Ray “The Razor” Monohan – Last Updated on January 31, 2024 7:35 pm
Free NFL Week 15 Pick: Bears vs. Browns Odds
Looking for Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns free NFL Week 15 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bears taking on the Browns on Sunday, December 17th at the Cleveland Browns Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 15 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Chicago Cleveland matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 15
(5-8) Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns (8-5)
Date: Sunday, December 17th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland OH
NFL Week 15 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Chicago +3.5 | Cleveland -3.5
Week 15 NFL Moneyline Odds: Chicago +144 | Cleveland -176
NFL Betting Total: O/U 38
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The Bears and Browns did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Bears have a record of 2-1.
The Bears also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 41 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
This season Against the spread these two teams appear similar. Bears 6-5-2, Browns 7-5-1.
Head-to-Head History: Browns hold a 10-7 advantage.
Recent Encounter: Browns secured a 26-6 victory over the Bears on September 26, 2021, in Cleveland. This was Fields’ first start. NO TD’s for Chicago that day, and Fields was only sacked 9x by the Browns D. Garrett had 4.5 of them.
Previous Week’s Outcomes: The Bears triumphed over the Lions with a 28-13 score, while the Browns emerged victorious with a 31-27 win against the Jaguars.
Week 15 Offensive Stats
Stat | CHI | CLE |
---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 20.8 (17th) | 22.2 (12th) |
Yards Per Game | 324.2 (21st) | 326.4 (19th) |
Rushing Yards Per Game | 138 (4th) | 131 (7th) |
Passing Yards Per Game | 186.2 (26th) | 195.4 (23rd) |
Third Down Conversion Percentage | 43.3% (7th) | 31.5% (28th) |
Red Zone Conversion Percentage | 30.6% (11th) | 30.6% (11th) |
Week 15 Defensive Stats
Stat | CHI | CLE |
---|---|---|
Points Per Game Allowed | 23.8 (20th) | 20.9 (14th) |
Yards Per Game Allowed | 314.5 (12th) | 263.0 (1st) |
Rushing Yards Per Game Allowed | 83.7 (2nd) | 103.3 (11th) |
Passing Yards Per Game Allowed | 230.8 (23rd) | 159.7 (1st) |
Turnovers Forced | 20 (5th) | 20 (5th) |
Sacks | 21 (19th) | 38 (6th) |
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Chicago Bears
Through 13 games, the Bears have a record of 5-8. This mark has them 4th in the NFC-North and 13th in the NFC.
The Bears had a strong offensive start, scoring 10 points in the first quarter. They ended the game with a total of 336 yards, while the Lions managed 267 yards.
Chicago went into the game as the underdog (+3), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Quarterback Justin Fields threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score.
Fields completed 57% of his passes for 223 yards.
Chicago Bears Stats
Chicago’s offense generated 336 total yards against the Lions. On third downs, the Bears managed a conversion rate of 42.9%. Justin Fields led the team in rushing with 58 yards, while he also passed for 223 yards.
On offense, the Bears are currently averaging 20.8 points per game, ranking them 17th in the NFL.
The Bears defense takes on the Browns having given up an average of 23.8 points per game. So far, they are 18th in quarterback hits and are giving up 314.5 yards per contest.
Cleveland Browns
As they prepare to face the Bears, the Browns hold a 8-5 record. Within the AFC-North, they currently sit in 2nd place and are 5th place in the AFC.
Taking a look at the Browns’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +1.3.
This has resulted in an ATS record of 7-5-1.
The Browns picked up a the win over the Jaguars after heading into the fourth quarter with a seven lead. Defensively, the Browns allowed 58 yards rushing and 235 passing.
On offense, the Browns put up a total of 389 yards of offense on 5 yards per play. Going into the game, Cleveland was favored by 2.5 and went on to cover the spread. Joe Flacco threw for 311 yards while completing 57% of his passes and throwing for 311.
Flacco threw for three touchdowns.
Cleveland Browns Stats
Facing the Jaguars defense, Cleveland’s offense amassed 389 yards in total. On third downs, the Browns converted at a rate of 22.2%. Jerome Ford led the rushing game with 51 yards, while Flacco threw for 311 yards.
With an average of 22.2 points per contest, the Cleveland offense currently ranks 12th in the league.
In terms of turnovers, the Cleveland defense has 20 takeaways, which is 5th in the NFL.
Overall, they are giving up 20.9 points per game and 263.0 yards.
To sum it up. The Browns’ offensive statistics position them at 12th in points scored and 19th in total yards gained. Their passing game ranks 23rd, while their rushing attack impressively stands at seventh.
Defensively, the Cleveland Browns excel, boasting a top rank in yards allowed and a respectable 14th place in points conceded.
Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bears are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Bears are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Browns have gone 3-6-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bears’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Browns’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Bears vs. Browns Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bears | +132 | +144 | +3.5 | +3.5 |
Browns | -157 | -176 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 15 NFL Betting Prediction: Chicago +3.5
Coming off consecutive victories, the Bears are gearing up for a significant challenge away from home as they showcase their revamped lineup against a formidable Browns squad.
If you’re into Week 15 game betting trends for the Bears vs. Browns showdown, I’ve got you covered. Chicago has done well recently, covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games and in 4 out of 6 against Cleveland.
They’ve also won 5 out of their last 7 games against Cleveland.
Chicago’s most recent game against Detroit saw them look on the defensive side of the ball.
On paper, the Browns appear to be the superior team in most aspects, but my reservations lie with Joe Flacco, who has a less than stellar track record of 1-3 against the Bears in his career.
I see the Bears as the best bet to cover the spread for this week, with the line at +3.5. Browns probably still win outright. (It’ll be a nailbiter)
For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has Chicago and Cleveland combining for 37 points.
Right now the over/under line is sitting at 38, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under. (Small lean)
Now, let’s talk over/under trends to help you make a confident pick.
The total points scored have gone UNDER in 5 out of Chicago’s last 6 games and in 4 out of 5 games against Cleveland. It’s also gone UNDER in 4 out of 5 games when Chicago faces AFC North opponents.
Similarly, Cleveland has seen the total go UNDER in 11 out of their last 16 games when facing NFC opponents.
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Bears Browns NFL Handicapping
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Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Joe Flacco. that's it. that's the tweet. @JoeFlacco | #DawgPound pic.twitter.com/BjZyFEj8Px
— Cleveland Browns (@Browns) December 14, 2023
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