Free NFL Pick: Packers vs. Bears Odds
Looking for Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Packers taking on the Bears on 12/20 at Soldier Field, in Chicago. This free NFL football pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Packers Bears matchup.
2025 NFL Handicapping – Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears
(9-4) Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears (10-4)
Date: Dec 20, 2025
Time: 8:20 PM ET
Venue: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL
NFL Moneyline Odds: Packers -113 | Bears -106 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Packers -1.0 | Bears +1.0
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 46.5
Here’s why I’m backing a Green Bay ML bet below in my Packers Bears free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Packers vs. Bears Gameday
The Green Bay Packers head into this matchup sitting at 9-4-1 and feeling pretty comfortable away from home, thanks to a 4-2-1 road record. Under Matt LaFleur, Green Bay has handled division business with little drama, sporting a spotless 4-0 mark against NFC North opponents so far.
Chicago, meanwhile, enters at 10-4 and will lean heavily on Soldier Field, where they’re 5-1 this season.
The home record looks great on paper, though a 1-3 division mark suggests things haven’t been quite as smooth when familiarity kicks in.
These teams met recently in Week 14, when Green Bay took a 28-21 win at Lambeau Field and covered the spread. That result gives the Packers a bit of a mental edge, especially in a rivalry that rarely lacks confidence on either sideline.
Weather could also play a role, with very cold temperatures and overcast skies expected at Soldier Field.
With FOX carrying the broadcast and Saturday night lights on, Week 16 delivers another chapter of Packers vs. Bears, and history says weird things tend to happen in this one.
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Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears Odds & Last 5
The betting market sees this one as close to a coin flip. Green Bay sits slightly ahead at -112 on the moneyline, while Chicago isn’t far behind at -107.
The Packers are laying 1.5 points, and the total is set at 46.5, hinting at points even with the cold in play.
Green Bay’s recent form has been a bit uneven. They dropped a 34-26 road game to Denver but rebounded by taking care of Chicago in Week 14. That pattern fits the Packers this season: capable of strong responses, but not always tidy week to week.
Chicago comes in off a statement win, throttling the Browns 31-3. Still, the loss to Green Bay earlier this month lingers.
With their strong home record, the Bears will be eager to flip the script in front of their own crowd.
Bears Stats
The Bears arrive in Week 16 riding momentum after that dominant win over Cleveland, their fourth victory in the last five games.
Soldier Field has treated them well, and their recent defensive performances have reflected that comfort.
Offensively, Chicago has been a work in progress. They rank near the bottom of the league in scoring and passing yardage compared to last season, but the defense has more than picked up the slack. The Bears rank 12th in opponent scoring and sit top-10 in both sacks and interceptions.
Caleb Williams has been the steady hand under center, throwing for 3,150 yards and 21 touchdowns. D’Andre Swift has complemented him on the ground with 935 rushing yards and seven scores.
Injury questions remain, though, with Swift and Cole Kmet listed as questionable, which could complicate the game plan.
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Packers Stats
Green Bay’s offense has been one of the more reliable units in the league. They rank 8th in scoring and 5th in rushing yards, giving them balance that travels well in cold-weather games.
Defensively, they’ve allowed just 338 points, ranking 6th overall.
Jordan Love continues to be the engine of the offense, ranking 7th in passing yards and 5th in passing touchdowns. While interceptions have popped up from time to time, his overall production keeps defenses honest.
Injuries are the biggest concern for Green Bay entering this one. Josh Jacobs and Christian Watson are banged up, while season-ending injuries to Micah Parsons and Devonte Wyatt have thinned the defense.
Recent results have been mixed, but wins over Chicago and Detroit show this team still knows how to rise for division games.
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Packers vs. Bears QB Matchup
Caleb Williams has put together a solid rookie campaign for Chicago, throwing for 3,150 yards and 21 touchdowns over 14 games. He’s projected for just over 200 passing yards in this matchup and will need to stay efficient in cold conditions to keep the Bears on track.
Jordan Love has been equally productive, tossing for 3,304 yards and 23 touchdowns.
His projected line sits closer to 240 yards, and his ability to push the ball downfield could be a difference-maker if Chicago’s defense starts creeping up.
Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears bottom line: The Bears have been tough at home, but Green Bay’s division dominance and recent head-to-head success suggest the Packers are comfortable living in Chicago, cold weather and all.
Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears Football Betting Trends
- The Packers have gone 6-0 on the over in their last 6 away games.
- Green Bay are 7-2 on the over as favorites in their last 9 games.
- The Packers have a 4-1 straight-up record in their last 5 away games.
- Also, the Bears have a perfect 5-0 straight-up record in their last 5 home games.
- Additionally, Chicago are 5-2 against the spread as underdogs in their last 7 games.
- The Bears have gone 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 games overall.
Packers Bears Free Pick: Packers ML -112
Here is my Packers Bears free pick: Green Bay has quietly been one of the more reliable road teams in the league. Winning four of the last five away games tells you they travel with purpose.
The Packers’ offense has been productive in these spots, especially when they’re expected to control the game. When they get rolling early, scoring usually follows in layers. Chicago has been better at home than on the road, but division games haven’t treated them kindly.
Familiar opponents tend to expose the same issues over and over.
Green Bay has owned this matchup recently, including a win earlier this season. That history matters, especially when confidence already leans one way.
Because the Packers can attack in multiple ways, defenses struggle to key in on one thing. That balance keeps them steady even if one phase stalls.
Some matchups just keep leaning the same direction.
The Bears still have fight, but sustaining it for four quarters has been a problem. Small lapses often turn into long stretches.
Overall, this feels like a spot where Green Bay stays composed while Chicago presses. One team looks comfortable in these moments.
Green Bay on the moneyline is the play. Trust the side that’s handled this stage before.
Today’s NFL Free Pick
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