Free NFL Week 16 Pick: Lions vs. Vikings Odds
Looking for Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings free NFL Week 16 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Lions taking on the Vikings on Sunday, December 24th at the U.S. Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 16 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Detroit Minnesota matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 16
(10-4) Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings (7-7)
Date: Sunday, December 24th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis MN
NFL Week 16 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Detroit -3 | Minnesota +3
Week 16 NFL Moneyline Odds: Detroit -175 | Minnesota +143
NFL Betting Total: O/U 47
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Last year, the Lions and Vikings split their head-to-head matchups with each team going 1-1.
Against the spread, the Lions went 2-0 while the over/under record in these games was 2-0 on an average of 54.5 points per game. The Lions’ offense finished their head-to-head matchups with 440 yards per game of offense.
As for the Vikings, they averaged 394.5 yards offensively.
Since its establishment in 1961, the NFL rivalry between the Vikings and the Lions has been characterized by Minnesota’s dominance, especially during the 1970s and 2000s when they secured an outstanding 35–5 record against the Lions.
As of 2022, the Vikings maintain a commanding 80–41–2 lead in the series.
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Detroit Lions
As we enter week 16, Detroit is in 1st place in the NFC-North with an overall record of 10-4. In the NFC, they are currently in 3rd place. The Lions’ current scoring margin for the season stands at +3.6, contributing to their ATS record of 9-5.
The Lions’ 25-point win over the Broncos was one of their largest margins of victory in recent history. Offensively, the Lions averaged 7 yards per play for a total of 448 yards. On the other end, the Broncos went 5/13 on 3rd down and finished with 287 yards.
Going into the game, Detroit was favored by 5.5 and went on to cover the spread. Jared Goff threw for 278 yards while completing 70% of his passes and throwing for 278. Goff threw for five touchdowns.
Detroit Lions Stats
Offensively, Goff finished with 278 passing yards while completing 70% of his passes. On the ground, the Lions rushed the ball 28 times for 185 yards. The team converted 5 of 10 third-down opportunities.
Regarding their offense, the Lions have an average 27.3 points per game, which places them 5th in the NFL.
In terms of defense, the Lions hold the 15th position in tackles for loss and are ranked 14th in sacks. Opponents are managing to score an average of 23.6 points and gain 320.9 yards per game against them.
Minnesota Vikings
Going into this week 16 NFC matchup, the Vikings have an overall record of 7-7. In the NFC-North standings, the Vikings are in 2nd place and 6th in the NFC. So far, they have gone 6-3 against NFC opponents and 2-4 at home.
The current scoring margin for the Vikings’ is +1.5, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 7-4-3.
To open the game, the Vikings put up 7 points and held the early lead, but still couldn’t go on to win. Offensively, Minnesota finished with 424 yards of offense, while on the defensive side of the ball they allowed 378 yards.
Each team finished with a push against the spread, as Minnesota was the 3 point underdog. Nick Mullens threw for 303 yards while completing 78% of his passes and throwing for 303. Mullens threw for two touchdowns.
Minnesota Vikings Stats
Against the Bengals, the Vikings ran the ball 30 times, with Ty Chandler as the top rusher, gaining 132 yards. Mullens attempted 33 passes, amassing 303 yards and a passer rating of 99.
On offense, the Vikings are currently averaging 20.7 points per game, ranking them 18th in the NFL.
In terms of yards allowed, the Vikings are 13th in the league while giving up 316.0 yards per contest. Minnesota’s defense has allowed 19.2 points per game, placing them 7th in the NFL.
Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Lions are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Vikings have gone 6-1-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Vikings’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Lions vs. Vikings Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Lions | -154 | -174 | -3 | -3 |
Vikings | +130 | +143 | +3 | +3 |
4* Free Week 16 NFL Betting Prediction: Minnesota +3
In the upcoming game, the Lions have a chance to clinch their first division title in 30 years, while the second-place Vikings (7-7) aim to stay competitive in the division race and secure a wild card spot, currently holding the sixth seed in the NFC.
Both teams recently secured victories, with the Lions defeating the Broncos 42-17, covering the -5.5 point spread after a Week 14 loss. Meanwhile, the Vikings narrowly missed victory with a +3 point spread in a 27-24 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals.
My point spread pick is Minnesota as 3-point underdogs. I expect Minnesota to continue their impressive rushing game, as seen in their recent matchup with Cincinnati. I’ll be getting a bet down on Minnesota before the game starts.
With the over/under line set at 47, I’m going with the under. So far this season, games involving Minnesota have averaged 39.9 points per game, and I expect this game to stay below 47.
Detroit has managed to secure victory in just 2 of their last 11 matchups against Minnesota, and their struggles continue when playing on the road against the Vikings, where they have suffered 5 consecutive losses.
Meanwhile, Minnesota has shown strength in recent games, covering the spread in 6 out of their last 9 matchups and winning 6 of their last 9 games outright.
When hosting Detroit, Minnesota has been dominant, boasting a perfect 5-0 home record.
Additionally, in contests against opponents from the National Football Conference conference, Minnesota holds an impressive 6-1 ATS record.
Furthermore, they have exhibited consistency by winning 5 of their last 6 games played on a Sunday.
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Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Paint it white ❄️ pic.twitter.com/iMduyIQmlL
— Viktor the Viking (@ViktorTheViking) December 22, 2023
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