Free NFL Week 18 Pick: Jaguars vs. Colts Odds
Looking for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Jaguars taking on the Colts on Sunday, January 5th at the Lucas Oil Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 18 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Jacksonville Indianapolis matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 18
(4-12) Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts (7-9)
Date: Sunday, January 5th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis IN
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Jacksonville +5 | Indianapolis -5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Jacksonville +186 | Indianapolis -223
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45
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Get ready for a high-stakes Week 18 clash as the Jaguars and Colts square off at Lucas Oil Stadium.
This rivalry has seen its share of twists, with the Colts holding a narrow all-time series lead at 27-20, but Jacksonville has flipped the script lately.
Their thrilling 37-34 victory earlier this season underscores the unpredictability of this matchup. The Jaguars are surging against the spread, boasting an impressive 8-2 ATS record in their last ten against Indianapolis and a stellar 7-3 ATS in January games.
Meanwhile, they’ve also won five of their last six straight-up against the Colts, showcasing their ability to close out tight contests.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Jaguars have a record of 3-0.
The Jaguars also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 60 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-0.
Jacksonville Jaguars
With their playoff chances already at 0.0%, the Jaguars head into week 18 with a 4-12 record, including a 3-2 mark in the AFC South. Jacksonville currently sits 26th in our NFL power rankings and is 3rd in their division.
They are 8-7-1 against the spread this season, with a +6.5 record as underdogs and a 2-3 record as favorites.
Jacksonville snapped a four-game losing streak with a 20-13 win over the Titans in week 17. The Jaguars were 0.5-point favorites and covered the spread, bringing their record to 4-12.
The combined points in the game (33) fell short of the 38.5-point line, marking the second straight under for Jacksonville.
Jacksonville Jaguars Stats
Heading into week 18, Jacksonville’s offense ranks 23rd in our power rankings. They are 24th in the NFL in points per game (18.6) and 26th in total yards per game (305.4). The Jaguars are 23rd in passing yards per game (204.4) and 26th in rushing yards per game (101). On 3rd down, they rank 18th with a 37.4% conversion rate, and they are 15th in red zone conversion percentage (25.5%).
Mac Jones posted a passer rating of 122 in week 17, going 15/22 for 174 yards and 2 touchdowns. Brian Thomas Jr. led the team with 7 catches for 91 yards and a touchdown, while Travis Etienne Jr. had 49 rushing yards on 15 carries. Jacksonville converted 8 of 13 3rd downs and scored on both of their red zone trips against the Titans.
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In their 20-13 win over the Titans, the Jaguars’ defense allowed 159 rushing yards on 30 attempts but held Tennessee to just 13 points.
The Jaguars’ defense also came up with three sacks and limited the Titans to 61.3% completions. Despite giving up some yards on the ground, they were effective in keeping the Titans out of the endzone, and they also picked off one pass.
Jacksonville’s defense was tough on the Titans’ passing game, allowing just 178 yards through the air and holding them to 5.7 yards per attempt.
The Jaguars also held the Titans to a 50% conversion rate on third downs, and they won the battles in both tackles for loss and quarterback hits.
Indianapolis Colts
Heading into week 18, the Colts sit 25th in our NFL power rankings and have been eliminated from playoff contention. After a week 16 win over the Titans, they couldn’t keep the momentum going, losing 45-33 to the Giants in week 17. Despite being 7.5-point favorites, Indianapolis couldn’t get the job done, dropping their record to 7-9.
Against the spread, the Colts are 9-7 this season, with a +3.3 scoring margin. They are 6-4 as underdogs and 3-3 as favorites. Their O/U record is also 9-7, with the over hitting in four straight games.
Indianapolis Colts Stats
Heading into week 18, the Colts rank 25th in our offensive power rankings. They are 16th in the NFL in points per game (21.9) and 15th in yards per game (328.9).
Indianapolis has leaned heavily on the run game, ranking 7th in rushing attempts and 8th in rushing yards per game (134.6). On the other hand, they are 27th in passing attempts and 26th in passing yards per game, averaging 194.3 yards through the air.
Jonathan Taylor has been a workhorse for the Colts, carrying the ball 32 times for 125 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 17. Joe Flacco threw for 330 yards, with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, and Alec Pierce led the team with 6 catches for 122 yards and a touchdown.
In their 45-33 loss to the Giants, the Colts’ defense struggled to generate pressure, finishing with no sacks and just three quarterback hits. The Giants’ passing game thrived, putting up 309 yards through the air and averaging 13.4 yards per attempt, with four passing touchdowns.
Despite a 73.9% completion percentage allowed, the Colts’ defense also struggled on third downs, allowing the Giants to convert 53.8% of their third down attempts.
On the ground, the Colts fared better, giving up just 80 yards on 30 rushing attempts (2.7 yards per attempt).
However, the defense will need to improve its pass rush and coverage on critical downs to bounce back in their next game.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Jaguars are 1-3-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Colts are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Jaguars are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Colts have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Jaguars’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Colts’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Jaguars vs. Colts Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | +102 | +186 | +1.5 | +5 |
| Colts | -122 | -223 | -1.5 | -5 |
4* Free Week 18 NFL Betting Prediction: Jacksonville +5
Indianapolis has stumbled, going 1-4 ATS in their last five games and an abysmal 0-6 SU in January matchups.
Despite being favored by five points, the Colts’ recent struggles and Jacksonville’s knack for playing spoiler make this a compelling showdown.
Our point spread pick for this week 18 matchup between the Jaguars and Colts is to take the Jaguars to not only cover but win the game. Right now, the Jaguars are 5-point road underdogs, and we have them winning by a score of 28-20.
For this game, we also like the over as a great bet. The current O/U line is 45 points, and our projections have these teams combining for 48 points, making the over a very appealing bet.
With playoff hopes dashed for both teams, expect fireworks as these AFC South rivals battle for bragging rights.
Bettors will want to watch the spread and total closely—this game is shaping up to be a thrilling conclusion to the regular season!
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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
One more at home. pic.twitter.com/h7uycfhBY1
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) January 2, 2025
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