Free NFL Pick: Cowboys vs. Broncos Odds
Looking for Dallas Cowboys vs. Denver Broncos Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Cowboys taking on the Broncos on 10/26 at Empower Field at Mile High, in Denver. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NFL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NFL predictions like this Cowboys Broncos free pick.
2025 NFL Handicapping – Dallas Cowboys vs Denver Broncos
(3-3) Dallas Cowboys vs. Denver Broncos (5-2)
Date: Oct 26, 2025
Time: 4:25 PM ET
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO
NFL Moneyline Odds: Cowboys +146 | Broncos -175 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Cowboys +3.5 | Broncos -3.5
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 50.5
Here’s why I’m backing Denver ATS below in my Cowboys Broncos free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Cowboys vs. Broncos Gameday
The Dallas Cowboys hit the road for a Week 8 showdown with the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High. Kickoff is set for Sunday, October 26, 2025, at 4:25 PM ET on CBS. Expect thin air, loud fans, and a playoff-like atmosphere in Denver.
Brian Schottenheimer’s Cowboys sit at 3-3-1, a reflection of their uneven year. They’re a perfect 2-0-1 at home but just 1-3 on the road, where consistency has been tough to find.
Dallas can score in bunches, but the defense hasn’t always traveled.
Sean Payton’s Broncos, meanwhile, are 5-2 and riding momentum. They’ve been flawless at home (3-0) and just edged the Giants 33-32 in a thriller. That ability to win close games has given this Denver team a swagger it lacked early in the season.
Week 8, Dallas Cowboys vs. Denver Broncos — altitude, offense, and attitude.
It’s a sneaky good late-window game on the Sunday slate.
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Dallas Cowboys vs. Denver Broncos Odds & Last 5
Oddsmakers lean Denver here, with the Broncos -176 on the moneyline and the Cowboys +148. The spread sits at Broncos -3.5, which signals respect for both teams.
The total’s hovering around the mid-40s, suggesting balanced scoring expectations.
Dallas has been hot and cold lately — one week hammering Washington 44-22, the next falling 30-27 to Carolina. That volatility makes them dangerous but unpredictable. Denver, on the other hand, keeps finding ways to win — sneaking past the Jets 13-11 and edging the Giants by a single point.
Given the Broncos’ perfect home record, bettors are right to shade toward the altitude edge.
Still, Dallas’ explosive offense means this line won’t go unchallenged.
Broncos Stats
Denver enters this one on a four-game win streak and looking like a complete football team. Rookie quarterback Bo Nix has settled in quickly, ranking 11th in the league with 1,556 yards and 11 touchdowns.
His poise and mobility have kept this offense balanced.
Running back J.K. Dobbins continues to be the workhorse, sitting 7th in the league with 523 rushing yards. On defense, the Broncos are lights out — 3rd in points allowed and 1st in sacks with 63.
Pass rushers Zach Allen and Talanoa Hufanga have been relentless, fueling one of the NFL’s nastiest fronts.
Courtland Sutton leads the team with 469 yards, while Marvin Mims Jr. and Troy Franklin add vertical threats that keep defenses honest. Despite key injuries to Michael Burton and Ben Powers, Sean Payton’s group hasn’t lost its edge.
At home, they’ve looked borderline unbeatable.
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Cowboys Stats
The Cowboys enter Week 8 still trying to find rhythm. Their 44-22 win over Washington showed what this offense can be when firing on all cylinders, but the loss to Carolina the week before reminded everyone how fragile their consistency remains.
Dak Prescott has been a bright spot, sitting 2nd in the NFL with 1,881 passing yards and 16 touchdowns. His chemistry with George Pickens has been deadly — Pickens has 607 yards and six scores, while CeeDee Lamb adds another 332 in limited appearances.
On the ground, Javonte Williams (592 yards, six TDs) has given the offense balance.
Defensively, Dallas thrives on chaos. They rank top-10 in both interceptions (13) and fumble recoveries (9), constantly flipping the field.
However, injuries to Miles Sanders and Malik Hooker have thinned both units.
Against a disciplined Denver offense, that could become a problem.
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Cowboys vs. Broncos QB Matchup
Bo Nix continues to impress as Denver’s rookie signal-caller. Averaging 222 passing yards and 1.6 TDs per game, he’s shown patience beyond his years while adding mobility with 24 rushing yards per outing.
Projected for 237 yards and two touchdowns here, Nix’s decision-making has been a quiet strength.
Across the field, Dak Prescott has been electric. Averaging nearly 269 yards and 2.3 touchdowns per game, he’s turned the Cowboys into a top-five scoring offense. He’s projected for 246 yards and 1.8 TDs in this one, with his ability to read blitzes likely tested early and often by Denver’s ferocious pass rush.
Both quarterbacks have been efficient, but one plays behind a steadier line and a louder crowd. That could tip the scales late.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Denver Broncos bottom line: Denver’s defense has been lights-out at home, while Dallas has struggled to string together four quarters on the road.
The altitude and pass rush make the difference.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Denver Broncos Football Betting Trends
- The Cowboys have gone 4-0 in their last 4 games against the spread as underdogs.
- The Cowboys’ over/under record is 5-2 in their last 7 away games.
- Additionally, the Cowboys are 3-0 against the spread after a loss in their last 3.
- The Broncos have a 9-1 straight-up record as favorites in their last 10.
- Also, the Broncos are 7-0 straight-up in their last 7 home games.
- The Broncos’ over/under record is 6-3 after a win in their last 9.
Cowboys Broncos Free Pick: Broncos -3.5
Here is my Cowboys Broncos free pick. The Denver Broncos have been dominant at home, going 8-0 straight up in their last eight and 5-0 ATS when hosting Dallas. Their defense, ranked third in opponent scoring, remains elite and continues to frustrate high-powered offenses.
This home-field edge, combined with their ability to control time of possession, makes Denver a tough out for any visitor.
The Dallas Cowboys have struggled badly in this matchup and on the road overall. They’re 0-7 straight up and 1-4 ATS in their last seven against Denver, and 1-4 straight up in their last five road games.
Although they’ve shown flashes as underdogs, those trends underline how difficult it’s been for Dallas to win or even cover in this setting.
Therefore, all signs point toward another strong Denver showing behind their dominant defense and home advantage. The Broncos’ consistent ability to cash tickets at Empower Field gives them a clear betting edge.
With Denver 8-0 SU at home and 5-0 ATS vs. Dallas in Denver, the Broncos -3.5 is the right side to ride.
Ultimately, the Cowboys’ road struggles and Denver’s sustained home dominance make this one straightforward — Broncos ATS is the clear play. Over for the parlay as well if you like.
Today’s NFL Free Pick
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NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Ready for the throwbacks to take the field again 🤩 pic.twitter.com/3CYQpEpgBr
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) October 24, 2025
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