Free NFL Pick: Packers vs. Cowboys Odds
Looking for Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Packers taking on the Cowboys on 9/28 at AT&T Stadium, in Dallas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NFL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NFL predictions like this Packers Cowboys free pick.
2025 NFL Handicapping – Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys
(2-1) Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys (1-2)
Date: Sep 28, 2025
Time: 8:20 PM ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX
NFL Moneyline Odds: Packers -336 | Cowboys +269 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Packers -7.0 | Cowboys +7.0
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 47.5
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Packers vs. Cowboys Gameday
Let’s set the stage for the Green Bay Packers’ showdown with the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. The Packers, guided by Head Coach Matt LaFleur, have opened the season 2-1 and are looking to build momentum.
Their last road trip ended in a tough 13-10 setback to the Cleveland Browns, so cleaning things up away from Lambeau is a clear priority.
On the flip side, the Dallas Cowboys, led by Brian Schottenheimer, are hungry for a rebound after a sluggish 1-2 start. They dropped a 31-14 decision to the Chicago Bears, but they’ve been flawless at home this year and will lean on that edge.
History leans toward Green Bay in this spot. The Packers have taken three straight trips to AT&T, including their unforgettable Super Bowl win in 2023. That kind of success breeds confidence heading into another primetime tilt.
Kickoff is slated for Sunday, September 28, 2025, at 8:20 PM on NBC. While the forecast calls for sweltering conditions and overcast skies, the retractable roof will keep the focus squarely on the football.
Both squads will bring their best under the bright lights. Week 4, Packers vs. Cowboys, everything points to a high-stakes battle.
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2025 NFL Football Handicapping
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Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys Odds & Last 5
Turning to the odds for this game, the Packers come in as the favorites with a moneyline of -340. On the other hand, the Cowboys have a moneyline of +270, indicating they are the underdogs despite their home advantage.
The spread favors the Packers by 7 points, showing confidence in their ability to outperform the Cowboys.
In their last outing, the Packers suffered a narrow loss to the Browns, ending with a score of 13-10. However, they displayed strong performances earlier in the season with wins over the Lions and Commanders.
Their ability to bounce back from setbacks could play a role in tonight’s encounter.
Meanwhile, the Cowboys are coming off a challenging defeat against the Bears, where they struggled to keep up, losing 31-14. Despite their road struggles, they have been solid at home, as evidenced by their unbeaten home record.
Cowboys Stats
Starting the season with a rocky path, the Dallas Cowboys find themselves in need of a win. Their recent loss to the Chicago Bears, with a score of 31-14, highlighted some areas for improvement.
Dak Prescott, the Cowboys’ quarterback, threw for 251 yards but also had two interceptions, showing room for growth in ball security.
Furthermore, the Cowboys’ offense has shown potential with Javonte Williams leading the rushing attack. Williams has accumulated 227 rushing yards over three games, ranking him seventh in the league.
Despite these efforts, the team needs to improve their third down conversion rate, which was 36.8% last season, to sustain drives and put more points on the board.
On the defensive side, the Cowboys have struggled, allowing 468 points last season, placing them 28th in the league. However, they have been effective in creating turnovers with 13 interceptions, ranking seventh.
This ability to force turnovers could be crucial in their upcoming game against the Packers, especially with the absence of key players like CeeDee Lamb and Trevon Diggs due to injuries.
Finally, the Cowboys will need to rely on the kicking game, where Brandon Aubrey has been consistent. Aubrey has made eight field goals, ranking third in the league.
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Packers Stats
First, let’s dive into the Green Bay Packers’ offensive performance this season. They finished the 2024 season ranked 8th in scoring with 460 points and 5th in rushing yards with 2,496.
This season, quarterback Jordan Love has thrown for 663 yards and 5 touchdowns, ranking him 14th in passing yards and 7th in passing touchdowns in the league.
On the defensive side, the Packers have been effective in limiting opponents. Last season, they ranked 6th in opponent scoring, allowing only 338 points, and recorded 45 sacks, placing them 6th in the league.
Their ability to force turnovers is evident, as they were 3rd in opponent passing interceptions with 17 and 2nd in fumbles recovered with 14.
Recently, the Packers have experienced mixed results. They won their first two games of the 2025 season against the Detroit Lions and Washington Commanders, scoring 27 points in each game.
However, they faced a setback in Week 3, losing to the Cleveland Browns with a score of 13-10.
Lastly, the Packers are dealing with several injuries, which could impact their performance. Key players like wide receiver Jayden Reed and running back MarShawn Lloyd are on injured reserve, while offensive linemen Aaron Banks and Zach Tom are listed as day to day.
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Packers vs. Cowboys QB Matchup
Dak Prescott has been consistent for the Dallas Cowboys this season. Over three games, he has accumulated 800 passing yards, ranking him fourth in the league. Additionally, he has thrown three touchdowns and three interceptions, which places him among the top quarterbacks in terms of yardage.
In the upcoming game against the Green Bay Packers, Prescott is projected to throw for 246.1 yards with 1.6 touchdowns. With no interceptions projected, his accuracy will be crucial for the Cowboys.
Jordan Love, the starting quarterback for the Green Bay Packers, has shown promise this season. In three games, he has thrown for 663 yards, ranking him 14th in the league. Love has managed five touchdowns and just one interception, showcasing his ability to lead the Packers’ offense effectively.
Looking ahead to the game against the Cowboys, Love is expected to pass for 253.4 yards and 1.9 touchdowns.
His ability to avoid turnovers will be key in this matchup.
Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys Football Betting Trends
- The Packers have excelled against the spread as favorites, going 11-1 in their last 12 regular season games.
- In all their regular season games, the Packers have an 11-4 record against the spread over the last 15 games.
- The Cowboys have seen the total go over in 4 of their last 6 home games.
- Also, the Cowboys have a 5-3 record for the over when playing as underdogs in their last 8 regular season games.
- Additionally, the Packers have struggled with the over as favorites, with a 3-7 record in their last 10 regular season games.
- The Cowboys have gone over the total in 7 of their last 11 regular season games.
Packers vs Cowboys Prediction: Packers -7
The Green Bay Packers come into this matchup looking to bounce back, and history suggests AT&T Stadium is the perfect place to do it. They’ve been dominant against the spread as favorites, posting an 11-1 mark in their last 12 in that role, while also covering 11 of their last 15 overall.
Meanwhile, the Dallas Cowboys have struggled out of the gate with a 1-2 start, though they did manage to win their lone home game. Their contests at Jerry World often tilt toward points, with four of their last six home games going over, but their defense remains a liability against well-balanced offenses.
In fact, Green Bay has made Arlington a second home, scoring 34 or more in all five trips, including a statement playoff win in 2023. With Micah Parsons leading a Packers defense familiar with Dallas’ tendencies, the matchup tilts further in Green Bay’s favor.
Everything points to this being a get-right spot for the Packers, who know how to light up the scoreboard in Dallas.
While Dak Prescott may do just enough to keep it competitive early, Green Bay’s offensive rhythm and track record in this building should carry them through.
Laying -7 with the Packers is the sharp side, as they’re positioned to rebound in style against Parsons’ old teammates.
Today’s NFL Free Pick
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NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
one-handed for six 🤯
📺: #DALvsCHI on FOX
📲: Stream on NFL+ https://t.co/RmDxAeCG4M pic.twitter.com/Cpu23eMktm— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) September 21, 2025
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