Free NFL Week 16 Pick: Cowboys vs. Dolphins Odds
Looking for Dallas Cowboys vs. Miami Dolphins free NFL Week 16 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Cowboys taking on the Dolphins on Sunday, December 24th at the Hard Rock Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 16 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Dallas Miami matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 16
(10-4) Dallas Cowboys vs. Miami Dolphins (10-4)
Date: Sunday, December 24th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens FL
NFL Week 16 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Dallas +1.5 | Miami -1.5
Week 16 NFL Moneyline Odds: Dallas +103 | Miami -125
NFL Betting Total: O/U 51
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This matchup’s special. Teams meet once every 4 years. Cowboys lead 8-7. Dolphins aim to tie. Last game: 2019, Dolphins lost 31-6 in Dallas.
Last week in Miami, the Dolphins crushed the Jets. New York couldn’t pose a real scoring threat, and Miami came out on top with a 30-0 victory. In the second half, the Dolphins passed nine times and ran the ball 15 times, securing a clear and commanding win.
On the other side, the Cowboys got crushed by the Bills this week.
Buffalo’s defense stopped the Cowboys’ strong offense, allowing only 195 yards.
They sacked Dak Prescott three times, and Dallas barely made it past the 50-yard line three times throughout the game.
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Dallas Cowboys
This season, the Cowboys have achieved an overall record of 10-4, putting them 1st in the NFC-East.
This includes a 0-3 record as underdogs and 10-1 when they are favored. So far this season, the Cowboys are above .500 vs. the spread at 9-5.
Their average scoring margin this season is +11.9.
The Cowboys were unable to overcome being held scoreless in the first quarter against the Bills and lost by a score of 31-10. Defensively, they allowed they gave up 351 yards and allowed the Bills to convert 38.5% of their 3rd downs.
On offense, the Cowboys finished with 195 yards went 5/13 on third down. Dallas’ 21 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 2.5 point underdogs.
Dak Prescott did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 21 of 34 passes for 134 yards. Prescott ended the game with a passer rating of 57.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
Against the Bills, the Cowboys ran the ball 20 times, with Tony Pollard as the top rusher, gaining 52 yards. Dak attempted 34 passes, amassing 134 yards and a passer rating of 57.
Regarding their offense, the Cowboys have an average 30.8 points per game, which places them 2nd in the NFL.
On defense, the Cowboys are currently positioned 13th in tackles for loss and 8th in sacks.
Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 18.9 points per game and gaining 294.3 yards per contest.
Miami Dolphins
Looking at the AFC-East standings, the Dolphins are in 1st place on a record of 10-4. In the AFC, Miami is in 2nd place heading into week 16. Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Dolphins are above .500 at 9-5.
Their average scoring margin is +10.5.
In the Dolphins’ win over the Jets, the Dolphins controlled the time of possession at 36:21 to 23:39 for the Jets. The Dolphins’ offense averaged 2.8 yards per rushing attempt and finished with a total of 290 yards.
Defensively, they gave up 103 yards of offense to the Jets. Going into the game, Miami was favored by 7 and went on to cover the spread.
Tua Tagovailoa threw for 224 yards while completing 87% of his passes and throwing for 224.
Tagovailoa threw for one touchdown.
Miami Dolphins Stats
Offensively, the Dolphins rushed the ball 28 times against the Jets. Raheem Mostert led the ground attack with 42 yards. Tua made 24 passing attempts, accumulating 224 yards and achieving a passer rating of 119.
In terms of offense, the Dolphins are at 31.5 points per game, ranking them 1st in the NFL.
In terms of yards allowed, the Dolphins are 5th in the league while giving up 293.4 yards per contest. Miami’s defense has allowed 21 points per game, placing them 13th in the NFL.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Cowboys are 0-5 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Dolphins are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Cowboys are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Dolphins have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cowboys’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Dolphins’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Cowboys vs. Dolphins Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Cowboys | -104 | +103 | +1.5 | +1.5 |
Dolphins | -112 | -125 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
4* Free Week 16 NFL Betting Prediction: Miami -1.5
For this Dolphins vs. Cowboys matchup, I like the Dolphins to cover the spread as 1.5 point home favorites. Miami’s defense looked good to close out their last game and should put together another strong performance vs. the Cowboys.
Both teams are decent, but I’ve struggled to see them as Super Bowl contenders this season due to their inability to defeat strong opponents. However, I believe the Dolphins will change that this week by defeating a tough team.
I’m rooting for the FINS!
For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has Dallas and Miami combining for 45 points.
Right now the over/under line is sitting at 51, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.
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Cowboys Dolphins NFL Handicapping
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Dallas Cowboys vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Outta this world. 🚀📈#ProBowlVote + @astronaut pic.twitter.com/4mKz16TSRt
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) December 19, 2023
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