Free NFL Week 14 Pick: Broncos vs. Chargers Odds
Looking for Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers free NFL Week 14 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Broncos taking on the Chargers on Sunday, December 10th at the SoFi Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 14 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Denver Los Angeles matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 14
(6-6) Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers (5-7)
Date: Sunday, December 10th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood CA
NFL Week 14 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Denver +2.5 | Los Angeles -2.5
Week 14 NFL Moneyline Odds: Denver +127 | Los Angeles -154
NFL Betting Total: O/U 43
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With only a few games left this season, it seems the Chargers must win all of them to have a chance at the playoffs.
As for the Broncos, their playoff hopes got a bit shaky after losing to the Texans in Week 13.
You know the Broncos are still in the mix with a 6-6 record and could bounce back with a win this Sunday.
They had good momentum going before last week’s setback.
Last year, the Chargers and Broncos split their head-to-head matchups, with each team going 1-1.
Together the Broncos and Chargers averaged 47 points per game and had an over/under record of 1-1. Against the spread, they each went 1-1.
In these head-to-head matchups, the Broncos’ offense averaged 364.5 yards per game compared to the Chargers at 324.5.
The teams have met once in the playoffs, a 24–17 Broncos win in the 2013 AFC Divisional Round. The Broncos lead the overall series 71–55–1.
Denver leads 3-2 in the last 5 SU.
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Denver Broncos
Heading into their matchup with the Chargers, the Broncos have a 6-6 record. In the AFC-West, they are in 2nd place and 9th place in the AFC overall.
This season, the Broncos find themselves above .500 versus the spread with a record of 4-7-1.
The Broncos saw their five-game winning streak come to an end last Sunday when they lost 22-17 to the Houston Texans on the road, despite being the underdogs by three points.
Their average scoring margin for this season stands at -3.2.
In their defeat against the Texans, Denver had a slow start and failed to score in the first quarter. The Broncos concluded the game with 282 yards on offense, while allowing 353 on defense.
Denver’s 5 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 3.5 point underdogs. Quarterback Russell Wilson threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score.
Wilson completed 57% of his passes for 186 yards.
Denver Broncos Stats
Denver’s offense generated 282 total yards against the Texans. On third downs, the Broncos managed a conversion rate of 0%. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing with 46 yards, while Wilson passed for 186 yards.
This season, the Denver offense has an average of 21.9 points, placing them 14th in the league.
Denver is 26th in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 25.2 points per game, accumulating 385.2 yards per contest.
Los Angeles Chargers
At 5-7, the Chargers are 12th in the AFC and 3rd in the AFC-West.
This will be Los Angeles’ 7th home game this season, where they have gone 2-4 compared to 3-3 on the road. The Chargers have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 5-7.
The Chargers had an away game in Week 13 and managed to defeat the New England Patriots with a surprising 6-0 scoreline, even though they were favored by 4.5 points. I was sure I went to a football game, but it turned into a low-scoring affair that reminded me more of a hockey game!
Their average scoring margin for this season is +1.4.
The Chargers showcased their defense against the Patriots, securing a 6-0 shutout victory.
Going into the game, Los Angeles was favored by 4.5 and went on to cover the spread. Justin Herbert did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 22 of 37 passes for 212 yards.
Herbert ended the game with a passer rating of 75.
Los Angeles Chargers Stats
Facing the Patriots, the Chargers rushed the ball 24 times, with Austin Ekeler leading the team with 18 yards. Herbert attempted 37 passes, accumulating 212 yards and a passer rating of 75.
The Chargers’ offense has performing well in the first half of game, averaging 12.8 points.
Their overall offensive numbers of 22.9 is 11th in the NFL.
The Chargers defense comes into the game with rankings of 4th in tackles for loss and 3rd in sacks.
Their opponents have been scoring 21.5 points per game and gaining 379.5 yards (per game).
Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Broncos are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Broncos are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chargers have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Chargers’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Broncos vs. Chargers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | +130 | +127 | +3 | +2.5 |
| Chargers | -154 | -154 | -3 | -2.5 |
4* Free Week 14 NFL Betting Prediction: Los Angeles -2.5
The Broncos come into this one 2-3 on the road, and the Chargers are 2-4 at home. Invesco Field is no longer the juggernaut of a stadium to come into as it used to be for visiting teams, and neither is SoFi Stadium. It’s quite often a home game for the visiting team, and likely will be again on Sunday with a Legion Of Broncos fans flying into Southern Cal for the occasion.
A matchup I’m keeping a close eye on is Los Angeles’ passing game versus the Denver secondary.
I stumbled upon some NFL Week 14 trends and stats online, and I want to share them with you. Denver hasn’t done well on the road, with a record of 3-14 in their last 17 away games.
Also, the Chargers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in December, and the Broncos are 2-9-1 ATS in their Last 12 after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their prior matchup.
Considering Denver’s difficulties against Houston, I’m leaning towards Los Angeles to cover with a 2.5-point advantage.
After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 41 points.
This projection has me feeling good about taking the UNDER 43.
If you’re into Over/Under betting, here are some trends for you: In most of the LA Chargers’ recent games, the total score has been under the set line, happening in 9 out of their last 10 matches overall and in 4 out of 5 home games.
When playing at home against Denver, the total has been under in 11 out of the last 13 games. Denver’s games have also tended to be low-scoring, with the total going under in 6 out of their last 7 matches and in 4 out of 5 games against AFC opponents.
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Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
the blueprint pic.twitter.com/OwzRWIgLOm
— Los Angeles Chargers (@chargers) December 6, 2023
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