Free NFL Week 17 Pick: Bengals vs. Chiefs Odds
Looking for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs free NFL Week 17 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bengals taking on the Chiefs on Sunday, December 31st at the Arrowhead Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 17 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Cincinnati Kansas City matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 17
(8-7) Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs (9-6)
Date: Sunday, December 31st
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City MO
NFL Week 17 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Cincinnati +7 | Kansas City -7
Week 17 NFL Moneyline Odds: Cincinnati +258 | Kansas City -355
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44.5
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Last year, the Bengals and Chiefs split their head-to-head matchups with each team going 1-1.
Together the Bengals and Chiefs averaged 47 points per game and had an over/under record of 0-2. Against the spread, they each went 1-1.
On offense, the two teams finished with similar production in yardage, with the Bengals averaging 370 yards per game compared to the Chiefs at 353.
In recent history, the Chiefs and Bengals have faced off in the last two AFC title games, with each team emerging victorious once.
Bettors’ stats show that the Bengals have a 6-7-2 Against The Spread (ATS) record, while the Chiefs have a 7-8 ATS record.
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Cincinnati Bengals
During this season, the Bengals have an overall record of 8-7, which has them 4th in the AFC-North. Their performance includes 2-3 as underdogs and 6-4 when they are favored.
The Bengals currently hold a 6-8-1 record against the spread. Currently, their average scoring margin is -1.8.
The Bengals’ loss to the Steelers is one of their worst margins of defeat in recent history.
The Bengals’ defense allowed 397 yards of total offense which included 113 yards on the ground and 284 through the air. Offensively, the Bengals finished with 368 of total offense.
Cincinnati also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 2.5 point favorites. Jake Browning had a big game, throwing for 335 yards on a passer rating of 69. Browning completed 66% of 42 attempts in the game.
Cincinnati Bengals Stats
Against the Steelers, the Bengals ran the ball 16 times, with Joe Mixon as the primary rusher, accumulating 43 yards. Browning attempted 42 passes, amassing 335 yards and a passer rating of 69.
In terms of offense, the Bengals are at 21.2 points per game, ranking them 18th in the NFL.
The Bengals’ defense has, on average, allowed 383.4 yards and 23 points per contest (20th).
Leading up to this game, they’ve permitted a 66.0% completion rate and yielded 20 passing touchdowns. In terms of run defense, they rank 26th in the NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs
Heading into week 17,Kansas City is in 1st place in the AFC-West, sitting with an overall record of 9-6. In the AFC, they find themselves in 3rd place.
When it comes to the spread, the Chiefs have a 7-7-1 record.
Even after possessing the football for 34:18 vs. the Raiders, the Chiefs still fell to the Raiders. On the ground, the Chiefs averaged 3.4 yards per attempt and went 5/16 on 3rd down.
The Raiders ran for 157 yards and threw for 48. Kansas City also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 11 point favorites.
Quarterback Patrick Mahomes led the Chiefs in both rushing and passing, with 53 yards on the ground and 235 through air. Mahomes ended the game with one passing touchdown.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
Offensively, Mahomes ended with 235 passing yards with a completion rate of 61%. The Chiefs ran the ball 25 times, gaining 85 yards. The team converted 5 of 16 third-down opportunities.
The Chiefs’ offense has performing well in the first half of game, averaging 13.3 points. Their overall offensive numbers of 22.2 is 11th in the NFL.
On the defensive front, the Chiefs enter the game as the 13th ranked team in tackles for loss and 4th in sacks.
Their opponents are averaging 17.7 points per game against them, along with an average of 287.3 yards per contest.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bengals are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Chiefs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Bengals are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chiefs have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bengals’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Chiefs’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Bengals vs. Chiefs Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bengals | +134 | +258 | +3 | +7 |
Chiefs | -163 | -355 | -3 | -7 |
4* Free Week 17 NFL Betting Prediction: Kansas City -7
The Bengals currently hold a series lead of 18-15, and their most recent encounter saw the Chiefs secure a 23-20 win on 1/29/23, during the AFC championship game in Kansas City.
Here are some ATS trends I found: Cincinnati has a 3-8 ATS record in their last 11 games against AFC opponents. On the other hand, Kansas City has won 14 of their last 20 games outright (SU), and they have an impressive 13-3 SU record in their last 16 games against AFC opponents.
Additionally, Kansas City has prevailed in 11 of their last 15 games against AFC North opponents.
A matchup I like in this one is Kansas City’s passing attack vs. the Cincinnati secondary. In their most recent game, Cincinnati struggled to slow down Pittsburgh. Look for Kansas City to cover as 7-point favorites.
I like Cincinnati and Kansas City to exceed 44.5 points.
Not only does our model have a projected total of 51 points in this matchup, but the eye test has me feeling this line of 44.5 is low.
Here are some Over/Under gambling angles for you: Cincinnati has seen the total go OVER in 6 of their last 7 games and has a perfect 5-0 record for the total going OVER in their last 5 road games.
Bengals Chiefs NFL Handicapping
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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
All in a day's work.
New episode of The Franchise presented be GEHA is now streaming: https://t.co/a5yiBKzcj3 pic.twitter.com/BvLzeEeFTG
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) December 30, 2023
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