Free NFL Week 18 Pick: Browns vs. Ravens Odds
Looking for Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Browns taking on the Ravens on Saturday, January 4th at the M&T Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 18 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Cleveland Baltimore Saturday NFL matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 18
(3-13) Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Date: Saturday, January 4th
Time: 4:30 ET
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore MD
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Cleveland +17.5 | Baltimore -17.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Cleveland +971 | Baltimore -1951
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41.5
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Week 18 NFL action delivers a classic AFC North clash as the Baltimore Ravens host the Cleveland Browns on Saturday. This storied rivalry has seen Baltimore dominate, leading the all-time series 36-15.
Cleveland did pull off an upset in their last meeting—a thrilling 29-24 win on October 27, 2024—but the stakes are much higher now.
The Ravens, sitting at 11-5 and gearing up for the playoffs, are massive 17.5-point favorites, a testament to their dominance both this season and historically at M&T Bank Stadium.\
Over the last three times playing each other, the Browns have a record of 2-1.
The Browns also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 48 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Baltimore’s recent form has been red-hot, going 4-1 ATS in their last five and winning five of their last six at home outright. Cleveland, on the other hand, is limping into this matchup, winless in their last seven road games and just 1-6 ATS against AFC opponents.
Cleveland Browns
Heading into week 18, the Browns are on a five-game losing streak, including a 20-3 loss to the Dolphins in week 17. This leaves Cleveland at 3-13, putting them 31st in our power rankings and giving them a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs. They are 4th in the AFC North with a 2-3 division record and are 3-8 against conference opponents.
Against the spread, the Browns are 4-12 and have failed to cover in five straight games. They are 0-4 as favorites and 4-8 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-10, with the under hitting in four consecutive games.
Cleveland Browns Stats
Heading into week 18, the Browns rank 32nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 29th in the NFL in points per game (15.5) and 27th in yards per game (305.2). Despite leading the league in passing attempts per game (39.2), they rank 20th in passing yards. Cleveland is 23rd in rushing attempts and 28th in rushing yards per game, averaging 97 yards on the ground. They have struggled on third down, converting just 29.3% of their attempts, which ranks 29th in the league. However, they lead the NFL in red zone conversion percentage, scoring on 55.9% of their trips.
Dorian Thompson-Robinson is questionable for week 18 with a calf injury. In week 17, he threw for 170 yards on 24/47 passing, with one interception. Jerry Jeudy led the team with 12 catches for 94 yards, while D’Onta Foreman had 49 rushing yards on 13 carries. Cleveland failed to score in the first, third, and fourth quarters against Miami, with all three of their points coming in the second quarter.
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In their 20-3 loss to the Dolphins, the Browns’ defense allowed Miami to convert 84.6% of their passes. The Browns’ defense did a good job against the run, allowing just 74 yards on 27 attempts. Despite this, they still gave up 206 yards through the air and allowed Miami to convert 50% of their third downs.
The Browns’ defense did manage to come up with four sacks in the game and had two more quarterback hits than Miami. Additionally, they had eight more tackles for loss than the Dolphins.
Baltimore Ravens
With three straight wins, the Ravens sit at 11-5 and hold a 94.2% chance of winning the AFC North. Baltimore ranks 2nd in our NFL power rankings and has a +8.2 scoring margin this season. Against the spread, they are 9-6-1, including three consecutive covers. Their O/U record is 12-4, with their games averaging 52.1 points.
After a week 13 loss to the Eagles, the Ravens bounced back with wins over the Giants, Steelers, and Texans. In week 17, they easily covered the 6.5-point spread, beating Houston 31-2. The combined score of 33 points went under the 47.5-point line.
Baltimore Ravens Stats
Heading into week 18, the Ravens are 3rd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 30.2. They lead the league in passing yards per game (424.2) and rank 6th in passing yards per game with 238.6, despite being 30th in passing attempts per game. Baltimore is 2nd in the NFL in rushing attempts and rushing yards per game, averaging 185.6 on the ground. They also rank 2nd in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage (48%).
Lamar Jackson has been on a roll, posting a passer rating of 143 in week 17 against the Texans, with 168 yards and 2 touchdowns on 10/15 passing. He threw for 207 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 16 and had a 5-touchdown performance in week 15. Derrick Henry rushed for 147 yards on 27 carries in week 17, and Mark Andrews led the team with 68 receiving yards.
Allowing just 58 yards on 17 rushing attempts, the Ravens’ defense dominated in their most recent game against the Texans, holding them to just two points. They also gave up only 153 passing yards on 18 completions. The Ravens’ defense came away with five sacks and held Houston to a 26.7% conversion rate on third down.
The Ravens’ defense didn’t allow a touchdown and limited the Texans to just 211 total yards in the game. They also came up with one interception and won the quarterback hit battle by a margin of +4.
Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Browns are 0-5 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Browns are 2-8 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Ravens have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Browns’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Ravens’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Browns vs. Ravens Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns | +180 | +971 | +5 | +17.5 |
| Ravens | -218 | -1951 | -5 | -17.5 |
4* Free Week 18 NFL Betting Prediction: Baltimore -17.5
The Browns’ struggles in Baltimore are well-documented, with a dismal 3-13 SU record in their last 16 visits.
With a lopsided spread and total set at 41.5, this matchup offers intriguing angles for bettors.
Baltimore’s defense and ground game have been dominant, while Cleveland’s woes continue.
Our projected score for this week 18 matchup between the Ravens and Browns is 30-7 in favor of the Ravens. Even though the Browns are heavy 17.5-point DOGS, we have the Ravens covering as home favorites.
For this game, we are leaning towards taking the UNDER, with the line sitting at 41.5 points and our projections having these teams combining for 37 points.
Whether you’re eyeing live betting opportunities or simply the ATS line, this game promises fireworks—or at least a decisive Ravens performance. Stay tuned!
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Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Happy New Year #RavensFlock 🥳 pic.twitter.com/KIveRxAB12
— Baltimore Ravens (@Ravens) January 1, 2025
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