– Last Updated on December 22, 2022 3:38 pm
Free NFL Prediction: Bengals vs Broncos
Week 16 NFL betting sees the Cincinnati Bengals taking on the Denver Broncos on Monday December 28 at the Sports Authority Field at Mile High Denver, CO. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions.
Week 16
Cincinnati Bengals (11-3) at Denver Broncos (10-4)
Date: Monday December 28
Time: 8:30 PM
Venue: Sports Authority Field at Mile High Denver, CO
ATS Betting Lines: Broncos -3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: OFF
NFL Betting Total: 40.5
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The Bengals are 1 game ahead of the Broncos for the 2nd seed in the AFC playoffs, which is key since the 2nd seed will get a bye.
The Broncos have lost 2 straight and after it looked they had the AFC West in the bag they are now only 1 game up on the red-hot Chiefs.
Both teams are without their starting QB’s and A.J. McCarron will be making his 2nd career start and he was pretty good in his first one, which was a win for Cincy last week.
Brock Osweiler. Was injured in the Broncos last game, where they gave up a big lead, and will Peyton Manning return? Doubtful.
In their last games the Bengals beat the San Francisco 49ers 24-14 and the Broncos lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers 34-27.
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On the season the Broncos are 4-2 at home and the Bengals are 6-1 on the road.
Cincinnati Bengals
McCarron was 15/21 for 192 yards and a TD over the 49ers, but it was the defense that really won the game for them. He has A.J. Green, who has over 1,200 receiving yards on the season, and a solid WR corps as well as Tyler Eifert and while the Broncos still have the league’s top ranked pass defense they allowed Pittsburgh QB
Ben Roethlisberger to pass for 380 yards with 3 TD.
Jeremy Hill had a big game in the win over the 49ers and he and Giovani Bernard have combined to rush for over 1,300 yards on the season. Denver did play good run defense last week and they also have the league top-ranked rushing defense.
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The Broncos have lost 2 of their last 3 home games.
Denver Broncos
After Osweiler injured his shoulder in the Pittsburgh game he was only 7 for 26 for 86 yards and he threw 2 INT, He has one of the best WR corps in the league and will be facing the weakness of the Cincy D, which is their run defense that ranks 18th in the league.
The Broncos rank 18th in the league in rushing yards per game and Ronnie Hillman leads the team in rushing. They rushed for over 100 yards in the loss to Pittsburgh and they need to run the ball well again regardless of who is under center. That may be hard since the Bengals rank a legit 8th in the league defending the run.
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The Broncos may need to rely on their D in this game, as Osweiler is banged up and Manning has nearly more INT (17) than TD (9) on the season.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Bengals are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
- Bengals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Broncos are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Broncos are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.
- Broncos have an Under record of 5-1-1 in their last 7 home games.
4* Free Week 16 NFL Betting Prediction: Under 40.5
Not only have the Bengals covered the spread in their last 7 road games, but the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between these 2 teams. Still, I am going to buck those trends, as I think Denver wins this game shutting down McCarron and the Cincy offense.
NFL Free Score Prediction: Denver 24 – Cincinnati 13
The Broncos will ride their defense with a W in this game and keep their hopes for the 2nd seed in the AFC alive.
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