Free NFL Week 17 Pick: Packers vs. Vikings Odds
Looking for Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings free NFL Week 17 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Packers taking on the Vikings on Sunday, December 31st at the U.S. Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 17 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Green Bay Minnesota SNF matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 17
(7-8) Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings (7-8)
Sunday Night Football on NBC
Date: Sunday, December 31st
Time: 8:20 ET
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis MN
NFL Week 17 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Green Bay +1.5 | Minnesota -1.5
Week 17 NFL Moneyline Odds: Green Bay +109 | Minnesota -133
NFL Betting Total: O/U 46.5
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During their first matchup this season, the Vikings secured a 24-10 win against Packers.
On the point-spread, the Vikings went in as the favorite (-1) and they secured a 14 point win, picking up an ATS win. Before the game, the over/under line was set at 41.5 points, resulting an under for the over/under result.
In their long-standing rivalry, the Vikings and Packers have clashed 126 times, with Green Bay currently holding a 65-58-3 advantage.
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Green Bay Packers
The Packers’ week 17 matchup vs. Minnesota will be their 9th road game of the season. On the road, they have gone 3-5 and are 7-8 overall. In the NFC-North, Green Bay is 3rd and 10th in the NFC. The Packers have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 7-8.
Their average scoring margin for this season is +0.1.
In their 33-30 win over the Panthers, the Packers actually trailed at halftime by a score 23-23 before making a second-half comeback. For the game, the Packers’ offense averaged 5 yards per play compared to the Panthers at 6. The Panthers went 8/13 on third down.
Even though Green Bay won straight-up, they did not cover the spread as 3.5 point favorites. Even though Aaron Jones did not find the endzone, he averaged 6.0 yards per attempt and racked up 127 on the ground.
Quarterback Jordan Love threw for 219 yards on 17 of 28 passing.
Green Bay Packers Stats
Offensively, Love finished with 219 passing yards while completing 60% of his passes. On the ground, the Packers ran the ball 34 times for 162 yards. The team went 8/14 on third down.
The Green Bay offense is currently ranked 11th in the league, averaging 22.2 points per contest.
The Green Bay defense has 16 takeaways this season, positioning them 10th in the NFL. Overall, they are at 22.1 points per game allowed and giving up an average of 352.9 yards.
Minnesota Vikings
Going into week 17, Minnesota is 2nd in the NFC-North with an overall record of 7-8. Within the NFC, they find themselves in 8th place. The Vikings’ scoring margin heading into this week’s game is at +1, putting their ATS record at 7-5-3.
Defensively, the Vikings gave up 389 yards of total offense to the Lions in a 30-24 loss.
The Lions ran the ball for 143 yards while throwing for 246. On offense, the Vikings went 3/9 on 3rd down and finished with 390 yards of total offense. Minnesota’s 6 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 2.5 point underdogs. Quarterback Nick Mullens had a big game, throwing for 411 yards on a passer rating of 79.
Mullens completed 61% of 36 attempts in the game.
Minnesota Vikings Stats
On offense, the Vikings finished with 390 yards against the Lions. On third-down situations, the Vikings had a 33.3% conversion rate. Notably, Ty Chandler led the rushing attack with 17 yards, while Mullens passed for 411 yards.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Vikings currently hold an average of 20.9 points per game, which places them at 19th in the NFL.
With a matchup against the Packers’ offense, the Vikings defense has allowed an average of 19.9 points per game so far.
They currently are 15th in quarterback hits and are allowing 320.9 yards per contest.
Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Packers are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Vikings are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Packers are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Vikings have gone 6-1-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Packers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Vikings’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Packers vs. Vikings Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Packers | +136 | +109 | +3 | +1.5 |
Vikings | -162 | -133 | -3 | -1.5 |
4* Free Week 17 NFL Betting Prediction: Minnesota -1.5
Minnesota has shown recent success by winning three of their last five encounters, including a notable 24-10 victory at Lambeau Field in Week 8. If they want to win this one they’ll need to hop on board the Jaren Hall train. On Sunday, head coach Kevin O’Connell revealed that Hall will make his second career start against the Green Bay Packers.
A matchup I like in this one is Minnesota’s passing attack vs. the Green Bay secondary. In their most recent game, Green Bay struggled to slow down Carolina.
Green Bay holds a 4-8 ATS record in their last 12 games and a 2-4 ATS record against Minnesota. They’ve also posted a 2-4 SU record against Minnesota and a 1-5 ATS record on the road.
Meanwhile, Minnesota boasts a 6-2 ATS record against NFC opponents and a 5-2 SU record on Sunday games.
Look for Minnesota to cover as 1.5-point favorites.
With the over/under line sitting at 46.5, my pick is to take the under. So far, Minnesota has an average margin vs. the over/under of +2.5 points per game.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota’s last 13 games and in 7 of their last 9 home games against Green Bay.
Packers Vikings NFL Handicapping
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Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Back on that time 😤 pic.twitter.com/HmvtISdcBs
— Minnesota Vikings (@Vikings) December 30, 2023
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