Free Week 12 Prediction: Bills vs. Lions NFL Odds
Looking for Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions Free NFL Week 12 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bills taking on the Lions on Thursday, November 24th, 2022 at Ford Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Buffalo Detroit Matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
Buffalo Bills (7-3) vs. Detroit Lions (4-6)
Date: Thursday, November 24th, 2022
Time: 12:30 PM EST
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
NFL Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: Bills -9.5 (-110) | Lions +9.5 (-110) (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 12 Moneyline Odds: Bills -432 | Lions +350
NFL Week 12 NFL Betting Total: O/U 54
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The road Bills come into this one off a 31-23 neutral-site win over the Cleveland Browns that was almost ironically played at Ford Field, the site of this Week 12 showdown.
They entered that one as 7.5-point favorites and covered for just the first time in four outings.
The home Lions come into this one off a 31-18 win over the New York Giants on the road.
They entered that one as 3-point favorites and covered for the third time in as many outings.
On the year, the Bills are 5-4-1 against the spread, while the Lions are 6-4 ATS to counter their 4-6 record SU.
These two teams haven’t faced off in the regular season since Dec. 16, which ended as a 14-13 Bills win at home.
Buffalo Bills
This will be Buffalo’s third Thanksgiving Day game since 2019. The first was a 26-15 win over the Dallas Cowboys on the road in 2019, followed by a downright dominant 31-6 victory on the road over the New Orleans Saints in 2021.
As far as this season goes, the team started 6-1 through eight weeks before dropping two straight to the New York Jets and Minnesota Vikings. Last week’s win was a bounce-back victory, and wide receiver Stefon Diggs didn’t mince words, saying the team was “back on track.”
On the year, the Bills are 2-2-1 ATS and 3-2 SU as the road team.
The team is 5-4-1 ATS as the favorite according to the spread, and 7-3 SU as the moneyline favorite.
Entering Thursday, the Bills rank 31st in points scored at 28.1, making up for that by ranking 5th in points allowed at 17.4.
Through the air, Buffalo collects 283.4 yards per game, putting it in the No. 30 spot this season. On the ground, the Bills make up the difference running up 134 yards per game, putting them in the No. 9 spot this season.
Defensively, the Bills give up 220.8 yards per game passing, ranking 13th so far this year. On the ground, Buffalo allows 106.6 yards per game—a number that puts them in 25th.
Detroit Lions
The Lions were a mess entering the November part of their schedule, but they’ve used the month to turn things around ahead of their traditional Turkey Day appearance.
On the year, Detroit is 3-2 ATS and 2-3 SU as the home team.
The Lions are 5-3 ATS and 3-5 SU as underdogs.
Entering Thursday, the Lions rank 8th in scoring at 25.0 points per game, while ranking dead last in 32nd in points allowed at 28.2, a relatively wide margin behind the No. 31 Arizona Cardinals.
Through the air, Detroit collects 233.8 yards per game, putting it in the No. 11 spot this season. On the ground, the Lions run up 132.8 yards per game, putting them in the No. 10 spot this season.
Defensively, the Lions give up 262.2 yards per game passing, ranking 4th so far this year. On the ground, Detroit allows 153.7 yards per game—a number that puts them in 31st ahead of only the dead-last No. 32 Houston Texans.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Bills are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games on field turf.
- Bills are 6-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Bills are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games in November.
- Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
- Lions are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Buffalo -12
The Lions really do have some momentum on their side after three straight wins SU and three straight covers.
My money, however, is all over the Bills and the points under the Thanksgiving spotlight.
Give me the Bills, and give them to me convincingly.
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