Free NFL Week 15 Pick: Cowboys vs. Bills Odds
Looking for Dallas Cowboys vs. Buffalo Bills free NFL Week 15 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Cowboys taking on the Bills on Sunday, December 17th at the Highmark Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 15 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Dallas Buffalo matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 15
(10-3) Dallas Cowboys vs. Buffalo Bills (7-6)
Date: Sunday, December 17th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park NY
NFL Week 15 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Dallas +2 | Buffalo -2
Week 15 NFL Moneyline Odds: Dallas +110 | Buffalo -131
NFL Betting Total: O/U 49
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Last season, the Cowboys and Bills did not face off head-to-head. The most recent encounter between these teams saw the Bills defeating the Cowboys with a score of 26-15, which took place on November 28, 2019.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Bills have the leg up at 2-1.
The Bills also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 37 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
In the series history, the Cowboys hold the lead with an 8-5 record.
In last week’s games, the Cowboys secured a 33-13 victory over the Eagles, while the Bills emerged triumphant with a 20-17 win against the Chiefs.
The Cowboys and Bills showcase potent offenses, with the Cowboys ranking 4th overall and excelling in passing (2nd) and scoring (1st), while the Bills are 5th overall and 5th in passing and scoring.
On defense, the Cowboys are strong across the board, ranking 3rd overall and 4th in scoring, but the Bills’ defense is solid, placing 14th overall and 6th in scoring. Turnovers favor the Cowboys with a +10 differential, while the Bills maintain a respectable +2.
Offensive Stats
| Stat | DAL | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 32.4 (1st) | 26.8 (5th) |
| Yards Per Game | 381.5 (4th) | 378.9 (5th) |
| Rushing Yards Per Game | 118.6 (11th) | 122 (10th) |
| Passing Yards Per Game | 262.8 (2nd) | 256.9 (5th) |
| Third Down Conversion Percentage | 49.2% (1st) | 48.8% (2nd) |
| Red Zone Conversion Percentage | 3.5% (28th) | 4.2% (26th) |
Defensive Stats
| Stat | DAL | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game Allowed | 17.9 (4th) | 18.8 (6th) |
| Yards Per Game Allowed | 289.9 (3rd) | 321.9 (14th) |
| Rushing Yards Per Game Allowed | 106.0 (13th) | 114.0 (19th) |
| Passing Yards Per Game Allowed | 183.9 (5th) | 207.9 (11th) |
| Turnovers Forced | 21 (4th) | 23 (2nd) |
| Sacks | 39 (5th) | 42 (3rd) |
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Dallas Cowboys
Taking a glance at the NFC-East standings, the Cowboys are 1st with a record of 10-3.
Within the NFC, Dallas is currently in 2nd place as they enter week 15. The Cowboys have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 9-4.
Key to the Cowboys’ win, was the fact that they got off to a good start in the first-quarter. Dallas scored 10 points in the opening period. Overall, the Cowboys had 394 yards of offense compared to the 324 at 324.
Going into the game, Dallas was favored by 3.5 and went on to cover the spread. Dak Prescott threw for 271 yards while completing 61% of his passes and throwing for 271.
Prescott threw for two touchdowns. He’s now throw for 23 TD’s and 2 INT’s in the last 8 games.
Tough matchup this week though. The Bills D held Mahomes to 6.0 YPA, and he only went off for 1 TD , 1 INT, and a 74.9 rating. Buffalo’s pass rush is going to give Dak fits if they play against Dallas the way they played against KC.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
Offensively, Prescott ended with 271 passing yards with a completion rate of 61%. The Cowboys ran the ball 32 times, gaining 138 yards. The team converted 9 of 16 third-down opportunities.
The Dallas offense is currently positioned 1st in the league, scoring an average of 32.4 points per contest.
Facing the Bills this week, the Cowboys defense has allowed an average of 17.9 points per game.
They currently rank 14th in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 289.9 yards per contest.
Buffalo Bills
This season, the Bills currently hold an overall record of 7-6, placing them 2nd in the AFC-East. They’ve achieved this record with a 1-2 record as underdogs and 6-4 when favored.
The Bills’ have achieved an ATS record of 5-8 so far.
On offense, the Bills racked up 327 yards in their 20-17 win over the Chiefs.
For the game, the Bills ran for 118 yards on an average of 4.2 yards per attempt. Defensively, they allowed 346 yards of total offense with 264 yards coming through the air and 82 on the ground.
Buffalo went into the game as the underdog (+1.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Quarterback Josh Allen threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score.
Allen completed 54% of his passes for 233 yards.
Buffalo Bills Stats
Against the Chiefs, the Bills ran the ball 28 times, with James Cook as the primary rusher, accumulating 58 yards.
Allen attempted 42 passes, amassing 233 yards and a passer rating of 68.
On offense, the Bills are currently averaging 26.8 points per game, ranking them 5th in the NFL.
Heading into this week’s matchup with the Cowboys, the Bills defense has given up an average of 18.8 points per game. They are currently 4th in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 321.9 yards per contest.
Josh Allen can’t throw his 15th INT this week if he can help it. The Bills need him to be clean against a Cowboys team that leads the league in takeaways. Diggs with 24 yards last week has to be much better too.
James Cook can do some damage on the ground or out of the backfield. Buffalo needs to get him the ball in space.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Cowboys are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Cowboys are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bills have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cowboys’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Bills’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Cowboys vs. Bills Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | -102 | +111 | +1.5 | +2 |
| Bills | -116 | -134 | -1.5 | -2 |
4* Free Week 15 NFL Betting Prediction: Buffalo -2
Coming into the game, the Bills are favored by 2 at home and we see them picking up the win and covering the spread. Look for Buffalo to get off a strong start on offense, as in their previous game they came out looking good in the first quarter.
The Bills took care of the Chiefs, so what’s one more win against a Super Bowl contender, hey?
I know I know the Cowboys pass rush will simply be too good for this Bills O-line, but I really think Josh Allen running the ball, is the X-factor in this one. Play action is another weapon the Bills will have to use here. The Bills have to have their best plan of the season in place for Parsons and his band of brothers, and I think they will. No game is too big for Buffalo, and this one won’t be either.
I’m all over the Bills this week! Back them -2. Give the points!
Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 49 points.
I’ve searched the internet for Week 15 betting trends for the Cowboys vs. Bills game, and I’ve got you covered. Buffalo has won 13 out of their last 20 games, and they have a strong record of 5-1 against NFC opponents.
In December, they’ve covered the spread in 5 out of their last 7 games. On the other hand, the Cowboys haven’t performed well against Buffalo recently, with a 1-4-1 ATS record in their last 6 meetings and an 0-4 ATS record as road underdogs.
Now, if you’re interested in the over/under trends for this matchup, here’s some info. In 5 out of Dallas’ last 7 games, the total points scored have gone OVER.
Additionally, the Cowboys tend to perform well in games where they’ve allowed less than 15 points in their previous matchup, with a perfect 5-0 record in such scenarios.
The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 52 points.
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Cowboys Bills NFL Handicapping
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Dallas Cowboys vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/BuffaloBills/status/1735755355723047121
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