Free Week 5 Prediction: Bills vs. Chiefs NFL Odds
Looking for Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs free NFL Week 5 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bills taking on the Chiefs on Sunday, October 10th at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Buffalo- Kansas City matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(3-1) Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs (2-2)
Date: Sunday, October 10th, 2021
Time: 8:20 PM
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: Buffalo +2.5 | Kansas City -2.5
NFL Week 5 Moneyline Odds: Buffalo +120 | Kansas City -140
NFL Week 5 NFL Betting Total: O/U 56.5
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Two of the best teams in the AFC will face off when the Bills visit the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football.
Both of these teams are coming off of victories in week 4.
Kansas City started off as 2 point favorites and that number quickly shot up to 2.5. The total has stayed right around 56.5.
After a disappointing loss in week 1 to the Steelers, the Bills have looked very good in the following weeks. They are playing like the team we thought they were.
Buffalo was a 17.5 point favorite against the Texans on Sunday and they easily covered that as they won 40-0. That score should not surprise anyone given the talent disparity on both teams.
Sunday marked the 2nd shutout the Bills have pitched this year. The other came in week 3 when they beat the Dolphins 35-0.
Josh Allen was once again very sharp on Sunday. He was 20/29 for 248 yards and 2 touchdowns. The running game was very effective. Both Zack Moss and Devin Singeltary averaged over 4 yards per carry.
It is hard to criticize the defense when they do not allow any points. The unit did a good job all day of generating pressure on Davis Mills, who ended up throwing for 4 interceptions. This team will obviously be in for a much bigger challenge on Sunday when going against that potent Kansas City offense.
Kansas City Chiefs
After winning in week 1 against the Browns, the Chiefs got defeated in both week 3 and week 4. They did a good job of getting back on track on Sunday.
Kansas City covered the 6.5 point spread in Philadelphia when they knocked off the Eagles 42-30. This game was close for a bit, but as time went on, the Chiefs took over and got the win.
Patrick Mahomes looked good against the Eagles. He was 24/30 for 278 yards and 5 touchdown passes. He will look to keep rolling against the Bills.
The running game was very good in their win. Clyde Edwards-Helaire ran it 14 times for 102 yards. I expect him to get a good amount of touches on Sunday.
The defense was once again not great in this one. Jalen Hurts threw for 387 yards and 2 touchdown passes. Although they did allow a lot of points, the unit did a good job of controlling the run game. Miles Sanders only averaged 1.9 yards per rush on the afternoon.
NFL Betting Trends:
- The Bills are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games.
- The Bills are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against the Chiefs.
- The Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played in October.
- The total has gone over in 10 of Buffalo’s last 14 games in Kansas City.
- The Chiefs are 2-12-1 in their last 15 games ATS.
- The Chiefs are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games.
- The Chiefs are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games against a team from the AFC East.
- The Chiefs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games played in October.
4* Free Week 5 NFL Betting Prediction: Kansas City SU
The Chiefs have proven to not be a great team when it comes to covering spreads, even though they did cover on Sunday against the Eagles. I do not see this game being a blowout either way. I look for both offenses to have success here. I see this as the type of game that the team with the ball last will win in it. I look for the Chiefs to do a little bit better than the Bills and get themselves a win. With that said, I am not going to lay the 2.5, instead, I will take the Chiefs straight up. Give me Kansas City here in a close, competitive game.
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