
This season, the Raiders hold the 3rd position in the AFC-West with an overall record of 6-8. In non-conference games, they have a record of 2-3, and in AFC action, they are 4-5.
The Raiders’ ATS record is 7-6-1.
The Raiders’ 42-point win over the Chargers was one of their largest margins of victory in recent history. Offensively, the Raiders averaged 6 yards per play for a total of 378 yards.
On the other end, the Chargers went 6/12 on 3rd down and finished with 326 yards. Going into the game, Las Vegas was favored by 3 and went on to cover the spread.
Aidan O’Connell threw for 248 yards while completing 58% of his passes and throwing for 248. O’Connell threw for four touchdowns.
Las Vegas Raiders Stats
Against the Chargers, the Raiders ran the ball 26 times, with Zamir White as the top rusher, gaining 69 yards. O’Connell attempted 34 passes, amassing 248 yards and a passer rating of 120.
On offense, the Raiders are at 18.9 points per game, putting them 21st in the NFL.
Defensively, the Raiders come into the game allowing an average of 209.6 passing yards per game and 124.9 rushing yards. When it comes to sacks, Las Vegas ranks 11th among other defenses. Overall, they are giving up 20 points on 334.4 yards.
Kansas City Chiefs
Through 14 games, the Chiefs are 9-5. In the AFC-West standings, they are in 1st place which puts them 3rd in the AFC.
The Chiefs have an ATS record of 7-6-1.
In the Chiefs’ win over the Patriots, the Chiefs controlled the time of possession at 31:14 to 28:46 for the Patriots. The Chiefs’ offense averaged 2.2 yards per rushing attempt and finished with a total of 326 yards.
Defensively, they gave up 206 yards of offense to the Patriots. Going into the game, Kansas City was favored by 10, resulting in an ATS push for both teams. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes had a big game, throwing for 305 yards on a passer rating of 92.
Mahomes completed 73% of 37 attempts in the game.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
The Chiefs’ offense produced a total of 326 yards against the Patriots. On third downs, the Chiefs achieved a conversion rate of 38.5%. Notably, Clyde Edwards-Helaire led the rushing attack with 37 yards, while Patrick Mahomes passed for 305 yards.
For this season, the Kansas City offense has an average of 22.8 points per game, placing them at 10th in the league.
In terms of defense, the Chiefs hold the 12th position in tackles for loss and are ranked 3rd in sacks.
Opponents are managing to score an average of 17.5 points and gain 293.2 yards per game against them.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Raiders are 2-2-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Chiefs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Raiders are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chiefs have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Raiders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Chiefs’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Raiders vs. Chiefs Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Raiders | +298 | +365 | +9.5 | +10 |
Chiefs | -385 | -496 | -9.5 | -10 |
4* Free Week 16 NFL Betting Prediction: Las Vegas +10
KC is a home favorite of 10 points on Christmas Day, but I still like LV to cover.
Just recall Thursday night when the Raiders faced the Chargers on “Thursday Night Football.” Raiders were three-point home underdogs, but they crushed the Chargers 63-21, riding their momentum to victory.
A key matchup to watch in this game is the Raiders’ offense vs. the Chiefs’ defense. Our projections have the Raiders building on their most recent 378 yard performance on offense and putting together another big game vs. Kansas City.
I like the Raiders at +10.
After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 46 points.
This projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 42.
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Raiders Chiefs NFL Handicapping
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Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Here's a look at the NFL power rankings heading into week 16 📝
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) December 19, 2023
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