Free NFL Week 18 Pick: Texans vs. Titans Odds
Looking for Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Texans taking on the Titans on Sunday, January 5th at the Nissan Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 18 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Houston Tennessee matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 18
(9-7) Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans (3-13)
Date: Sunday, January 5th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Nissan Stadium, Nashville TN
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Houston -1 | Tennessee +1
NFL Moneyline Odds: Houston -108 | Tennessee -112
NFL Betting Total: O/U 38.5
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The stakes couldn’t be higher as the Texans and Titans clash in a Week 18 showdown that carries all the drama of a bitter rivalry.
The series history leans slightly in favor of Tennessee, who leads 24-21, but recent trends and momentum suggest the Texans have the upper hand.
Houston, sitting at 9-7, has been red-hot, winning 10 of their last 15 games, including an impressive 6-1 record at home.
But over the last three times playing each other, the Texans have a record of 2-1. The Texans also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 41 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
Meanwhile, Tennessee has struggled mightily, dropping six straight against the spread and going just 1-5 straight up in their last six outings.
Houston Texans
Despite a two-game losing streak, the Texans have locked up the AFC South and a playoff spot. They currently sit at 9-7, with a 4-1 division record and a 7-4 mark in conference play. Houston ranks 4th in the AFC and 16th in our power rankings.
Against the spread, the Texans are 6-9-1 this season, with an average scoring margin of -0.6 points per game. They are 4-6-1 as favorites and 2-3 as underdogs.
Their O/U record stands at 5-10-1, with their games averaging 44.2 points compared to a 45-point line.
Houston Texans Stats
Heading into week 18, the Texans’ offense ranks 22nd in our power rankings, with C.J. Stroud struggling in week 17, posting a passer rating of 59 after going 17/31 for 185 yards and an interception. He was sacked five times in the loss to Baltimore.
Houston failed to score a touchdown in that game, with Nico Collins leading the team with 59 receiving yards on 3 catches.
In terms of scoring, the Texans average 21.8 points per game, which ranks 17th in the NFL. They are 21st in passing yards per game (209.9) and 19th in rushing attempts, averaging 106.4 yards on the ground.
Houston ranks 18th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a success rate of 37.4%.
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In their 31-2 loss to the Ravens, the Texans’ defense gave up 251 rushing yards on 43 attempts, including a 94-yard touchdown run to Lamar Jackson.
Despite allowing just 181 passing yards, Houston gave up two passing touchdowns and allowed the Ravens to average 10.6 yards per attempt through the air. The Texans’ offense managed just two points in the game.
Houston’s defense struggled to generate pressure, with only one sack and losing the quarterback hit differential by -4. The Texans allowed the Ravens to convert on 44.4% of their third down attempts.
This was a tough game for the Texans, as they gave up 432 total yards in the game.
Tennessee Titans
Heading into week 18, the Titans are on a five-game losing streak, putting them at 3-13 on the season. This includes a 1-4 record in the AFC South, which has them in 4th place in the division.
Tennessee is 1-6 at home and 2-7 on the road. Our power rankings have them 24th in the NFL, and they have a -8.8 scoring margin.
Against the spread, the Titans are 2-14, with five straight ATS losses. They are 0-4 as the favorite and 2-10 as the underdog. Their O/U record is 9-6-1, with their games averaging 45.9 points compared to a 41.1-point line.
Tennessee Titans Stats
Heading into week 18, the Titans rank 30th in our offensive power rankings.
They are 24th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 18.6 points per game, and 28th in total yards, with 303.6 per game. Tennessee ranks 28th in passing yards per game (193) on 31.5 attempts per contest. On the ground, they are 15th in rushing yards per game (110.6) and 17th in attempts.
The Titans have been strong in the red zone, converting 34.9% of their opportunities, which ranks 9th in the league.
Mason Rudolph threw for 193 yards (19/31) and a touchdown in week 17 against Jacksonville, finishing with a passer rating of 76. Tyjae Spears led the team with 95 rushing yards on 20 carries, while Calvin Ridley had 5 catches for 84 yards.
Tennessee scored 7 points in the 3rd quarter and 3 in the 4th after being shut out in the 1st quarter.
In their 20-13 loss to the Jaguars, the Titans’ defense allowed two passing touchdowns and struggled on third downs, allowing Jacksonville to convert 61.5% of their third down attempts.
Despite holding the Jaguars to 122 yards on 33 rushing attempts, the Titans gave up 173 passing yards on just 15 completions. The Titans also allowed a quarterback hit differential of -2 and a tackles for loss differential of -4.
Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Texans are 2-2-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Texans are 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Titans have gone 2-8 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Texans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Titans’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Texans vs. Titans Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | -155 | -108 | -3 | -1 |
| Titans | +130 | -112 | +3 | +1 |
4* Free Week 18 NFL Betting Prediction: Houston -1
The Titans road woes are even more glaring, with a dismal 2-14 record in their last 16 away games.
In their last meeting, the Titans eked out a narrow 32-27 win, but that was a different story.
This time, the Texans are slight favorites at -1, and for good reason—they’ve covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 home games against Tennessee.
For this week 18 matchup between the Texans and Titans, we have the Texans pulling off the win 24-17. This is a great spot to take the Texans vs. the spread, as they are currently sitting at -1 road favorites. We have them not only winning but covering.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 38.5 points, we have a projected score of 41 points, making the over our top pick for this matchup.
With an over/under set at a modest 38.5, this game might not light up the scoreboard, but it’s loaded with betting intrigue.
The Texans are surging, and the Titans are reeling, setting the stage for a high-stakes, late-season battle. Get ready for a thriller in Nashville!
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Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Quick Hits on the @Titans after Friday’s practice.
Will Levis to start at QB vs Texans, seven players ruled OUT, an update on L’Jarius Sneed, and more.
READ https://t.co/IpvXadWzxm pic.twitter.com/FVOCerKdW2
— Jim Wyatt (@jwyattsports) January 3, 2025
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