Free Week 10 Prediction: Browns vs. Dolphins NFL Odds
Looking for Cleveland Browns vs. Miami Dolphins Free NFL Week 10 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Browns taking on the Dolphins on Sunday, November 13th at Hard Rock Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long, including all NFL Week 10 games, so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Cleveland- Miami matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 10
(3-5) Cleveland Browns vs. Miami Dolphins (6-3)
Date: Sunday, November 13th
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
NFL Week 10 ATS Betting Lines: Browns +3.5 | Dolphins -3.5 (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 10 Moneyline Odds: Browns +170 | Dolphins -190
NFL Week 10 NFL Betting Total: O/U 48.5
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I dislike burying the Browns because I love them and I want to see them do good but they just struggle to provide us with any hope. I will not touch on why people hate them this year we all know and it’s been done to death so let’s move on to other reasons why they are bad.
Myles Garrett seems to struggle to make plays late in games which is frustrating to watch if you’re a fan. He’s a human highlight reel but this Browns squad fails to get key stops in the second half.
The Dolphins have some issues of their own however which aren’t really discussed in the mainstream, and it could be why this line is where it is today.
So let’s dive into this one ladies and gents.
Cleveland Browns
Let’s say something nice about the Browns though. I bet if I told you that they are 4th in the league in yards per game you would likely not believe me but it’s very, very true.
They accumulate over 385 yards of offence per game on average which is damn impressive. Much of it nobodies surprise is largely due to the production of Nick Chubb of course but nevertheless they are moving the ball just fine this season.
Their passing offence is not as efficient but I think that was likely always the plan for Brissett. Let’s pound the ball all the time until the one who shall not be named returns and we can then incorporate more passing schemes.
Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins have a problematic contrast between their offensive game and their defensive game. They really are the polar opposite at the moment.
It hasn’t much mattered just yet since they sit at 6-3 but let’s look at some data sets.
They rank 23rd in the league or worse in every major team defence stat with the exception of 4th down conversion rate allowed where they are in the middle of the pack.
But what is crucial is their 3rd down conversion rate allowed which is actually less than what they allow on 4th at 44.74% but they sit at 27th overall in that metric and it also means the defence cannot get off the field.
Their offence is picking up the slack when they get on the field which has been fine most of the season especially in the games that Tua “starts and finishes”, something we’re hearing a lot this week.
Moving forward, this is a recipe for disaster in my opinion come playoff time against the Chiefs, Bills and the Bengals when they get Chase back and even the Titans who continuously run the ball despite everyone knowing they will.
But a team like that against this bad run d for the fish will just stay on the field and control the clock all day in a playoff game and keep those big guns off the field.
Heading into this game however I think they won’t run into problems both moving the ball against this Browns defence who is not what we expected and likely won’t be getting behind.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Cleveland are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
- Cleveland are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against Miami.
- Cleveland are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Miami.
- Cleveland are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
- Miami are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Miami are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games.
- Miami are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games at home.
- Miami are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
4* Free Week 10 NFL Betting Prediction: Dolphins -3.5
I still like the fish in this one despite their issues we discussed. They are just going to be too much for the Browns to keep up with on Sunday and therefore I cannot honestly take the Browns even in this tight spread.
Hammer the fish.
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