Free NFL Pick: Raiders vs. Colts Odds
Looking for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Raiders taking on the Colts on 10/5 at Lucas Oil Stadium, in Indianapolis. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NFL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NFL predictions like this Raiders Colts free pick.
2025 NFL Handicapping – Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts
(1-3) Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts (3-1)
Date: Oct 05, 2025
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN
NFL Moneyline Odds: Raiders +253 | Colts -313 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Raiders +7.0 | Colts -7.0
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 48
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Raiders vs. Colts Gameday
Week 5 brings the Las Vegas Raiders into Lucas Oil Stadium for a date with the Indianapolis Colts. Kickoff is Sunday, October 5 at 1:00 PM on FOX. It’s AFC vs. AFC, with one team steady and the other all over the place.
The Raiders, under Pete Carroll, are 1-3 and reeling after three straight losses. Their only win came in Week 1 against New England, and on the road they’re 1-1.
Figuring out this team week to week has been impossible.
Meanwhile, Shane Steichen’s Colts sit at 3-1 and have been excellent so far, even after a 27-20 stumble against the Rams last week. At home, they’ve been perfect (2-0) and have a stranglehold on early AFC South momentum.
History’s on their side too, with four straight wins over the Raiders.
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2025 NFL Football Handicapping
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Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts Odds & Last 5
The Colts are heavy favorites. They’re -313 on the moneyline and -7 on the spread, while the Raiders come in at +251. Oddsmakers have the total at 48, expecting points.
The Raiders’ last three games have all ended in losses, including a 25-24 gut-punch against the Bears. Geno Smith’s turnovers continue to sink them, even as they move the ball. If they can’t clean that up, the hole gets deeper.
The Colts, on the other hand, have been one of the AFC’s more consistent outfits. Wins over Miami, Denver, and Tennessee stand out, and the lone blemish was against a good Rams team.
At home, they’ve looked rock solid.
Colts Stats
Daniel Jones has been the engine, already piling up 1,078 passing yards and four touchdowns. He’s complemented nicely by Jonathan Taylor, who sits at 414 rushing yards with three scores. That one-two punch has been tough to stop.
Defensively, Indy still has flaws, ranking just 23rd in opponent scoring a season ago. But they excel at creating turnovers, finishing top five in interceptions last year. That opportunism could punish a mistake-prone QB like Geno Smith.
Injuries could sting, with Kenny Moore II and Alec Pierce listed day-to-day.
Even so, the Colts have enough depth and home-field juice to keep momentum going.
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Raiders Stats
Las Vegas rolls into Week 5 at 1-3, still searching for answers. Their latest loss to Chicago was another frustrating case of missed opportunities. Close, but not good enough.
Geno Smith has thrown for 948 yards and six touchdowns, but the seven interceptions are killing drives. Running back Ashton Jeanty has been the bright spot with 282 rushing yards, cracking the top ten in the league.
Defensively, Maxx Crosby continues to be the heartbeat. His pressure and playmaking remain elite, while linebacker Devin White is cleaning up behind him.
Still, injuries to Kolton Miller, Lonnie Johnson Jr., and others leave this roster thin.
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Raiders vs. Colts QB Matchup
Daniel Jones has been steady, ranking third in the NFL with 1,078 passing yards. He averages 224 yards per game, adds mobility with 13 rushing yards a week, and has only two interceptions so far. His ability to protect the ball makes Indy’s offense hum.
Geno Smith sits eighth in passing yards with 948, plus six touchdowns. But the seven picks jump off the page, showing the risk in his aggressive style.
He averages 237 passing yards per game and can run a little, but until he cuts down on mistakes, the Raiders remain hard to back.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts bottom line: the Colts are consistent, the Raiders are chaos. Which side would you rather bet on?
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts Football Betting Trends
- The Raiders are 2-1 against the spread in their last 3 away games.
- They have gone 6-5 on the over/under in their last 11 games as underdogs.
- Also, the Raiders have a 2-2 straight-up record after a loss in their last 4 games.
- The Colts are 4-0 straight-up in their last 4 home games.
- Additionally, the Colts have covered the spread in their last 3 games as favorites, going 3-0.
- They have hit the over in 5 of their last 6 games as favorites.
Raiders vs Colts Prediction: Over 48
The setup for this game points heavily toward offense. The Colts have cleared the total in five of their last six games as favorites, and their defense — ranked 23rd in opponent scoring — often puts them in high-scoring battles.
At the same time, the Raiders have shown a tendency to push games over as underdogs, hitting in six of their last 11 in that spot. When these two have met recently, it’s been no different, with the last three head-to-head matchups all soaring past 48.
The market also tells a story here, with the spread opening at just -1.5 before jumping quickly toward Indianapolis. Even in last week’s loss to the Rams, the Colts’ offense still found ways to move the ball, which suggests they’re poised for a bounce-back performance against a softer Raiders defense.
The Raiders may not be very good, but this is exactly the kind of game where both sides can trade scores and keep the total climbing.
Las Vegas is more likely to surprise people with their offense than with their defense, and that dynamic plays directly into the over. On the other side, Indianapolis should put together a much sharper outing, especially given how favorable this matchup looks for their playmakers.
With both teams trending toward high totals and recent history backing it up, the over 48 stands out as the best angle. Everything here suggests another game with plenty of points to go around.
Today’s NFL Free Pick
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NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
‼️ no fees. october games. 48 hours only. ‼️
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) October 1, 2025
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