Free NFL Pick: Cowboys vs. Lions Odds
Looking for Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Cowboys taking on the Lions on 12/4 at Ford Field, in Detroit. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NFL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NFL predictions like this Cowboys Lions free pick on Thursday Night Football.
2025 NFL Handicapping – Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions
Thursday Night Football on Amazon Prime(6-5) Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions (7-5)
Date: Dec 04, 2025
Time: 8:15 PM ET
Venue: Ford Field in Detroit, MI
NFL Moneyline Odds: Cowboys +137 | Lions -162 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Cowboys +3 | Lions -3
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 54.5
Here’s why I’m backing a Detroit ATS bet below in my Cowboys Lions free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Cowboys vs. Lions Gameday
The Dallas Cowboys come into this matchup at 6-5-1 and continue searching for steadier results, especially on the road where they hold a 2-4-0 record away from AT&T Stadium.
On the other side, the Detroit Lions sit at 7-5-0 and have been reliable at Ford Field with a 4-2-0 home mark. Also, their position in the NFC North adds importance to this contest.
In past meetings, the Lions claimed a dominant 47-9 win in October 2024.
Still, the Cowboys edged out a 20-19 victory in December 2023, showing how competitive this matchup can be.
Both teams enter Week 14 with mixed recent form. The Cowboys posted wins over the Chiefs and Eagles, while the Lions dropped games to the Packers and Eagles but secured a strong result against the Commanders. Therefore, this meeting at Ford Field provides an opportunity for both sides to elevate their position.
Week 14, Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions, we’re all hoping a great game is in store.
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Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions Odds & Last 5
The Lions open as -162 favorites, while the Cowboys enter at +136 on the moneyline. The spread lists Detroit at -3.0 (-109) and Dallas at +3.0 (-111), with a total of 54.5 indicating expectations for a high-scoring matchup.
Meanwhile, the Cowboys bring momentum from three straight wins over the Chiefs, Eagles, and Raiders. Also, Dak Prescott continues to fuel their offense with strong passing performances.
On the other hand, the Lions have dropped recent games to the Packers and Eagles but delivered a convincing victory over the Commanders. Additionally, their 4-2 home record reinforces the value of playing at Ford Field.
As both teams prepare for a key NFC matchup, the Cowboys will look to overcome their road challenges, while the Lions aim to stabilize and defend their home field.
Lions Stats
The Detroit Lions have produced strong offensive totals this season, ranking first in total scoring with 564 points and second in passing yards at 4,474. Their rushing attack remains effective as well, placing sixth with 2,488 yards.
Defensively, the Lions rank 20th in yards allowed at 5,820. Still, they excel in creating turnovers, sitting fourth in interceptions with 16.
In recent games, Detroit fell 31-24 to Green Bay despite comparable passing numbers and more first downs. Their earlier 44-point showing against Washington highlights their potential when the offense finds rhythm.
Finally, injuries remain a challenge. Amon-Ra St. Brown and Taylor Decker are among the key players working through issues. Thus, Detroit will lean on its depth as they face the Cowboys.
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Cowboys Stats
The Dallas Cowboys approach Week 14 with momentum from three consecutive victories, including a 31-28 win over Kansas City. Dak Prescott guided that effort with 320 passing yards and two touchdowns.
Looking at season trends, the Cowboys rank 11th in passing yards with 3,862 from last year’s totals. Also, their ground game has lagged, sitting 26th with 1,705 rushing yards.
Defensively, Dallas produces steady pressure, ranking third in sacks with 52. They also remain strong in forcing turnovers with a seventh-place mark in interceptions. Eventually, improving consistency in limiting opponent scoring will be key, as they allowed 468 points last season.
Injury notes include Jadeveon Clowney and Malik Hooker listed day-to-day. Additionally, the season-ending injury to Miles Sanders shapes their backfield rotation moving forward.
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Cowboys vs. Lions QB Matchup
Dak Prescott continues to deliver strong production, totaling 3,261 passing yards across 12 games, good for second in the league. His 25 touchdowns and eight interceptions show efficiency and control.
In this matchup, Prescott is projected for 274.7 yards and two touchdowns. Also, avoiding turnovers will be important as Dallas looks to maintain offensive rhythm against the Lions.
Jared Goff remains a steady presence for Detroit with 3,025 passing yards through 12 games, ranking sixth in the league. His 25 touchdowns and five interceptions highlight his decision-making strength.
Looking ahead, Goff is projected for 268.1 yards and two touchdowns. Additionally, his low interception rate continues to position him as a reliable leader for the Lions’ offense.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions bottom line: Detroit’s home stability and Dallas’ recent momentum create a tight matchup likely shaped by which quarterback maintains cleaner possessions in key moments.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions Football Betting Trends
- The Cowboys have covered the spread in 83.3% of their last 6 games as underdogs.
- Dallas has a perfect over record in their last 4 away games.
- In games with totals of 50 or more, the Cowboys have hit the over in 75% of their last 4 matchups.
- Also, the Lions have gone over the total in all of their last 4 games as favorites.
- Detroit has won 81.8% of their last 11 games when favored.
- Additionally, the Lions have hit the over in 80% of their last 5 games overall.
Thursday Night Football Cowboys Lions Free Pick: Lions -3
Here is my Cowboys Lions free pick. The Detroit Lions have been rock-solid when favored, winning 81.8% of their last 11 games in that role. Their offense ranks near the top of the league, and they’ve looked especially sharp at home inside Ford Field.
That offensive consistency gives Detroit a real edge against a Dallas team that simply hasn’t traveled well this season.
Dallas has stumbled to a 2-4 road record, and even though they’ve covered as underdogs, their inconsistency away from AT&T Stadium makes them hard to trust here.
Detroit’s rhythm at home, combined with their ability to dictate tempo, puts the Cowboys in a difficult spot.
The Lions have also trended toward the over thanks to their explosive scoring output. Their ability to sustain drives and finish in the red zone forces opponents into uncomfortable game scripts, and Dallas has struggled in exactly these types of environments.
Dallas has the talent to make this competitive, but their road issues and defensive breakdowns show up too often. Detroit, on the other hand, thrives in this building and repeatedly handles business as a favorite.
Plus, with the Lions’ home edge and proven success in this role, the direction is straightforward.
All in all, Detroit ATS (-3) is the safest and most reliable pick for this one.
Today’s NFL Free Pick
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NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
TNF on the ⏰
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) December 4, 2025
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