Free NFL Week 14 Pick: Colts vs. Bengals Odds
Looking for Indianapolis Colts vs. Cincinnati Bengals free NFL Week 14 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Colts taking on the Bengals on Sunday, December 10th at the Paycor Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 14 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Indianapolis Cincinnati matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 14
(7-5) Indianapolis Colts vs. Cincinnati Bengals (6-6)
Date: Sunday, December 10th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati OH
NFL Week 14 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Indianapolis -1 | Cincinnati +1
Week 14 NFL Moneyline Odds: Indianapolis -117 | Cincinnati -105
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42
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Last season, the Colts and Bengals did not face off head-to-head.
The Colts and Bengals have faced off 32 times, counting 2 playoff matchups. The Colts have come out on top 20 times, while the Bengals secured victory in 12 of those matchups.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Bengals have the leg up at 2-1.
The Bengals also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 53 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-0.
The last time these two met was 10/18/2020, a 31-27 Colts win in Indy. The QB’s that day? Joe Burrow vs. Philip Rivers.
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Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is currently 2nd in the AFC-South this season, with an overall record of 7-5.
In games outside the conference, they are 2-2 and in AFC games, they’ve gone 5-3. So far this season, the Colts are above .500 vs. the spread at 8-4.
Their average scoring margin this season is +0.3.
Going into the fourth-quarter of their game vs. the Titans, the Colts led by three and held that lead for the win. Offensively, the Colts went 3/14 on 3rd down and finished with a total of 355 yards of offense.
The Titans ended the game with 381 yards. Going into the game, Indianapolis was favored by 1 and went on to cover the spread.
Quarterback Gardner Minshew had a big game, throwing for 312 yards on a passer rating of 100. Minshew completed 61% of 42 attempts in the game.
Indianapolis Colts Stats
Against the Titans, the Colts ran the ball 23 times, with Zack Moss as the primary rusher, accumulating 51 yards. Minshew attempted 42 passes, amassing 312 yards and a passer rating of 100.
The Indianapolis offense is currently positioned 8th in the league, scoring an average of 25 points per contest.
Indianapolis is sitting 25th in points allowed so far. Heading into week 14, their opponents are putting up an average of 24.7 points per game, on 355.3 yards per contest.
Cincinnati Bengals
In week 14, Cincinnati is in 4th place in the AFC-North with a 6-6 record.
Within the AFC, they find themselves in 10th place. The Bengals have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 5-7. Their average scoring margin for this season is -2.2.
In the Bengals’ win over the Jaguars, the Bengals’ offense finished with 491 yards of offense compared to the Jaguars’ 376. The Bengals went 8/14 on 3rd down, while the Jaguars converted on 57.1% of their 3rd down attempts.
Cincinnati went into the game as the underdog (+10), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Quarterback Jake Browning had a big game, throwing for 354 yards on a passer rating of 115.
Browning completed 86% of 37 attempts in the game.
Cincinnati Bengals Stats
On offense, Browning ended with 354 passing yards on a completion rate of 86%. On the ground, the Bengals ran the ball 31 times, amassing 156 yards.
The team converted 8 third-downs at a rate of 57.1%.
Cincinnati’s offense comes in with an average of 20.5 points per game, which is currently 17th in the league.
When it comes to defense, the Bengals have given up 254.2 passing yards and 133.9 rushing yards per game. In terms of sacks, Cincinnati ranks 9th among other defenses.
Coming into week 14, they have allowed 22.8 points per game and 388.2 yards.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Colts are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Bengals are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Colts are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bengals have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Colts’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Bengals’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Colts vs. Bengals Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | -110 | -117 | -1.5 | -1 |
| Bengals | -106 | -105 | +1.5 | +1 |
4* Free Week 14 NFL Betting Prediction: Cincinnati +1
In Week 13, we witnessed the Colts narrowly defeating the Titans with a 31-28 overtime win on the road. They managed to cover the spread as 1-point favorites. Meanwhile, on Monday Night Football, the Bengals pulled off a thrilling 34-31 victory in Jacksonville, also in overtime, defying the odds as +10 point underdogs.
Many had given up on the Bengals’ season when Joe Burrow was sidelined, but Jake Browning from UW stepped up and had an exceptional game. He completed 32/37 passes for 354 yards, threw 1 TD, and had 0 INT’s.
I found some interesting NFL Week 14 gambling trends from the web, and I want to share them with you in a simple way. The Bengals have been performing well, winning 13 out of their last 20 games. They are particularly strong in December, with a 7-0 ATS record.
When the Bengals score more than 30 points in their previous game, they tend to cover the spread, going 5-0 ATS. On the other hand, the Colts struggle against AFC North opponents, losing 11 out of their last 13 games.
I’m leaning towards Cincinnati to cover as 1-point underdogs in this matchup. Cincinnati demonstrated a strong rushing game in their recent game against Jacksonville and is expected to continue in the same vein. I’m also not afraid to say I’m impressed with Browning.
While NOT Burrow, he showed me he’s capable of leading an NFL team to a win, and so, I’ll be placing my bet on Cincinnati before the game kicks off.
If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, the data we have suggests this game finishing below 42 points.
For this game, my money is on the under.
For those who like Over/Under bets, here are some trends: The total points scored in Cincinnati’s home games have gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5.
This trend also holds when the Bengals score more than 30 points in their previous game, going 4-0 on the Under.
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Indianapolis Colts vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Ted Karras has devoted his time to creating @CincyHat as a way to fund and work with the Village of Merici, a neighborhood for adults with developmental disabilities.
This is the story of @_teddy_k's Cincy Hats ⬇️#WPMOYChallenge | @Nationwide pic.twitter.com/9fZMXxlsHn
— Cincinnati Bengals (@Bengals) December 5, 2023
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