Free Super Bowl LIX Pick: Chiefs vs. Eagles Odds
Looking for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles free Super Bowl LIX picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Chiefs taking on the Eagles on Sunday, February 9th at the Caesars Superdome. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all season long including all Playoff games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Kansas City Philadelphia 2025 Superbowl matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Super Bowl LIX
(15-2) Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles (14-3)
Date: Sunday, February 9th
Time: 6:30 ET
Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans LA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Kansas City -1 | Philadelphia +1
NFL Moneyline Odds: Kansas City -119 | Philadelphia +101
NFL Betting Total: O/U 48.5
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Super Bowl LIX Matchup
Super Bowl LIX is set for a heavyweight clash as Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs square off against Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles in a rematch of their thrilling 38-35 battle two years ago.
With the Lombardi Trophy on the line once again, Kansas City looks to cement its dynasty with a historic repeat, while Philadelphia seeks redemption and its second title in franchise history.
The all-time series is razor-thin, with KC holding a 6-5 edge, but the Eagles won their last meeting, a 21-17 slugfest in Kansas City.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Chiefs have a record of 2-1. The Chiefs also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 60 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Oddsmakers have set this one as close as it gets, with the Chiefs laying a single point and the total sitting at 48.5.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs are 15-2 this season, putting them first in the AFC and our power rankings heading into the Super Bowl. Kansas City went 5-1 in divisional games and 10-0 at home, but two road losses kept them from a perfect record.
They bounced back from a week 18 loss to the Broncos by beating the Texans and Bills in the playoffs, including a 32-29 win over Buffalo in the AFC Championship.
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KC has a +3.7 scoring margin and is 8-10-1 against the spread. They are 7-8-1 as favorites and 1-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 8-11, with the under hitting in their last two games.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
Patrick Mahomes bounced back in the AFC Championship, posting a passer rating of 111 with 245 yards and a touchdown on 18/26 passing. Kareem Hunt led the rushing attack with 64 yards on 17 carries, while Xavier Worthy had 6 catches for 85 yards and a touchdown.
Kansas City scored 11 points in the 4th quarter and converted 55.6% of their 3rd downs, going 4/6 in the red zone.
In our offensive power rankings, the Chiefs are 8th in the NFL. They rank 12th in scoring, averaging 23.2 points per game, and are 19th in total yards with 323.7 per game. Kansas City is 16th in passing yards and 23rd in rushing yards per game, but they rank 2nd in 3rd-down conversions.
The Chiefs’ defense gave up 147 rushing yards on 32 attempts in their 32-29 win over the Bills. Buffalo finished with 374 total yards and 227 passing yards. Kansas City allowed two passing touchdowns and a 64.7% completion percentage to the Bills.
On third downs, the Chiefs held Buffalo to a 35.7% conversion rate. Kansas City’s defense also managed two sacks and won the quarterback hit battle by +1.
Philadelphia Eagles
After finishing the regular season 14-3, the Eagles have won two straight games, including a 32-point win over the Commanders in the conference championship.
Philadelphia was favored by 6 points and easily covered the spread in that game. The 78 combined points also went over the 47-point line. In the divisional round, the Eagles beat the Rams 28-22 but didn’t cover the 7-point spread. The 50 points in that game went over the 43.5-point line.
Heading into the Super Bowl, the Eagles rank 5th in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +10.5 points per game and are 13-7 against the spread this season.
They are 10-7 ATS as favorites and 3-0 as underdogs. Philadelphia’s O/U record is 9-11, with their games averaging 46.3 points per game.
Philadelphia Eagles Stats
Philadelphia’s offense is ranked 4th in our power rankings, and they are 6th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 28.4. They are 7th in the league in yards per game, with 367, and they rely heavily on their rushing attack, leading the NFL in rushing attempts and ranking 2nd in rushing yards per game with 186.6.
On the other hand, they are 31st in both passing attempts and passing yards per game. The Eagles are 10th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 41.7% success rate, but they rank 26th in red zone conversion percentage.
Jalen Hurts had a strong performance in the NFC Championship game, throwing for 246 yards and a touchdown with a passer rating of 110. Saquon Barkley rushed for 118 yards and 3 touchdowns, while A.J. Brown led the team with 96 receiving yards.
Philadelphia scored 21 points in the 4th quarter and converted all 7 of their red zone attempts.
In their 55-23 win over the Commanders, the Eagles’ defense allowed 350 yards and forced one interception. Washington went 7 of 17 on third down and managed just 99 yards on 25 rushing attempts. Philadelphia gave up 251 passing yards and one touchdown, with opposing quarterbacks completing 61.2% of their passes.
The Eagles’ defense also recorded three sacks in the game, and although they lost the tackles for loss battle, they did win the quarterback hit differential.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl Betting Trends
- The Chiefs are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Eagles are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Chiefs are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Eagles have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Chiefs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Eagles’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Chiefs vs. Eagles Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | -127 | -119 | -2 | -1 |
| Eagles | +105 | +101 | +2 | +1 |
4* Free Super Bowl LIX Betting Prediction: Kansas City -1
While Philly arguably boasts the deeper roster, betting against Mahomes, Andy Reid, and this battle-tested Chiefs squad has been a losing proposition for years.
Kansas City is a staggering 18-2 straight up in its last 20 games and has dominated NFC opponents, winning six straight against the conference.
They’re also 4-1 against the spread in their last five matchups with the Eagles.
For this Super Bowl LIX matchup between the Chiefs and Eagles, we see the Chiefs as slight favorites at -1. Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chiefs to cover as favorites.
We have the Chiefs winning by a score of 28-24, making them a good pick straight-up and vs. the spread.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 48.5 points, we have a projected combined score of 52 points, making the OVER a good pick for this matchup.
Totals bettors should note that four of the last five matchups between KC & Philly have gone over, as have five of the last seven between these teams.
With history on the line and both teams bringing elite firepower, this Super Bowl has all the makings of another classic.
The Eagles have the talent, but the Chiefs have the pedigree. And in a game of this magnitude, pedigree often wins out.
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
We have history in New Orleans! pic.twitter.com/rCrXLc23I6
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) February 6, 2025
Go Birds.
via IG/rob.rawls pic.twitter.com/sHF8Qsnr0v
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) February 5, 2025
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