Free NFL Pick: Packers vs. Lions Odds
Looking for Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Packers taking on the Lions on 11/27 at Ford Field, in Detroit. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NFL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NFL predictions like this Packers Lions free pick for Thanksgiving Day.
2025 NFL Handicapping – Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions
Thanksgiving Day NFL Football 2025
(7-3) Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions (7-4)
Date: Nov 27, 2025
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Ford Field in Detroit, MI
NFL Moneyline Odds: Packers +126 | Lions -149 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Packers +2.5 | Lions -2.5
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 48.5
Here’s why I’m backing an OVER bet below in my Packers Lions free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Packers vs. Lions Gameday
We begin with the Green Bay Packers, heading into Week 13 with a record of 7-3-1. Under head coach Matt LaFleur, the team has shown strong performance, particularly on the road with a 3-1-1 record. Recently, they secured a win against the Minnesota Vikings at Lambeau Field, showcasing their potential to dominate both offensively and defensively.
On the other hand, the Detroit Lions come into this game with a 7-4 record.
Head coach Dan Campbell has led the Lions to perform well at home, boasting a 4-1 record at Ford Field. Despite a setback against the Philadelphia Eagles, the Lions will look to leverage their home-field advantage in this divisional matchup.
The Packers and Lions met earlier this season, with the Packers claiming a 27-13 victory at Lambeau Field. Historically, both teams have traded wins, making this matchup highly unpredictable. As NFC North rivals, this game has significant implications for the division standings. Week 13 promises to be another exciting contest between these two teams.
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Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Odds & Last 5
Interestingly, the betting odds for this game indicate a slight edge for the Detroit Lions. According to consensus odds, the Lions’ moneyline sits at -149, while the Packers’ moneyline is +126. The spread is set at 2.5 points, with the Lions favored, and the total points over/under is at 48.5.
Reflecting on recent games, the Packers have been on a strong run, recording wins over the Giants and Vikings. These victories highlight their offensive and defensive balance. However, close losses to the Eagles and Panthers point to areas where the Packers can improve.
The Lions have had mixed results in their last few games. They secured a commanding win over the Commanders but struggled against both the Eagles and Vikings.
At home, however, the Lions have been more consistent, which could play a key role in this matchup at Ford Field.
Lions Stats
Let’s first examine the Detroit Lions’ offensive performance. Last season, they led the league in total scoring with 564 points and ranked second in passing yards with 4,474. They also excelled in first downs, securing the top spot with 410, and maintained a strong third-down conversion rate at 47.6%, placing them fourth in the league.
Defensively, the Lions allowed 342 points, ranking seventh overall. They recorded 37 sacks, ranking 12th, and were effective in forcing turnovers with 16 interceptions, earning them the fourth spot. However, they allowed 5,820 yards, which placed them 20th in the league, indicating room for improvement in their defensive yardage management.
Recently, the Lions have had a mixed bag of results. In their last game against the Philadelphia Eagles, they fell short with a 16-9 loss, despite Jared Goff throwing for 255 yards. However, they had a significant victory over the Washington Commanders in Week 10, scoring 44 points and showcasing their offensive capabilities.
Jared Goff has been a standout player this season, with 2,769 passing yards and 23 touchdowns. Jahmyr Gibbs has been instrumental in the running game, amassing 951 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns.
Amon-Ra St. Brown leads the receiving corps with 884 yards and 9 touchdowns, making him a vital target for Goff.
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Packers Stats
Heading into Week 13, the Green Bay Packers are riding a wave of momentum with two consecutive wins. Their recent 23-6 victory over the Minnesota Vikings showcased a strong defensive performance, limiting the Vikings to just 10 first downs. Additionally, the Packers’ offense showed balance, gaining 146 rushing yards and 142 passing yards.
In terms of offensive leaders, Jordan Love has been a key figure for the Packers. He has accumulated 2,560 passing yards this season, ranking 11th in the league, and has thrown 15 touchdowns. His primary target, Christian Watson, has contributed 283 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns over five games, providing a reliable option in the passing game.
Defensively, the Packers have been a force, ranking in the top six in both sacks and opponent scores. Micah Parsons, with two sacks in the last game, and Isaiah McDuffie, who recorded an interception, have been pivotal in their defensive efforts. The Packers’ defense will need to maintain this form to challenge the Lions effectively.
However, the Packers face some injury concerns as they prepare for the Lions. Key players like Josh Jacobs and Keisean Nixon are listed as day-to-day, which could impact their game plan.
The absence of Tucker Kraft and Elgton Jenkins due to injuries may also challenge their depth on both sides of the ball.
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Packers vs. Lions QB Matchup
Jared Goff leads the Detroit Lions with a strong passing game, averaging 241.1 yards per contest. In the 2025 season, he has thrown for 2,769 yards, placing him seventh in the league. Notably, Goff has connected for 23 touchdowns while limiting interceptions to just five, showcasing his efficiency on the field.
Goff’s performance has been a key factor for the Lions, as he ranks first on the team in both passing yards and touchdowns. His ability to maintain a steady presence under center has contributed significantly to the Lions’ offensive success. As the Lions prepare for their game against the Packers, Goff’s consistency will be crucial.
On the other side, Jordan Love has been at the helm for the Green Bay Packers, averaging 232.7 passing yards per game. Over the course of the season, Love has accumulated 2,560 passing yards, placing him 11th in the league. He has also thrown 15 touchdown passes and has been intercepted only three times, demonstrating his ability to protect the ball.
Love’s role as the starting quarterback has been pivotal for the Packers, as he ranks first on the team in both passing yards and touchdowns. As the Packers face off against the Lions, Love’s ability to execute the passing game effectively will be essential.
His performance will likely play a significant role in determining the outcome of this matchup.
Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions bottom line: With both teams boasting potent offenses and a history of high-scoring matchups, we could see a lot of points on Thanksgiving Day.
Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Football Betting Trends
- The Packers are 4-0 in their last four away games against the total.
- Also, Green Bay have a 3-0 straight-up record in their last three away games.
- The Lions are 9-1 straight-up in their last ten games as favorites.
- Detroit have gone 3-0 against the total in their last three games as favorites.
- Additionally, the Lions are 8-2 against the spread in their last ten games as favorites.
- The Packers have a 1-2 record against the spread in their last three away games.
Packers Lions Free Pick: Over 48.5
Here is my Packers Lions free pick. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring affairs recently, with the Lions ranking first in scoring last season and the Packers not far behind at eighth.
Their offenses have the firepower to put up points, making the over a strong possibility in this matchup.
The Packers are 4-0 to the over in their last four away games, while the Lions have been perfect in their last three as favorites, hitting the over every time. Ford Field’s dome setting removes any weather concerns, providing an ideal environment for offenses to perform at their best.
My system tells me both teams’ offensive efficiency in a controlled environment makes 48.5 too low.
With both teams capable of scoring in bunches and a neutral field setting, this game sets up perfectly for a high total. Over 48.5 is the pick.
Today’s NFL Free Pick
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NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
🎯🎯🎯 pic.twitter.com/3bjC6rZxqw
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) November 26, 2025
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